Grubby-Oldie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

26.6%

Resolved

Trades

568

lifetime

Volume

$5.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-09 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Sports

15% 0% $-0

Other

14% 100% +$0

Politics

8% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		+11	$9	90¢	$10	+$1	05-31 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	27	$174	116	116	+0	open	—	03-18 19:13
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$85	52	52	+0	open	—	03-20 03:04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$82	42	42	+0	No	$-0	03-19 11:05
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	03-12 11:40
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$56	45	45	+0	open	—	03-19 16:04
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$54	28	28	+0	No	$-0	03-19 21:14
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	03-13 23:36
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$50	32	32	+0	open	—	03-03 17:44
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	6	$50	44	7	+37	open	—	02-01 01:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	02-15 07:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-15 06:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$46	41	41	+0	Yes	$-0	02-14 11:42
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-16 04:53
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	6	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$0	02-27 20:03
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-05 15:58
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	02-19 03:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	02-01 06:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	02-19 12:51
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	6	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	02-01 13:52
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-19 09:51
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-22 08:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	02-06 14:45
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-17 04:26
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-05 05:59
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-09 03:46
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-04 01:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	3	$24	15	9	+6	open	—	02-25 15:59
bun dor hei 2026 02 01 hei	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-01 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 18:57
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	06-08 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:08:24	wnba phx gsv 2026 06 09 spread home 7pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4a1498…
06-09 23:51:48	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0870d8…
06-09 16:18:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xcd0164…
06-09 01:42:37	mlb cin sd 2026 06 08	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x220b4b…
06-09 01:23:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x38b3a4…
06-08 07:08:34	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x396402…
06-08 04:02:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xb6a40b…
06-07 22:25:18	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xb89ee9…
06-07 20:47:06	mlb cin stl 2026 06 07 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x68a439…
06-07 20:03:03	mlb sea det 2026 06 07 spread away 3pt5	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x8fcfa9…
06-07 03:34:40	mlb mil col 2026 06 06 spread away 3pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x6cda82…
06-06 17:23:27	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 159pt5	Over	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x6a74bd…
06-06 00:18:06	mlb cin stl 2026 06 05	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x27eb80…
06-05 02:34:40	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xca656e…
06-05 00:38:15	wnba atl ind 2026 06 04	Indiana Fever	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf990ad…
06-04 01:38:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 3pt5	Spurs	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf89354…
06-03 01:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x842f85…
06-01 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc74a92…
06-01 07:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc3db1a…
05-31 21:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b8424…
05-31 21:51:37	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x93b1cc…
05-31 20:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc9bb2a…
05-31 19:08:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xedea20…
05-31 19:05:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xe367c0…
05-31 15:06:37	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a3a80…
05-30 22:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xda1b1a…
05-30 05:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xa27298…
05-29 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9a5d34…
05-29 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bfa8a…
05-29 03:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xaf636f…
05-29 01:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8951bc…
05-27 16:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xe0922c…
05-26 05:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6de425…
05-23 22:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0104f2…
05-22 11:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x234ab0…
05-21 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe9e18f…
05-21 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79873a…
05-21 02:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb778a7…
05-20 07:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf2c987…
05-20 05:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb77976…
05-19 22:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f3160…
05-19 20:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76de54…
05-19 15:14:41	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x4862a0…
05-19 11:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd2ac87…
05-19 03:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x78b6bd…
05-18 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d3d41…
05-18 07:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc84244…
05-18 03:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xe8f478…
05-18 01:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7aa164…
05-17 21:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5a066a…
05-17 03:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x62419e…
05-16 11:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x7cfcf2…
05-16 06:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xddd79f…
05-15 22:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e4d7a…
05-15 17:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf8c7e…
05-15 09:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf72afd…
05-15 08:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6be7ae…
05-15 06:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d372e…
05-15 04:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1eb612…
05-15 00:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f5882…
05-14 18:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x53614a…
05-14 18:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x674e88…
05-14 11:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfad6b0…
05-14 04:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x64d768…
05-14 03:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x321fa3…
05-13 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfefd50…
05-07 14:37:36	Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbedf27…
04-26 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xe5a6a8…
04-26 03:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xda976b…
04-25 20:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdc6bf2…
04-25 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7213c1…
04-25 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x834608…
04-24 22:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x817a7b…
04-24 13:55:14	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xab9105…
04-24 10:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9e6ec2…
04-24 08:51:32	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6d4ab0…
04-23 10:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x217d0b…
04-23 08:51:22	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6eb5c…
04-23 05:56:40	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x922d12…
04-23 02:51:32	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bdb6b…
04-23 00:56:12	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x365ff8…
04-22 23:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x946408…
04-22 20:55:16	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b2ed2…
04-22 18:57:30	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc0fc2e…
04-22 05:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaddbc2…
04-21 23:50:28	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c54a3…
04-21 19:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x44ef1d…
04-21 14:57:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xcd788f…
04-21 14:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2c3832…
04-21 12:50:12	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x21ccde…
04-21 10:50:50	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa30706…
04-21 09:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x18a87d…
04-21 03:57:34	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf3d0d4…
04-21 02:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x007f17…
04-20 23:50:38	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb49e4b…
04-20 19:57:46	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x4762d5…
04-20 14:55:16	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x983b0a…
04-20 11:54:30	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcd0428…
04-20 08:54:22	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x89b8f3…
04-15 06:57:10	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x306653…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	278	$11.5K	2,266	06-03 02:02
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	275	$686.2K	96,572	06-03 02:00
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	269	$790	308	06-01 20:01
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	257	$38.4K	15,200	06-03 01:59
Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee	252	$1.20K	403	06-03 01:00
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	240	$18.8K	5,090	06-03 01:33
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	238	$2.93K	289	06-03 01:12
Adventurous-Marksman 0x0084…4c4f	235	$79.4K	242	06-03 01:51