Tedious-Bean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

18,666

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-25 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$1,052

Other

27% 100% +$181

Sports

13% 100% +$1

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	35	$4.3K	2,485	1,839	+646	open	—	02-18 12:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	417	$4.0K	239,197	220,860	+18,337	open	—	03-31 10:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	441	$3.6K	196,888	428,695	-231,807	open	—	02-28 18:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$3.0K	34,152	34,131	+22	open	—	02-28 19:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$2.1K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	+$1,050	05-08 18:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	324	$2.1K	307,870	296,542	+11,328	open	—	01-31 16:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	48	$2.0K	3,979	5,941	-1,962	open	—	03-10 10:32
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	30	$1.5K	5,200	5,200	+0	open	—	01-14 20:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	51	$1.4K	130,000	126,370	+3,630	open	—	04-27 03:03
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	54	$1.2K	4,716	4,833	-117	open	—	01-04 17:21
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-25 17:04
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	4	$793	656	656	+0	open	—	06-22 14:59
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	9	$789	366	455	-89	open	—	02-19 08:26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	28	$740	987	995	-9	open	—	01-16 06:55
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2,808	$708	94,710	94,600	+110	open	—	04-21 06:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	21	$685	23,900	23,900	+0	open	—	02-07 02:00
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	53	$673	7,026	8,226	-1,200	open	—	01-17 18:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$637	1,022	185	+837	open	—	07-25 14:34
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	49	$614	12,863	13,556	-694	open	—	01-24 22:15
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2,325	$596	119,226	117,489	+1,738	No	+$119	03-25 07:50
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	4	$594	625	625	+0	open	—	06-22 15:57
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	31	$593	4,043	6,211	-2,169	open	—	02-18 18:45
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	4	$565	227	340	-113	open	—	02-27 08:58
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	35	$515	1,891	2,000	-109	open	—	02-01 17:45
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$495	300	200	+100	open	—	02-17 10:58
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	15	$454	1,531	1,610	-79	open	—	02-01 00:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	156	$453	25,500	25,500	+0	open	—	03-25 05:13
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$450	200	400	-200	open	—	04-08 17:05
us forces enter iran by march 7	12	$430	243	230	+12	open	—	03-05 17:11
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	14	$406	540	200	+340	open	—	03-26 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 14:34:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x8b257d…
07-09 21:33:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	29	65¢	$19	0x883f22…
07-09 21:00:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x188dc8…
07-09 21:00:37	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1f7e12…
06-24 15:45:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xfa0aca…
06-24 15:20:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x30ac44…
06-23 05:30:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	15¢	$70	0x3a3d26…
06-22 16:49:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x42e567…
06-22 16:49:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x13fa2b…
06-22 16:49:32	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	210	18¢	$38	0x56c99b…
06-22 16:49:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	28¢	$45	0x3e0a5c…
06-22 16:49:19	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	273	32¢	$87	0xddf328…
06-22 16:49:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	15¢	$94	0xc26fc6…
06-22 15:57:14	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	417	47¢	$196	0x2f0497…
06-22 15:31:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	25¢	$96	0xffa7f6…
06-22 14:59:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	328	60¢	$197	0x9be3c2…
06-22 14:11:58	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x6e96d1…
06-22 14:11:40	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x95e951…
06-22 14:11:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x5e231e…
06-22 14:10:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xaa8352…
06-22 14:09:55	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	273	33¢	$90	0x3e0d21…
06-22 14:09:34	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	210	19¢	$40	0xa0f4fc…
06-21 19:40:35	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	15¢	$94	0xde2254…
06-21 19:40:28	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	526	18¢	$95	0x5cde59…
06-21 19:40:08	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	303	32¢	$97	0x2e0b42…
06-21 19:39:56	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	190	78¢	$148	0xb1cf5d…
06-21 19:39:49	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	328	60¢	$197	0x5e5ba2…
06-21 17:59:35	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	208	47¢	$98	0x4d7717…
06-21 17:39:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x74c3df…
06-21 17:39:10	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x1b103e…
06-21 17:38:23	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0xe5023d…
06-21 17:38:02	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xbd5a48…
06-21 17:12:10	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x550f3c…
06-21 17:11:46	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xa26a54…
06-20 07:46:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	42¢	$147	0xb49663…
06-19 19:53:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	58¢	$107	0x135cf3…
06-19 19:52:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x52e5ec…
06-18 20:29:53	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf7b707…
06-18 02:55:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x13aed9…
06-17 22:22:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xaf71f9…
06-17 22:21:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x44d561…
06-17 22:20:34	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xe3e156…
06-17 22:19:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd6c34b…
06-17 22:18:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x50fe77…
06-17 22:18:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x208fb6…
06-15 22:18:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6a1478…
06-12 06:00:45	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d233a…
06-06 17:12:45	btc updown 5m 1780765800	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xa3a78e…
06-06 17:11:58	btc updown 5m 1780765800	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8e05dc…
06-06 17:11:21	btc updown 5m 1780765800	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x408550…
06-06 17:02:15	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x006476…
06-06 17:01:57	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbc00ee…
06-06 16:47:10	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x299fef…
06-06 16:46:45	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x13106d…
06-06 16:43:25	btc updown 5m 1780764000	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x12194a…
06-06 16:41:15	btc updown 5m 1780764000	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x88633d…
06-06 16:41:07	btc updown 5m 1780764000	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6ba450…
06-06 16:41:01	btc updown 5m 1780764000	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2f7ae5…
06-06 14:38:19	btc updown 5m 1780756500	Down	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x6057a2…
06-06 14:36:15	btc updown 5m 1780756500	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc1925f…
06-06 14:32:43	btc updown 5m 1780756200	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2cae31…
06-06 14:32:22	btc updown 5m 1780756200	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb36879…
06-06 14:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x92da7e…
06-06 14:13:46	btc updown 5m 1780755000	Down	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0x1db8b3…
06-06 14:13:12	btc updown 5m 1780755000	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x271da3…
06-06 14:11:00	btc updown 5m 1780755000	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x893897…
06-03 21:36:12	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xeac15c…
06-03 21:35:57	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xbfb13c…
06-03 21:35:45	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x94316d…
05-31 13:28:17	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4e1bb3…
05-30 19:33:37	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa5e66c…
05-30 18:08:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$187	0xfd1efb…
05-20 15:27:35	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x730a02…
05-20 15:22:36	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xa1de78…
05-20 15:17:05	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	SELL	206	93¢	$192	0xf32e30…
05-20 14:13:43	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xe99b87…
05-20 13:55:13	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6e03dd…
05-20 13:51:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe37f17…
05-19 21:26:18	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x8a7b56…
05-15 19:16:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x524372…
05-14 18:40:24	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x070a3e…
05-08 18:06:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,500	34¢	$1,190	0x7e3b04…
05-04 18:48:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	10¢	$150	0x3ca6bc…
05-03 17:26:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	289	40¢	$116	0xd801db…
05-03 17:23:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0xf3822d…
05-03 17:23:38	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0xc31234…
05-03 17:23:38	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	109	39¢	$43	0x67ed60…
05-03 17:23:36	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	83	39¢	$32	0xc4507e…
04-30 21:13:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	13¢	$260	0xa187ce…
04-29 17:45:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x2303fc…
04-29 13:24:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	554	7¢	$39	0xa67c4c…
04-29 12:56:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x677c61…
04-29 12:09:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,246	7¢	$297	0xbe6f59…
04-28 10:58:42	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x44bdc2…
04-28 10:56:48	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0x62a413…
04-28 10:46:38	Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x94657f…
04-28 10:46:38	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x42c795…
04-28 09:26:36	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xd30087…
04-28 08:30:54	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xa3d43d…
04-28 08:30:54	Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x8ce81f…