Unwelcome-Lout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

118

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$496

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-11 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

62% 37% -$15

Crypto

35% 47% -$14

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-3	-$1	5¢	$-0	+$1	05-23 18:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	2	$81	45	45	+0	Yes	+$9	06-26 20:28
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	4	$51	42	42	+0	Yes	+$15	06-24 20:35
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 19:07
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 20:14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 20:31
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	07-06 21:18
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	04-14 21:04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	2	$13	22	0	+22	No	-$13	06-25 15:50
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	02-12 22:05
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	07-05 21:36
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	07-10 20:40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	06-23 16:38
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:40 UTC	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	-$6	03-23 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:10 UTC	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	02-13 20:15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	06-24 21:16
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	03-09 18:42
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	1	$5	27	0	+27	No	-$5	06-26 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:15 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:25 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	03-23 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 21:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:50 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:10 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	03-23 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	04-13 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	03-22 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	08-02 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-13 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:40 UTC	2	$3	9	0	+9	Up	-$3	02-13 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 20:55 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:45 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x98af91…
08-11 18:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x190883…
08-11 18:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd3c851…
08-11 18:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2ac1ff…
08-10 13:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2ec80e…
08-03 19:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf1f518…
08-03 19:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xecc9f1…
08-03 19:10:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0c9bf8…
08-03 19:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbe1fe9…
08-03 19:03:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0a10c4…
08-03 18:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x581b73…
08-03 18:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfa534e…
08-02 20:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xec862a…
08-02 20:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x1846ed…
08-02 20:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x17452d…
08-01 19:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x021a61…
08-01 18:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5edb03…
08-01 18:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x907038…
08-01 18:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x23d9db…
08-01 18:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa0ffe1…
07-31 20:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd349a9…
07-31 20:51:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x30b096…
07-10 20:40:25	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7186f3…
07-06 21:18:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0x34430a…
07-05 21:36:31	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc089e8…
06-28 19:08:43	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdc9d49…
06-27 20:52:56	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb46857…
06-27 20:52:04	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdcd1f5…
06-27 20:48:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4d5491…
06-27 20:31:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x0d432f…
06-27 20:14:32	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x6919b3…
06-27 08:14:41	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xceb853…
06-27 08:14:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x846da1…
06-27 08:14:13	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9d3974…
06-27 00:34:44	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4b39f7…
06-26 20:28:02	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x786d2a…
06-26 17:09:56	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x4b641b…
06-26 08:41:46	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x4a09bf…
06-25 15:50:44	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9fb5fd…
06-24 21:16:44	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0f5a2e…
06-24 21:10:14	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x8908ee…
06-24 20:35:53	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	42	77¢	$33	0xc17c55…
06-24 20:18:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xccda40…
06-24 18:54:40	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xa115d4…
06-24 13:40:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x122079…
06-24 13:37:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb7e250…
06-24 13:35:02	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x58e21d…
06-24 13:32:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd99913…
06-23 16:38:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9a10e9…
06-22 19:07:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x97696d…
06-22 15:16:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x81d11f…
06-14 17:48:25	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa1fa09…
05-23 18:13:18	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x647a5b…
05-23 18:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2c8da…
05-22 21:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x897322…
05-22 21:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x89c372…
05-22 21:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4be914…
05-22 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb5d741…
05-22 21:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd3e8ab…
05-22 21:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0f41de…
05-22 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x52f6f8…
05-22 21:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9d24bc…
05-22 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa0ccff…
05-22 20:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2f6914…
05-06 04:02:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x633ea4…
04-15 20:30:36	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6a8cbd…
04-14 21:04:24	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf2cc1a…
04-14 14:23:09	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x52ebc4…
04-13 20:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3474f2…
04-13 20:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf1e1c3…
04-13 17:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x70351d…
04-13 17:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x226118…
04-08 19:49:19	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x018d25…
03-23 00:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x9ff7f5…
03-23 00:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x06623e…
03-23 00:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbe426b…
03-23 00:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x122bfe…
03-23 00:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x11aa4a…
03-23 00:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4b5f0f…
03-23 00:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf921a7…
03-23 00:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaaa38f…
03-23 00:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcd5d62…
03-23 00:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x895ae7…
03-22 23:56:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22dc2e…
03-22 23:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x74d52b…
03-22 23:47:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8f11e4…
03-22 23:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa2d742…
03-22 23:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xc75437…
03-22 23:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaac88e…
03-22 23:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4b4fd9…
03-22 23:28:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae5af1…
03-22 23:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x057fd2…
03-22 23:17:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1e93c4…
03-22 23:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x99dacf…
03-22 22:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x84d3b7…
03-22 22:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe04dda…
03-22 22:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5bf362…
03-22 22:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x678b12…
03-22 22:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x473983…
03-22 21:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa6d972…