Realized P&L (90d)
+$438
Unrealized P&L
-$302
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved (90d)
116
Trades (90d)
310
3,646 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$10.6K
$68.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$758
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-19 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
57% 71% +$1,284
Politics
34% 78% +$454
Tech
5% 68% -$131
Crypto
2% 86% +$60
Sports
2% 68% +$113
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +450 $294 72¢ $322 +$27 10-05 09:46
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $273 78¢ $234 -$39 10-12 18:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +320 $138 20¢ $62 -$75 10-15 21:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $44 12¢ $46 +$2 10-11 16:34
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +169 $19 15¢ $25 +$6 08-21 18:14
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +800 $24 3¢ $22 -$3 09-23 00:43
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +400 $24 3¢ $14 -$10 09-03 09:19
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? Yes +300 $83 4¢ $12 -$71 09-01 15:07
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,158 -$6 1¢ $-11 -$5 05-26 22:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +70 -$24 6¢ $4 +$28 10-06 14:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +272 $56 1¢ $3 -$53 10-05 10:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 08-20 17:39
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +700 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 09-21 16:52
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +300 $9 0¢ $1 -$8 07-27 13:39
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +300 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 07-26 10:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +350 $91 0¢ $0 -$91 10-12 09:43