Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$394
$947 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$4,121
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 10:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $0 | $337 | $337 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $80 | $80 |
| Median | 15 | — | $168 | $168 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $99 | $99 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $31 | $31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-13 21:33 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 05-14 08:54 |
| Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 17:07 |
| Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-14 07:04 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 22:01 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 18:47 |
| Bony-Horse 0x58ee…6867 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 22:07 |
| Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 22:13 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 02:52 |
| Illiterate-Breath 0x1ffb…3e3c | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 22:07 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:20 |
| Parallel-Evidence 0x6043…c162 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 06:39 |
| Cold-Woman 0x90f3…60b6 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 09:34 |
| Delirious-North 0xf004…8350 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 09:14 |
| Austere-Replacement 0xac46…6cdc | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 05:11 |
| Total-Pollutant 0x9418…c764 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 02:59 |
| Worldly-Perception 0x76ef…adc1 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 05:53 |
| Soupy-Thermostat 0xa036…8bc0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:46 |
| Rude-Strike 0xe78f…7315 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:27 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:09:31 | Brown-Carotene 0x35cc…81ba | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x4d8b33… |
| 05-14 09:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc8e947… |
| 05-14 08:54:00 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe7304f… |
| 05-14 07:04:04 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x8ab2ab… |
| 05-14 06:59:19 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa56a1e… |
| 05-14 06:54:06 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf2af2b… |
| 05-14 06:39:13 | Parallel-Evidence 0x6043…c162 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x380296… |
| 05-14 05:40:34 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f273b… |
| 05-14 04:20:53 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7bafb8… |
| 05-14 03:00:41 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xa09d1b… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0012ce… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea2139… |
| 05-13 22:46:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2616e6… |
| 05-13 22:27:55 | Rude-Strike 0xe78f…7315 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x783daf… |
| 05-13 22:13:09 | Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x2d0f41… |
| 05-13 22:07:16 | Bony-Horse 0x58ee…6867 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6bf0c6… |
| 05-13 22:07:00 | Illiterate-Breath 0x1ffb…3e3c | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x0ccef8… |
| 05-13 22:01:50 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xce519a… |
| 05-13 21:33:38 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x8431be… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bdc79… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf25513… |
| 05-13 13:03:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe3728b… |
| 05-13 09:34:07 | Cold-Woman 0x90f3…60b6 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x68e6ff… |
| 05-13 09:14:56 | Delirious-North 0xf004…8350 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xd0ca1d… |
| 05-13 05:53:55 | Worldly-Perception 0x76ef…adc1 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xae0baa… |
| 05-13 05:11:28 | Austere-Replacement 0xac46…6cdc | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x01becb… |
| 05-13 03:41:19 | Soupy-Thermostat 0xa036…8bc0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x793906… |
| 05-13 02:59:03 | Total-Pollutant 0x9418…c764 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x0d1307… |
| 05-13 02:52:58 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x80dc80… |
| 05-12 18:47:25 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xc175aa… |
| 05-12 17:07:09 | Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x07f61a… |
| 05-12 12:42:56 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x72f93e… |