Fast-Mussel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

254

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-29 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 53% -$1,474

Other

7% 21% -$111

Politics

4% 100% +$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 11am et	4	$2.0K	2,483	2,445	+38	Up	-$444	03-28 15:16
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	16	$682	451	501	-50	Yes	+$33	04-09 10:41
nflx up or down on april 10 2026	9	$602	829	818	+11	Up	-$134	04-10 18:21
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 2pm et	3	$592	1,582	1,499	+83	Up	-$262	03-31 18:37
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 2pm et	3	$580	358	351	+7	Down	+$58	04-09 18:15
hype up or down on april 7 2026	4	$580	331	328	+4	Down	+$79	04-07 16:12
hype up or down on april 6 2026	10	$539	284	284	+0	Up	+$13	04-06 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:50 UTC	4	$534	370	363	+7	Up	-$1	04-11 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:40 UTC	2	$500	314	307	+8	Down	+$99	04-10 08:44
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 9am et	2	$478	301	294	+8	Down	+$100	04-09 13:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$470	400	400	+0	Yes	-$10	04-17 12:28
wti up or down on april 17 2026	6	$446	235	235	+0	Down	-$3	04-17 11:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:15 UTC	1	$440	459	0	+459	Down	+$18	03-25 12:18
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	6	$432	325	325	+0	No	-$12	04-18 11:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:20 UTC	2	$419	235	233	+2	Down	+$45	03-28 06:25
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	10	$408	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-09 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:15 UTC	2	$401	368	355	+12	Up	+$4	04-10 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:10 UTC	2	$400	249	245	+4	Down	+$2	04-10 13:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC	2	$382	599	578	+20	Up	-$253	04-22 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:20 UTC	3	$381	214	211	+3	Down	+$39	04-09 17:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-11 08:00 UTC	9	$322	332	322	+10	Up	-$46	04-11 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:55 UTC	2	$271	139	138	+0	Up	+$3	04-11 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:45 UTC	1	$231	272	0	+272	Down	+$41	03-28 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:00 UTC	1	$221	266	0	+266	Up	-$221	03-28 08:01
nvda up or down on april 10 2026	4	$219	186	185	+1	Up	-$2	04-10 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:00 UTC	4	$217	179	173	+6	Down	+$23	04-10 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:30 UTC	1	$212	446	0	+446	Up	-$212	03-28 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:00 UTC	3	$198	320	128	+192	Down	+$33	03-28 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:25 UTC	1	$169	194	0	+194	Down	+$25	03-27 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 09:30 UTC	2	$162	150	144	+6	Down	+$37	04-08 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 12:32:02	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xc40adf…
07-29 12:13:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x0c8b9c…
07-29 12:13:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x80cd02…
07-29 12:11:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x2626cb…
07-29 12:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0xaa6fe3…
07-29 12:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x13762b…
07-29 12:05:15	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	87	37¢	$32	0xec26e4…
07-29 11:59:41	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x25a4b2…
07-29 11:43:02	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	48	61¢	$29	0x13c88d…
07-28 20:30:17	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x838c90…
07-28 20:29:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x5b385a…
07-28 20:23:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	65	16¢	$10	0x39127a…
07-28 20:16:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	65	55¢	$36	0x0f12f6…
07-28 20:15:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x750f3c…
07-28 20:10:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x297dba…
07-27 11:24:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x15d768…
07-27 11:19:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0xde3071…
07-27 11:19:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xaa7669…
07-27 11:19:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xb15b2f…
07-27 11:03:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x50f458…
07-27 11:02:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x6d6b85…
07-27 10:59:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x866c0e…
07-27 09:30:43	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0x5a1570…
07-27 09:07:09	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xa5b2c1…
07-27 09:06:52	ethereum up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x9a098e…
07-27 08:38:27	ethereum up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0x7e8410…
07-27 07:57:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	67	62¢	$41	0x45d0ed…
07-27 07:33:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x4162b7…
07-27 07:20:27	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0x77f2bd…
07-27 06:59:51	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0xb9f860…
07-27 06:56:40	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	33	84¢	$27	0xa1bfbd…
07-27 06:30:55	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xa53764…
06-27 08:01:59	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0xe67daa…
06-14 08:00:21	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x707d5a…
06-01 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x52888a…
05-22 08:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xa8fb96…
05-22 08:06:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x44cfeb…
05-22 07:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x71af44…
05-22 07:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xd147b9…
05-21 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x06fc73…
05-20 15:51:02	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x71ad64…
05-19 17:17:06	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0xf900ad…
05-18 10:35:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	174	2¢	$4	0xe27107…
05-17 17:59:32	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xefff13…
05-16 08:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0xf4b2bc…
05-16 07:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xf4034f…
05-13 17:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x8f0862…
05-12 13:08:22	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?	Gujarat Titans	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x150847…
05-10 08:48:39	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x392d38…
05-09 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x3be7d1…
05-08 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x0110d3…
05-08 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0xbd9d39…
05-08 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x535ce8…
05-08 11:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x6775e7…
05-06 16:02:45	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8d02c8…
05-06 14:00:08	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?	Punjab Kings	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xccbe1c…
05-06 13:25:10	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?	Punjab Kings	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xc35d87…
05-05 15:42:44	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x2f977e…
05-03 09:55:24	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xcab3e3…
05-01 17:42:58	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8e6a14…
04-23 07:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x8b9019…
04-22 14:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x802c0a…
04-22 14:11:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	578	11¢	$64	0x17fe5b…
04-22 12:23:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	599	53¢	$317	0x8a18b7…
04-19 08:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x7cf15a…
04-19 04:21:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	99	51¢	$50	0xe70372…
04-19 03:15:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xdfa153…
04-19 01:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xc079e5…
04-18 15:45:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xde9fc8…
04-18 15:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	116	57¢	$66	0x58beba…
04-18 15:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x66e00e…
04-18 15:26:02	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xbca8ce…
04-18 14:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6817b7…
04-18 13:56:10	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc6496b…
04-18 12:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xf21dac…
04-18 11:27:36	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd273d9…
04-18 11:26:12	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	280	64¢	$179	0x7b82e9…
04-18 09:40:16	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	97	68¢	$66	0x0c2eb9…
04-18 09:37:46	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	183	68¢	$124	0xbe9336…
04-18 07:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x25d655…
04-18 07:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6a0706…
04-18 07:21:46	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x8c2e07…
04-18 07:21:02	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xa66a3b…
04-18 07:20:36	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x5bd141…
04-18 07:14:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x65e574…
04-18 04:01:34	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x6a1e4e…
04-17 19:25:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	74	90¢	$67	0x9070e4…
04-17 19:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x609a28…
04-17 19:14:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xab84ae…
04-17 19:01:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xbdafcb…
04-17 18:43:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x8e05b2…
04-17 18:32:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x13a042…
04-17 18:08:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	86	96¢	$83	0x7a705b…
04-17 18:00:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x6780fb…
04-17 17:37:24	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	96	92¢	$88	0x6d7f5e…
04-17 17:00:26	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa4d5f7…
04-17 16:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xabbd22…
04-17 16:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x6c1527…
04-17 13:08:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	139	15¢	$21	0xf48a2f…
04-17 13:07:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	139	15¢	$21	0xe2d15f…