Flat-Squatter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$69.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$222

Open exposure

$1.31K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-31 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

65% 99% -$56

Politics

19% 100% +$369

Sports

8% 33% -$640

Crypto

4% 100% +$75

Tech

4% 100% +$182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-3,406	-$1,317	38¢	$-1306	+$10	04-29 07:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	22	$3.1K	3,454	3,454	+0	open	—	05-30 04:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2.9K	2,263	2,263	+0	open	—	07-14 11:27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	26	$2.8K	1,689	1,689	+0	Yes	+$135	06-11 07:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$2.8K	2,531	2,531	+0	Yes	+$233	05-11 14:06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.6K	1,475	1,475	+0	No	-$1	05-06 06:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	66	$2.6K	1,913	1,913	+0	No	+$182	06-19 05:40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,038	1,038	+0	No	+$2	10-27 07:16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2.1K	2,521	0	+2,521	No	+$461	06-11 07:53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$1.3K	0	3,406	-3,406	open	—	04-29 07:16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,251	0	+1,251	No	+$3	10-27 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,234	0	+1,234	No	+$1	10-16 06:14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,233	0	+1,233	No	+$4	10-15 08:06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	No	+$1	10-12 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	1	$1.2K	1,225	0	+1,225	Yes	+$1	10-10 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 21?	1	$1.2K	1,223	0	+1,223	No	+$1	09-21 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	3	$1.2K	1,222	0	+1,222	No	+$2	09-18 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?	1	$1.2K	1,192	0	+1,192	No	+$2	08-20 09:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 12?	2	$1.2K	1,177	0	+1,177	No	+$3	08-12 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	1	$1.2K	1,173	0	+1,173	No	+$1	09-15 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	6	$1.2K	1,167	0	+1,167	Yes	+$3	08-06 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	No	+$1	10-19 10:04
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.1K	1,165	0	+1,165	Yes	+$40	07-22 07:37
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.1K	1,397	0	+1,397	Yes	-$1,099	07-14 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	2	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$1	10-14 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?	3	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	Yes	+$1	08-14 10:05
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,044	0	+1,044	No	+$1	10-21 10:43
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 19?	1	$983	984	0	+984	No	+$1	08-18 16:08
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$981	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$19	03-14 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 21?	2	$980	981	0	+981	No	+$1	07-21 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	1	$826	827	0	+827	No	+$1	08-30 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x690432…
10-31 04:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	429	99¢	$427	0x5d3f0b…
10-31 03:41:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0x1f6b74…
10-31 03:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xd3d837…
10-31 03:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xdff1a9…
10-31 03:39:49	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xfe3070…
10-31 03:39:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x6518e5…
10-31 03:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xc527e7…
10-31 03:37:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x083f07…
10-30 08:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	489	100¢	$488	0x7b1a6e…
10-29 03:23:44	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	429	100¢	$427	0x6de7d5…
10-29 03:20:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf6ec4c…
10-29 03:19:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd549cf…
10-29 03:19:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$123	0x809452…
10-29 03:19:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x218efd…
10-29 03:19:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6fe536…
10-28 08:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0x68a724…
10-28 08:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x07cb44…
10-28 08:53:47	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8aac59…
10-28 08:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8d6bbb…
10-28 08:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	708	99¢	$704	0xd3e4b9…
10-28 08:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0xc84da9…
10-27 07:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,251	100¢	$1,248	0x1d90f8…
10-27 07:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1,038	100¢	$1,037	0x18b03d…
10-26 06:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,038	100¢	$1,035	0x241348…
10-26 06:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0xe63604…
10-21 10:43:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,044	100¢	$1,043	0x1de2e1…
10-21 10:37:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x630b0b…
10-19 10:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x8acd57…
10-19 10:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,134	100¢	$1,133	0x721858…
10-16 06:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,233	0xe4becb…
10-15 08:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	708	100¢	$706	0x5022b9…
10-15 08:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$448	0x8c221b…
10-15 08:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x327733…
10-14 05:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x86d075…
10-14 05:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1a67f…
10-14 05:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0xd2aa27…
10-12 10:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,227	100¢	$1,226	0x02bb7d…
10-10 08:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1,225	100¢	$1,224	0xcd7918…
09-23 09:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 24?	No	BUY	495	100¢	$495	0xfc4623…
09-23 09:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x7e6bdf…
09-23 09:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x3f8893…
09-23 09:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x33e0db…
09-23 09:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xd8cd36…
09-21 03:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1,223	100¢	$1,222	0xcad4b8…
09-18 06:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	572	100¢	$571	0xcfa4ec…
09-18 06:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb9ec45…
09-18 06:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xadda5a…
09-16 08:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x775388…
09-16 08:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	477	100¢	$476	0x5c45ed…
09-16 08:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x2ebdff…
09-16 07:57:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	No	BUY	429	100¢	$429	0xb0d089…
09-15 08:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x88edac…
09-15 08:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x401d1f…
09-15 08:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	1,173	100¢	$1,172	0xb9667a…
09-13 03:39:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 14?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x10d976…
09-13 03:38:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 14?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x1337b0…
09-13 03:38:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	425	100¢	$424	0xd8f3c1…
09-13 03:38:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe8dc3e…
09-13 03:31:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 13?	No	BUY	448	100¢	$447	0xba5a10…
09-13 03:31:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 13?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x5af82e…
09-08 07:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x2d87bc…
09-08 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 9?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xf930a9…
09-08 06:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 8?	No	BUY	553	100¢	$552	0x2e270d…
09-04 07:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	411	100¢	$410	0x616e24…
09-04 07:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x3b0ad5…
09-04 07:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0xc2195f…
09-04 07:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xb52d3e…
09-02 14:00:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$354	0xa2806b…
09-02 13:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 3?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x9daa4f…
09-02 13:58:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ea028…
09-02 13:58:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x855e7e…
09-02 13:56:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xff7b71…
09-02 13:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0x71e3bf…
09-02 13:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xfaf072…
08-30 09:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	827	100¢	$826	0xa9ab59…
08-28 06:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x56666d…
08-28 06:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x507041…
08-28 06:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc243d4…
08-28 06:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x51a473…
08-28 06:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x319c67…
08-28 06:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x13e80e…
08-28 06:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 28?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x5bbddd…
08-27 08:03:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xa27cbd…
08-27 08:00:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9eee6e…
08-27 07:59:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x15b064…
08-27 07:59:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x327fab…
08-26 11:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x3ed734…
08-26 11:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x0c7066…
08-26 11:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x4dfe4d…
08-26 11:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x70e28f…
08-26 11:26:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf2d93b…
08-26 11:26:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	341	100¢	$341	0x485172…
08-20 09:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1,192	100¢	$1,190	0x4523bc…
08-19 01:02:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x3865d2…
08-19 01:02:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0da577…
08-19 01:02:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbf0f27…
08-18 16:42:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 19?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xb9977e…
08-18 16:42:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 19?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0xa351b1…
08-18 16:08:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 19?	No	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0x972519…