Alarming-Research — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$119.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$710

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-24 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Sports

43% 85% +$2,044

Other

37% 72% +$23

Politics

17% 100% +$28

Crypto

3% 50% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50m views in its first 7 days	10	$8.6K	4,300	4,300	+0	No	+$0	02-12 21:30
will lou jeanmonnot record the most medals at the 2026 winter olympics 744	17	$7.9K	3,962	3,962	+0	No	+$0	02-18 12:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$7.7K	3,947	3,947	+0	Yes	+$17	03-01 00:14
will poland record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 651	2	$7.7K	3,849	3,849	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 09:34
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	2	$7.7K	3,849	3,849	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 18:44
will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	11	$7.7K	3,849	3,849	+0	Yes	$0	02-22 15:39
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$6.7K	3,353	3,353	+0	No	+$7	03-18 03:24
will stephen curry win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 379	11	$6.7K	3,348	3,348	+0	No	+$0	02-15 09:11
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$5.8K	3,852	2,002	+1,850	Yes	+$6	02-28 08:13
will giannis antetokounmpo win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 711	3	$4.0K	3,958	0	+3,958	No	+$8	02-15 21:48
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	3	$3.9K	1,978	1,978	+0	No	+$6	02-25 14:06
will the dhs shutdown end between february 24 27 2026	2	$3.9K	1,968	1,968	+0	No	+$2	02-27 20:38
fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	5	$3.9K	3,880	0	+3,880	No	+$7	03-06 21:34
Prince Andrew released by February 21?	4	$3.7K	1,872	1,872	+0	Yes	$0	02-19 22:13
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$3.4K	1,697	1,697	+0	No	+$0	02-28 07:08
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	4	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$0	02-12 22:00
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	9	$2.7K	806	2,994	-2,188	No	$0	02-12 21:50
Prince Andrew released by February 22?	8	$2.5K	1,268	1,268	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 22:12
will the dhs shutdown end between february 28 march 3 2026	1	$2.3K	2,350	0	+2,350	No	+$2	03-04 00:08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	02-28 08:15
spx up or down on february 23 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$0	02-23 19:45
nba por uta 2026 02 12 total 234pt5	4	$2.0K	3,850	0	+3,850	Over	+$1,886	02-12 22:39
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 0 19	1	$1.5K	1,522	0	+1,522	No	+$2	03-04 00:09
spl sha riy 2025 12 20 sha	5	$1.5K	1,477	0	+1,477	Yes	+$2	02-23 20:57
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	2	$1.4K	709	709	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 22:05
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	3	$1.1K	549	549	+0	No	+$1	03-11 04:13
will tsla reach 533 in february	1	$1.0K	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$1	02-27 21:28
will nvda dip to 144 in february	1	$959	960	0	+960	No	+$1	02-27 21:32
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 0 19	2	$617	309	309	+0	No	+$0	02-26 18:20
white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	1	$549	550	0	+550	No	+$1	03-17 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 18:45:45	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x9ac125…
07-15 18:15:44	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xb23f71…
07-03 21:48:41	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x257212…
07-03 21:48:25	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$103	0x73cc51…
06-30 00:50:31	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xedd948…
06-25 22:25:20	Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	244	99¢	$243	0x48faee…
06-08 23:33:03	will trump say get out and vote during tele rally 20260608165428975	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe6fd2f…
06-08 23:32:46	will trump say game during tele rally 20260608165428976	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x395b8b…
06-07 02:07:40	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10,666	1¢	$139	0x684607…
06-06 18:57:39	will luke kornet score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421909	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x44041e…
06-06 18:57:21	will jordan clarkson score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421912	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xba2201…
06-06 18:56:36	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xd0d258…
06-06 18:54:15	Will Mitchell Robinson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdd7584…
05-26 02:02:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xe25137…
05-11 23:41:42	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0xadf458…
05-11 23:41:23	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xbba171…
05-11 23:41:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x456eed…
04-04 21:42:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x050099…
03-26 17:28:19	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xc541ad…
03-24 21:16:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 0 19	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x0f7414…
03-23 19:45:25	will trump say favored nation during memphis roundtable 971	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xae6c0e…
03-23 19:45:15	will trump say egg during memphis roundtable 331	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x09a869…
03-18 03:24:39	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,038	100¢	$1,037	0x148339…
03-18 03:22:49	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	2,315	100¢	$2,312	0xf7645f…
03-17 19:36:07	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xeaf8d9…
03-16 05:47:19	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe79b5c…
03-16 04:14:31	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2bb98a…
03-11 18:33:07	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 20 39	No	BUY	549	100¢	$548	0xb9414f…
03-11 04:13:27	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x872db7…
03-11 04:13:25	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	No	SELL	417	100¢	$417	0x5da4c2…
03-10 22:43:11	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3,353	100¢	$3,342	0xf69eb5…
03-08 02:51:35	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	No	BUY	549	100¢	$548	0xae1af0…
03-06 21:34:31	fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	No	BUY	486	100¢	$485	0xcf8f25…
03-06 21:33:23	fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	No	BUY	2,820	100¢	$2,814	0x082c81…
03-06 21:33:21	fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x35dd24…
03-06 21:32:55	fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2c3dbe…
03-06 21:32:47	fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	No	BUY	485	100¢	$484	0x6b978c…
03-04 00:09:01	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 0 19	No	BUY	1,522	100¢	$1,521	0xa44545…
03-04 00:08:35	will the dhs shutdown end between february 28 march 3 2026	No	BUY	2,350	100¢	$2,348	0xf5a4d7…
03-01 00:14:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	945	98¢	$926	0x42c666…
03-01 00:14:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,002	98¢	$2,942	0x081e33…
02-28 22:37:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x6902eb…
02-28 22:37:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	208	98¢	$203	0xe1e1ad…
02-28 22:37:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x4be430…
02-28 22:37:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,623	98¢	$3,535	0x9716e8…
02-28 08:15:03	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x128f64…
02-28 08:14:43	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc96704…
02-28 08:14:17	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea2a7f…
02-28 08:14:17	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,844	100¢	$1,842	0x93ce6a…
02-28 08:13:33	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x4aa9bb…
02-28 07:09:03	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,852	100¢	$3,844	0x4208d7…
02-28 07:08:23	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	1,697	100¢	$1,695	0x8f2f8c…
02-28 00:20:43	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x2c4d00…
02-27 21:32:39	will nvda dip to 144 in february	No	BUY	960	100¢	$959	0x5dbac2…
02-27 21:28:07	will tsla reach 533 in february	No	BUY	1,008	100¢	$1,007	0x23a7ef…
02-27 20:38:09	will the dhs shutdown end between february 24 27 2026	No	SELL	1,968	100¢	$1,966	0xa13ba4…
02-26 18:20:04	donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 0 19	No	SELL	309	100¢	$309	0xd2cff2…
02-25 18:50:56	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1,697	100¢	$1,695	0x061947…
02-25 18:25:12	donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 0 19	No	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0x214285…
02-25 14:06:16	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	SELL	1,978	100¢	$1,976	0x159cd0…
02-24 22:04:52	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	852	100¢	$849	0xc01bea…
02-24 22:02:48	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x504ff8…
02-24 22:02:40	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	1,126	100¢	$1,121	0x891bc2…
02-24 08:13:40	will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xde050c…
02-24 04:59:20	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x791496…
02-23 21:10:24	will the dhs shutdown end between february 24 27 2026	No	BUY	1,968	100¢	$1,964	0xee9871…
02-23 20:57:58	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 sha	Yes	BUY	654	100¢	$653	0xc734d1…
02-23 20:43:30	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 sha	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe00bca…
02-23 20:43:18	spl qad ett 2025 12 19 qad	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x48372f…
02-23 20:43:00	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 sha	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b9078…
02-23 20:42:36	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 sha	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x5da74e…
02-23 20:42:14	spl sha riy 2025 12 20 sha	Yes	BUY	570	100¢	$569	0x6961fa…
02-23 19:47:34	will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0b60a8…
02-23 19:45:46	spx up or down on february 23 2026	Down	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe41799…
02-23 19:43:00	spx up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x879226…
02-22 18:44:36	epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	Yes	SELL	3,849	100¢	$3,845	0x8d6592…
02-22 18:32:52	epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	Yes	BUY	3,849	100¢	$3,845	0x61f63d…
02-22 15:39:26	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x238ba3…
02-22 15:37:38	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0xe6361c…
02-22 15:34:48	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x557905…
02-22 15:33:36	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0xe8bc50…
02-22 15:31:56	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x9db3ed…
02-22 15:29:20	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x4dd7d9…
02-22 15:26:16	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x6d20ba…
02-22 15:26:00	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xfd7ae7…
02-22 15:25:24	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	480	100¢	$480	0x8086a1…
02-22 15:18:10	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf4cfbd…
02-21 22:22:22	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	BUY	3,849	100¢	$3,845	0xb4f279…
02-19 22:13:14	Prince Andrew released by February 21?	Yes	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x9829ac…
02-19 22:12:54	Prince Andrew released by February 21?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x05055f…
02-19 22:12:44	Prince Andrew released by February 21?	Yes	SELL	656	100¢	$655	0xc3f0f4…
02-19 22:12:10	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	321	100¢	$321	0x563288…
02-19 22:11:04	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfef44a…
02-19 22:09:56	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xadf087…
02-19 22:09:38	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xfd8411…
02-19 22:05:52	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	Yes	SELL	709	100¢	$708	0xeefac9…
02-19 22:04:54	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xd65387…
02-19 22:04:54	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x982246…
02-19 22:02:20	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x775770…
02-19 20:57:56	Prince Andrew released by February 22?	Yes	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,267	0x28c04c…