Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$420

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$503

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 03-18 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

41% 0% -$205

Crypto

30% 30% -$71

Other

29% 0% -$144

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$115	1,617	0	+1,617	No	-$115	03-03 11:39
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$49	1,699	0	+1,699	No	-$49	03-03 13:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$45	7,500	0	+7,500	No	-$45	02-28 13:02
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$30	1,689	0	+1,689	No	-$30	02-22 09:21
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$30	216	0	+216	No	-$30	03-03 11:53
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$29	27,370	370	+27,000	No	-$28	03-18 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:35 UTC	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	02-28 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC	2	$22	18	18	+0	Down	+$12	02-28 14:03
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$20	1,547	0	+1,547	No	-$20	03-03 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:20 UTC	1	$20	163	0	+163	Down	-$20	02-28 08:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:35 UTC	1	$20	71	0	+71	Up	-$20	02-28 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:25 UTC	1	$20	189	0	+189	Up	-$20	02-28 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:45 UTC	1	$17	50	0	+50	Down	-$17	02-28 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:10 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	02-28 13:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$15	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$15	03-17 08:22
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	2	$6	759	0	+759	Yes	-$6	03-18 18:14
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$5	833	0	+833	No	-$5	02-28 18:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	1	$5	1,700	0	+1,700	No	-$5	02-28 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:15 UTC	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	-$5	02-28 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:10 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	03-01 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	-$5	02-28 14:05
will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	1	$1	53	0	+53	Yes	-$1	03-18 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-18 18:14:13	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x55a073…
03-18 17:10:45	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x2864d5…
03-18 15:49:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x04a994…
03-17 13:25:05	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xfa5605…
03-17 08:22:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xc42a0d…
03-17 07:43:51	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	509	1¢	$5	0x4c4841…
03-16 16:23:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x15e093…
03-16 15:20:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x695060…
03-16 09:24:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x0ebfb8…
03-06 06:17:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	370	0¢	$1	0x5a6cdc…
03-05 07:12:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	370	0¢	$1	0x16ce95…
03-03 13:27:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$9	0x876ff9…
03-03 11:53:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	216	14¢	$30	0xe4b5cf…
03-03 11:39:51	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	Yes	BUY	1,547	1¢	$20	0x2d7038…
03-03 11:39:37	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	403	7¢	$30	0xbee295…
03-03 11:31:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,214	7¢	$85	0x20402a…
03-02 11:12:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	556	3¢	$15	0x4f2d4e…
03-01 12:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0a0f12…
02-28 18:09:49	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x71f53b…
02-28 14:33:45	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$5	0xcb3733…
02-28 14:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe48e8a…
02-28 14:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x0bcfb2…
02-28 14:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2c2c74…
02-28 13:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd31384…
02-28 13:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x09ce93…
02-28 13:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6c22d0…
02-28 13:04:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	543	5¢	$25	0x5f6ab2…
02-28 13:02:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,500	1¢	$45	0xd88799…
02-28 12:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xeb4ba3…
02-28 12:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe0cded…
02-28 08:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	189	11¢	$20	0x5d6eff…
02-28 08:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	163	12¢	$20	0x73476e…
02-28 07:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x375bc8…
02-28 07:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x2702e7…
02-22 09:21:18	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,689	2¢	$30	0x3f479f…