Grotesque-Sequence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

428

Trades

1,514

lifetime

Volume

$225.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Sports

45% 46% -$7,833

Other

35% 31% -$1,920

Politics

17% 69% -$909

Crypto

3% 44% -$383

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$15.9K	11,179	5,589	+5,589	No	+$775	01-28 23:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$14.1K	9,569	9,569	+0	No	-$2,300	03-01 02:58
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$13.6K	7,298	7,298	+0	No	+$11	03-09 01:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	2	$10.4K	5,421	5,421	+0	No	+$384	01-24 22:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$7.4K	6,099	6,099	+0	Yes	-$1,074	03-04 15:09
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$7.4K	11,129	11,129	+0	No	-$217	03-17 00:27
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$6.9K	5,472	5,472	+0	No	+$929	02-15 03:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$4.9K	2,587	2,587	+0	open	—	09-03 11:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$4.0K	5,882	5,882	+0	No	+$1,992	03-09 05:23
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	2	$3.5K	1,965	1,965	-0	No	+$134	02-28 11:43
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$3.5K	3,570	0	+3,570	No	+$71	02-10 01:58
nba den phx 2026 03 24 total 233pt5	4	$3.1K	6,200	0	+6,200	Over	+$3,100	03-25 02:35
nba gsw den 2026 03 29 total 237pt5	2	$3.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Under	-$3,000	03-30 01:27
nba sac lac 2026 03 14 total 231pt5	1	$2.9K	5,800	0	+5,800	Under	-$2,900	03-15 02:39
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	3	$2.8K	3,076	0	+3,076	No	+$268	01-13 14:09
nba ind orl 2026 03 23 total 232pt5	2	$2.8K	3,534	990	+2,544	Over	+$1,766	03-24 01:36
nba was nyk 2026 03 22 total 228pt5	2	$2.7K	1,769	1,769	+0	Over	+$847	03-23 05:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,512	1,512	+0	No	+$74	04-12 23:45
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$2.5K	9,463	9,463	+0	No	+$895	03-16 04:44
trump out as president by march 31	1	$2.3K	0	2,420	-2,420	No	-$89	01-12 13:06
nba chi lac 2026 03 13 total 235pt5	1	$2.0K	4,082	0	+4,082	Under	-$2,000	03-14 02:30
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09 total 226pt5	1	$2.0K	4,082	0	+4,082	Over	+$2,082	03-10 00:57
nba was gsw 2026 03 27 total 232pt5	1	$2.0K	4,311	0	+4,311	Over	+$2,312	03-28 01:51
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 total 218pt5	4	$1.8K	1,091	1,081	+10	Under	+$340	04-21 03:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.8K	3,497	3,497	+0	Yes	-$1,790	03-01 01:54
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23 total 230pt5	2	$1.8K	3,661	0	+3,661	Over	+$1,867	03-24 01:36
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	2	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Spurs	+$524	05-19 02:54
nba det was 2026 03 17 total 233pt5	2	$1.6K	1,600	800	+800	Over	+$799	03-18 01:45
nba tor lac 2026 03 25 total 226pt5	1	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Under	-$1,500	03-26 02:24
nba nyk uta 2026 03 11 total 231pt5	1	$1.5K	2,885	0	+2,885	Over	+$1,385	03-12 00:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:14:30	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xd8b249…
10-27 02:39:53	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	1,156	52¢	$600	0xf4853d…
10-27 02:27:00	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	1,176	51¢	$600	0x289fb3…
10-27 01:50:45	Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5	Over	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x3589c3…
10-26 23:33:39	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 150.5	Under	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x7099e3…
10-26 23:23:21	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	813	49¢	$400	0xd7cb8b…
10-26 23:01:44	Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5	Over	BUY	290	52¢	$150	0x526226…
10-26 13:36:00	Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xac9aef…
10-26 13:31:57	Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	615	49¢	$300	0x16c4c5…
10-26 13:29:18	Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5	Over	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x6d6693…
10-26 02:05:09	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 205.5	Under	BUY	277	54¢	$150	0x873c0d…
10-25 22:53:41	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 259.5	Under	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xb4afef…
10-25 22:42:33	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 265.5	Under	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0xd227a6…
10-25 14:22:44	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5	Over	BUY	458	48¢	$220	0x5aac1d…
10-25 04:03:54	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 251.5	Over	BUY	427	47¢	$200	0xc0279b…
10-25 03:18:56	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x63f0be…
10-25 00:51:44	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	431	51¢	$220	0xbe033e…
10-24 23:22:57	Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5	Over	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x553da9…
10-24 23:18:45	Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5	Over	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xcaaa82…
10-24 16:31:38	Spread: Heat (-3.5)	Heat	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x403fc7…
10-24 15:16:53	Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x68b1e3…
10-24 02:52:59	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x6dd2eb…
10-24 01:26:57	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x604efa…
10-24 01:18:08	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	250	52¢	$130	0xd6136c…
10-23 23:34:17	nba nyk bos 2026 10 23 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0xfe76a6…
10-23 23:21:26	Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	416	48¢	$200	0xe5f339…
10-23 23:10:06	Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	275	51¢	$140	0xde7646…
10-23 23:08:27	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x4e58b3…
10-23 23:07:59	Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	277	47¢	$130	0xde44f0…
10-23 23:06:41	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xf3e545…
10-23 22:58:45	Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x9aaaa7…
10-03 00:51:05	wnba dal gsv 2026 10 02 total 159pt5	Over	BUY	1,326	50¢	$662	0xde021a…
10-03 00:46:39	Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5	Over	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0xaf7bb4…
10-02 01:12:59	Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x9fcaad…
10-02 01:12:59	Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	230	49¢	$113	0x773a44…
09-30 21:24:56	wnba atl wsh 2026 09 30	Washington Mystics	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xb07fcc…
09-30 16:53:18	wnba gsv dal 2026 09 30 spread away 4pt5	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x47af18…
09-23 01:48:28	Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5	Over	SELL	625	2¢	$12	0xde6be6…
09-23 00:19:37	Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5	Over	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x3e830d…
09-22 14:59:42	Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5	Under	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x5e2794…
09-22 14:21:13	Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5	Under	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xc19109…
09-22 13:52:43	Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5	Under	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x313be5…
09-22 04:11:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xed1a0f…
09-22 03:56:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x45581d…
09-03 11:25:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,587	96¢	$2,489	0xd01636…
08-20 02:11:49	wnba min gsv 2026 08 19 total 163pt5	Over	BUY	1,093	46¢	$498	0xf59a24…
06-22 13:39:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,587	94¢	$2,424	0x9d4d14…
06-16 00:50:36	Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	1,265	4¢	$50	0x93aeb6…
06-16 00:50:15	Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xbff62e…
06-16 00:49:57	Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xf04d92…
05-21 01:31:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	1,364	22¢	$300	0x45c3dd…
05-21 01:19:12	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	1,003	50¢	$500	0x4697dd…
05-19 23:58:31	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	2,128	47¢	$1,000	0x7cd5e7…
05-19 04:18:52	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,125	5¢	$150	0xdcd404…
05-19 02:54:38	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	SELL	1,200	92¢	$1,100	0x7f1451…
05-18 23:36:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	800	32¢	$256	0x115f20…
05-18 23:35:26	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	1,200	48¢	$576	0x37354e…
05-14 10:38:55	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,195	23¢	$500	0x6f6400…
05-14 10:38:13	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,889	2¢	$88	0x0aee78…
05-14 10:37:54	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	52,286	1¢	$366	0xa5e868…
04-27 05:00:30	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5,556	1¢	$61	0xd4d2a9…
04-27 05:00:08	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3,301	4¢	$124	0x9df51f…
04-27 04:59:54	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	16,667	1¢	$100	0xf0d56c…
04-26 00:47:20	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	896	47¢	$421	0x9c0d7a…
04-25 22:07:38	Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5	Under	BUY	138	51¢	$70	0x93f4ef…
04-25 19:41:28	Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xdac68c…
04-25 05:15:40	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	33,333	0¢	$95	0x7f0920…
04-25 04:56:06	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x21c91a…
04-25 04:55:14	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xc86eec…
04-25 02:19:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	714	56¢	$400	0x531eb3…
04-25 01:23:20	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	851	47¢	$400	0xedbe10…
04-24 23:51:12	Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	484	52¢	$250	0x5cfa26…
04-24 23:19:44	LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x38ee72…
04-24 21:21:22	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0x8f384a…
04-23 23:41:22	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 points james harden 20pt5	Yes	BUY	561	45¢	$250	0x6f6cf3…
04-23 22:22:18	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 points karl anthony towns 20pt5	Yes	BUY	574	44¢	$250	0x100436…
04-23 19:52:34	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Cavaliers	BUY	526	50¢	$263	0x02bc70…
04-23 19:40:52	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Cavaliers	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xc578a1…
04-23 19:07:40	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Cavaliers	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xbe628a…
04-23 15:41:50	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	600	49¢	$294	0xb939da…
04-23 02:07:20	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 total 216pt5	Under	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0x01dde3…
04-23 01:22:24	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 assists shai gilgeous alexander 6pt5	Yes	BUY	423	47¢	$200	0x86da64…
04-23 01:19:28	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 points jalen williams 18pt5	Yes	BUY	383	52¢	$200	0x6c76d7…
04-23 01:17:48	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 points shai gilgeous alexander 29pt5	Yes	BUY	582	52¢	$300	0x431d1b…
04-23 01:10:30	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	SELL	21,958	0¢	$67	0x1bb843…
04-23 01:01:44	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	22,108	0¢	$88	0x33977f…
04-22 22:59:48	nba orl det 2026 04 22 total 218pt5	Under	BUY	450	49¢	$220	0x7ae839…
04-22 22:58:28	nba orl det 2026 04 22 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	319	47¢	$150	0x687e19…
04-22 18:17:50	nba orl det 2026 04 22 spread home 8pt5	Magic	BUY	600	48¢	$288	0xef3b3d…
04-22 10:19:52	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	522	23¢	$120	0xf57654…
04-22 04:38:26	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	SELL	493	66¢	$325	0x48f145…
04-22 03:51:34	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 total 209pt5	Under	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x31dd99…
04-22 03:27:28	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 total 209pt5	Under	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xbac19a…
04-22 02:25:14	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	503	33¢	$166	0x41d4fb…
04-22 02:00:38	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0x65ab73…
04-22 00:50:32	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0xb873f8…
04-22 00:15:10	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	BUY	862	29¢	$250	0x06d644…
04-22 00:08:18	nba por sas 2026 04 21 1h total 113pt5	Under	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0xc21be0…
04-22 00:08:00	nba por sas 2026 04 21 1h total 113pt5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x629280…
04-22 00:05:34	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x0c4e6a…