Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.82K

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

476

Trades

6,574

lifetime

Volume

$2.41M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$366

Open exposure

$838

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-14 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

78% 91% -$9,139

Crypto

11% 39% +$10,301

Politics

7% 67% -$62,167

Sports

4% 79% -$7,175

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	-10,025	-$1,805	6¢	$-652	+$1,154	09-14 19:16
ebola pandemic in 2026	No	+115	-$538	97¢	$112	+$650	09-07 17:38
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-76	-$75	99¢	$-74	+$0	09-14 19:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+0	-$14	97¢	$0	+$14	05-29 10:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	76	$146.2K	100,000	50,000	+50,000	No	+$2,471	05-22 13:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	58	$139.8K	105,800	40,330	+65,469	Yes	-$62,928	04-07 15:13
ebola pandemic in 2026	365	$124.0K	66,780	66,665	+115	open	—	09-07 17:38
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	160	$93.3K	72,670	23,665	+49,005	No	+$2,117	03-01 14:58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	191	$47.0K	60,000	60,000	+0	No	+$400	05-30 16:01
highest temperature in nyc on february 11 2026 33forbelow	7	$45.8K	45,831	0	+45,831	No	+$50	02-11 07:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	37	$39.2K	20,400	20,400	+0	open	—	08-31 21:14
will the highest temperature in new york city be 19f or below on february 1	6	$35.0K	35,000	0	+35,000	No	+$45	02-01 10:44
highest temperature in nyc on february 16 2026 32 33f	10	$34.8K	35,240	0	+35,240	No	+$423	02-16 13:21
highest temperature in london on january 29 5c	5	$30.3K	30,468	0	+30,468	No	+$164	01-29 10:50
highest temperature in nyc on february 9 2026 23forbelow	23	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$30	02-09 14:42
highest temperature in nyc on february 14 2026 35forbelow	16	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$106	02-14 09:35
highest temperature in nyc on february 11 2026 34 35f	18	$29.8K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$221	02-11 08:03
highest temperature in nyc on january 2 26 27f	5	$21.8K	22,000	0	+22,000	No	+$162	01-02 16:55
highest temperature in nyc on february 9 2026 24 25f	7	$20.0K	20,160	0	+20,160	No	+$126	02-09 07:07
highest temperature in nyc on january 31 26 27f	22	$20.0K	10,169	9,940	+229	No	+$20	02-01 09:30
highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 3c	64	$20.0K	20,005	0	+20,005	Yes	+$21	01-30 13:00
highest temperature in nyc on january 8 42 43f	4	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$33	01-08 10:26
will amzn close between 215 and 220 week january 2 2026	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$34	01-02 15:23
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 44forhigher	26	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$46	02-13 19:03
highest temperature in nyc on february 12 2026 42 43f	11	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$66	02-12 17:08
highest temperature in chicago on february 20 2026 38 39f	470	$19.6K	10,000	9,996	+4	No	+$270	02-20 06:03
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$19.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$800	06-15 22:44
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$19.1K	20,000	16,589	+3,411	No	-$266	05-30 17:15
highest temperature in london on january 12 15corhigher	8	$19.0K	19,000	0	+19,000	No	+$19	01-12 09:27
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	68	$18.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$673	06-24 09:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	251	$18.9K	10,100	10,100	+0	open	—	05-29 10:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	15	$18.8K	9,503	9,503	+0	No	+$152	04-24 08:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	19	$17.9K	24,263	4,271	+19,992	Yes	+$7,543	05-16 15:11
highest temperature in nyc on february 16 2026 34 35f	18	$16.5K	16,998	0	+16,998	No	+$460	02-16 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 19:17:10	Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x7e22f9…
09-14 19:16:37	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,814	9¢	$163	0x95a305…
09-09 13:26:58	Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	183	98¢	$179	0xc81bd1…
09-09 13:26:54	Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xec4903…
09-07 17:38:10	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3,340	96¢	$3,220	0x890229…
08-31 21:14:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	939	96¢	$905	0xe06c51…
08-31 21:05:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x5685f2…
08-31 20:17:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0xa4f764…
08-31 20:10:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x079c53…
08-31 14:55:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb04de4…
08-31 14:17:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb8f4e5…
08-31 11:56:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	900	96¢	$868	0xf4c452…
08-31 03:18:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x08f53d…
08-31 02:25:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x23cb21…
08-31 01:56:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xcd69c0…
08-30 23:51:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xe5c146…
08-30 22:09:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	133	96¢	$129	0xfd5656…
08-30 19:09:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x5ada32…
08-30 16:33:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x703d7e…
08-30 14:22:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x15fc3b…
08-30 13:48:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x6b55a5…
08-30 13:32:03	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x288841…
08-30 11:14:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	207	96¢	$200	0x7ecd3f…
08-30 11:02:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$964	0x0b9682…
08-30 11:02:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$964	0xfa4f08…
08-30 09:16:52	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,455	96¢	$1,402	0xde16cc…
08-30 01:28:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	412	96¢	$397	0x918015…
08-29 21:43:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	764	96¢	$736	0xd6e545…
08-29 09:34:04	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,509	96¢	$1,455	0x0b1e5c…
08-28 09:04:37	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xaa8392…
08-28 07:18:49	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$49	0x3f4837…
08-28 03:16:31	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0xec3728…
08-28 00:47:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xcd72b8…
08-27 19:29:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	583	96¢	$562	0x55bc97…
08-27 19:03:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x298c38…
08-27 19:03:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,812	96¢	$1,747	0xd11f40…
08-27 06:21:04	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x3de5f6…
08-27 06:21:03	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2,292	96¢	$2,210	0xb3cbdd…
08-20 02:45:37	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	95¢	$1,140	0x8017c9…
08-09 15:42:03	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	189	93¢	$176	0x50f5a7…
08-08 11:41:12	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x42d46c…
08-07 13:51:31	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8ad25f…
08-07 13:35:52	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xc40616…
08-07 05:18:57	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0x29c491…
08-07 00:05:54	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xfcf1c0…
08-06 23:44:03	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$14	0xde5aa2…
08-06 23:28:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x1667f8…
08-06 19:45:06	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	331	93¢	$307	0x461c12…
08-06 17:52:02	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x796ecf…
08-06 08:25:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x68be10…
08-06 08:11:18	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdeddd6…
08-06 08:09:29	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ad829…
08-06 07:05:26	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	7,469	96¢	$7,178	0x582678…
08-06 04:28:45	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb900e7…
08-05 22:57:18	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xdfc295…
08-05 21:23:50	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x57e7ac…
08-05 21:15:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x3d81db…
08-05 14:45:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6,918	96¢	$6,642	0x328370…
08-05 11:44:15	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x7cef65…
08-05 08:46:03	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x23434a…
08-05 07:54:33	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xb4820f…
08-05 01:33:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0xb9b1e3…
08-04 23:21:06	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc6777a…
08-04 21:45:00	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6000ed…
08-04 21:08:54	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x627983…
08-04 20:58:23	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x865061…
08-04 20:54:38	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xba526e…
08-04 20:15:44	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3f0077…
08-04 20:04:39	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb7e8a9…
08-04 20:04:17	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc94a01…
08-04 19:58:09	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5dd8b4…
08-04 19:55:42	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdaae89…
08-04 19:45:53	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd00973…
08-04 19:18:11	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcaf316…
08-04 18:03:56	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x95df67…
08-04 17:41:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x62d6d2…
08-04 17:31:42	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3175e7…
08-04 15:41:02	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31bc75…
08-04 09:11:12	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xced597…
08-04 09:02:33	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfa6715…
08-04 08:52:38	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x74cc31…
08-04 08:45:35	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd2fac7…
08-04 08:39:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9895c5…
08-04 08:33:29	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x52859e…
08-04 08:17:11	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2f79f0…
08-04 08:08:47	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x67ecd3…
08-04 08:06:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6039a7…
08-04 08:03:47	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x3a61ca…
08-04 06:15:38	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xaea3db…
08-03 21:46:54	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x843fa6…
08-03 20:45:32	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x184ece…
08-03 20:34:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x90e75b…
08-03 20:12:35	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xbd952b…
08-03 18:45:32	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x36b2c7…
08-02 18:05:14	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xed370c…
08-02 17:48:54	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6dfe69…
07-18 06:13:31	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x968017…
07-18 06:05:55	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x223765…
07-03 09:49:41	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	531	93¢	$494	0xecca7c…
07-03 02:51:26	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	30	93¢	$27	0xbac113…