Long-Morning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

187

Trades

644

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-04 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

47% 21% +$127

Politics

34% 23% -$54

Tech

13% 56% +$5

Sports

3% 5% -$51

Crypto

2% 33% -$9

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+111	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	04-30 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	15	$1.2K	610	610	+0	Yes	+$1	04-20 11:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$1.2K	610	610	+0	No	+$0	04-20 07:52
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$994	540	540	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 07:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-30 08:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$979	500	500	+0	No	-$1	04-30 12:43
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$961	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 07:23
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$904	650	650	+0	Yes	+$384	07-06 03:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$792	400	400	+0	Yes	-$2	04-07 08:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$587	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 06:44
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	9	$458	800	800	+0	open	—	11-04 05:32
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$408	680	0	+680	Yes	+$272	06-28 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$391	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-09 06:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$391	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-03 03:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	7	$355	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 13:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	14	$347	1,143	1,143	+0	No	-$6	05-25 13:20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$339	660	0	+660	No	-$339	06-25 15:24
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$330	500	0	+500	Yes	+$170	06-23 13:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 07:31
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	1	$288	600	0	+600	Yes	+$312	07-01 11:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	12	$264	261	261	+0	No	-$1	11-03 06:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$258	750	750	+0	No	+$0	06-03 10:44
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	7	$245	361	361	+0	No	-$2	11-04 05:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	6	$235	371	371	+0	open	—	11-04 05:39
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$224	600	600	+0	open	—	06-03 13:56
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$212	450	0	+450	Yes	+$238	06-18 20:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	6	$204	121	121	+0	open	—	11-03 06:37
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$202	4,200	4,200	+0	No	-$8	07-09 21:34
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	1	$202	650	0	+650	No	-$202	07-05 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:43:24	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0xe9c347…
11-04 05:43:13	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	121	2¢	$2	0x9f68af…
11-04 05:42:51	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xa19872…
11-04 05:42:25	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0908e5…
11-04 05:41:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x1ee9bd…
11-04 05:41:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xb275bb…
11-04 05:39:22	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	120	86¢	$103	0x1f55ff…
11-04 05:38:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x24779e…
11-04 05:38:03	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0xd6bede…
11-04 05:37:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	122	14¢	$17	0x36abdc…
11-04 05:36:33	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xd0da44…
11-04 05:35:48	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6ae8c0…
11-04 05:35:03	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x927a55…
11-04 05:34:48	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x32a527…
11-04 05:34:31	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0xa4f95c…
11-04 05:34:24	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x38b47e…
11-04 05:34:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x61fb71…
11-04 05:33:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x4caf94…
11-04 05:32:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x6f75fa…
11-04 05:31:30	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	251	5¢	$12	0xe6b9f9…
11-04 05:29:39	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x830696…
11-04 05:28:09	Will Nuhu Angbazo win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x061182…
11-04 05:24:58	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xc0e9d6…
11-04 05:24:21	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x2d204e…
11-04 05:24:16	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x492107…
11-04 05:24:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0xcac3d6…
11-04 05:24:00	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x6fd5cc…
11-04 05:23:09	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xbb2ebf…
11-04 05:22:31	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x6c0246…
11-04 05:21:34	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x819ea4…
11-04 05:21:34	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x54e984…
11-04 05:21:34	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x009714…
11-04 05:21:01	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6b41a1…
11-04 05:19:27	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x651788…
11-04 05:19:18	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0xc6acad…
11-04 05:17:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0x1e4ea8…
11-04 05:17:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1bfec1…
11-04 05:16:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x43ba85…
11-04 05:16:31	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xc0103c…
11-04 05:16:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	224	8¢	$18	0x99af5d…
11-04 05:16:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	176	8¢	$14	0x97442f…
11-04 05:15:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x5bab72…
11-04 05:15:19	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x51bedb…
11-04 05:15:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3222c7…
11-04 05:15:10	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xda40f4…
11-04 05:14:52	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x3207c7…
11-04 05:14:39	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xd34f90…
11-04 05:13:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x5359ce…
11-04 05:13:06	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa29e7…
11-04 05:12:16	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x8dca6b…
11-04 05:11:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x5d648a…
11-04 05:10:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0xcd25df…
11-04 05:10:16	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xdedc91…
11-04 05:10:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc3f1c2…
11-04 05:09:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x4bb5a0…
11-04 05:09:04	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	190	8¢	$15	0x484f6f…
11-03 06:55:30	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xda11b5…
11-03 06:49:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x84999b…
11-03 06:48:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x6c9634…
11-03 06:48:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x618965…
11-03 06:47:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xbfff0f…
11-03 06:44:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd1fe24…
11-03 06:39:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe4bc79…
11-03 06:37:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xaafff7…
11-03 06:36:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xb563ec…
11-03 06:34:22	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xf27850…
11-03 06:34:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x872734…
11-03 06:32:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd68713…
11-03 06:24:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x69643f…
11-03 06:23:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x8a1ef3…
11-03 06:23:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$17	0x303692…
11-03 06:20:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$17	0x06d89b…
11-03 06:13:31	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xb11c66…
11-03 06:12:39	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x588185…
11-03 06:04:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x4a3bd8…
11-03 05:58:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5682a9…
11-03 05:56:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0xb11148…
11-03 05:55:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x4a894f…
11-03 05:55:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x14a71c…
11-03 05:54:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x7e6e1d…
11-03 05:44:19	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xc558b8…
11-02 07:31:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xaa68b9…
11-02 07:13:46	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x8fe79c…
11-02 07:11:12	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x6ca5c7…
11-02 07:00:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xc1076a…
11-02 07:00:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xe9bdcb…
11-02 06:55:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$81	0x538821…
11-02 06:37:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8789f0…
11-02 06:35:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9482be…
11-02 06:29:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x55a70e…
11-02 06:29:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8e79ac…
11-02 06:28:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5148c8…
11-02 06:28:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x72c967…
11-02 06:27:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x55e6c2…
11-02 06:25:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x530aae…
11-02 05:56:06	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x4c5935…
11-02 05:53:18	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x69006d…
11-02 05:53:18	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	86	17¢	$15	0x5ab591…
11-02 05:44:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xe508db…
11-02 05:40:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5d8887…