Few-Vibration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

306

Trades

977

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$193

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-04 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

47% 60% -$74

Politics

31% 65% -$33

Crypto

21% 69% -$18

Sports

1% 61% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,355	$125	14¢	$183	+$58	10-18 17:02
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+768	$20	1¢	$7	-$13	06-14 02:50
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,000	$10	0¢	$3	-$7	07-14 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	63	$185	4,585	4,585	+0	open	—	08-07 09:17
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	12	$125	1,355	0	+1,355	open	—	10-18 17:02
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$78	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	09-15 10:16
highest temperature in ankara on february 3 2026 6c	90	$62	91	91	-0	Yes	-$44	02-03 08:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$49	446	446	+0	open	—	07-06 09:12
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$46	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	10-27 08:31
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$40	111	111	+0	No	+$20	07-19 09:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$34	75	75	+0	open	—	11-04 22:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$28	127	127	+0	Yes	+$3	08-29 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:00 UTC	10	$25	50	30	+20	Up	+$2	02-04 18:10
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	12	$23	909	909	+0	No	+$3	06-02 18:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:45 UTC	2	$23	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	02-06 12:48
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	3	$23	100	66	+34	No	+$3	08-27 09:46
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$22	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-22 11:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	6	$22	27	16	+11	Down	-$5	02-06 15:13
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	7	$22	187	78	+109	No	-$4	06-25 12:57
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	6	$21	435	435	+0	No	+$1	08-12 07:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:30 UTC	2	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	02-06 12:30
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$20	768	0	+768	open	—	06-14 02:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:15 UTC	8	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	02-06 12:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 16:00 UTC	4	$18	36	0	+36	Up	-$5	02-06 16:01
highest temperature in dallas on february 3 2026 62forhigher	17	$17	10	10	-0	Yes	$0	02-03 07:39
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	17	$17	500	179	+321	No	-$3	10-04 10:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:15 UTC	8	$15	20	15	+5	Up	+$2	02-04 18:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 1 34corbelow	7	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 20:15
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	3	$12	50	50	+0	No	+$2	06-17 05:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:45 UTC	8	$11	23	3	+20	Down	+$1	02-06 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 10:15 UTC	2	$11	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	02-07 10:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:15 UTC	6	$11	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	02-06 14:28
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	3	$10	333	155	+178	No	-$10	10-04 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:52:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	75	41¢	$31	0x62cae4…
10-27 08:31:35	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,400	1¢	$14	0x4b81d5…
10-18 17:02:45	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0xabb2a5…
10-18 16:57:45	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	461	9¢	$41	0xaa6184…
10-12 02:40:06	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x68fe8f…
10-12 02:39:08	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x44dba6…
10-12 01:14:08	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x17b693…
10-12 01:13:11	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5afb33…
10-11 23:33:08	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	779	0¢	$3	0x90b2e9…
10-11 23:31:06	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x097fd2…
10-04 10:24:16	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x9ffb99…
10-04 10:23:50	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	155	0¢	$0	0xb2d8bc…
10-01 20:56:42	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	139	4¢	$6	0x0c500e…
09-28 04:06:41	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	327	3¢	$10	0x66cc97…
09-26 00:09:48	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x275077…
09-22 10:26:54	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x6794ce…
09-21 16:59:27	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x9bea62…
09-21 16:59:27	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x7dbf9e…
09-21 16:59:27	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x523bbe…
09-19 09:49:49	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc90671…
09-17 22:40:25	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x23e4b6…
09-17 11:08:36	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x00c6e9…
09-17 10:49:58	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe02d1e…
09-17 10:05:22	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0xdab07b…
09-15 10:16:37	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	670	2¢	$15	0x4b8490…
09-13 19:38:58	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,012	1¢	$8	0xb37829…
09-13 19:27:43	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x54abe1…
09-13 19:03:48	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xad3ffd…
09-13 18:55:30	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x7dfad6…
09-13 18:48:21	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x5b0778…
09-13 18:43:25	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x43a4b6…
09-13 18:39:40	Spain/USA vs. France/Germany	France	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x4c67f6…
09-13 18:38:52	Spain/USA vs. France/Germany	France/Germany	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x13b090…
09-13 18:37:03	Spain/USA vs. France/Germany	France/Germany	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x475e46…
09-13 18:24:03	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	987	1¢	$8	0xa996fe…
09-06 11:35:03	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	347	2¢	$5	0x4c9a9d…
09-06 11:34:04	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x8343a7…
09-06 11:34:00	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xdb8ca4…
09-05 15:12:19	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x355aa3…
09-05 14:46:03	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0ff562…
09-05 14:45:01	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,898	0¢	$9	0x1cc58b…
09-03 14:54:34	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x88810b…
09-03 14:50:07	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x333df5…
09-03 14:50:03	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xded9fc…
09-03 14:50:03	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x841141…
09-03 14:50:01	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0c20ce…
08-31 22:33:19	Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x073da0…
08-29 18:14:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0xab65eb…
08-29 18:12:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	54	12¢	$6	0x1ae8f8…
08-27 09:46:18	Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x6aa309…
08-19 18:27:51	Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	66	19¢	$13	0xecb45b…
08-12 07:06:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	435	2¢	$11	0x602a45…
08-07 09:17:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	292	2¢	$6	0x513bae…
08-07 07:49:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	208	2¢	$4	0xcaa7e5…
08-03 06:30:42	Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0xf98f23…
07-28 18:26:10	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x63dd70…
07-23 07:42:00	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$3	0xe4685a…
07-23 07:41:07	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x123a57…
07-23 07:40:21	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xe40d0f…
07-22 05:34:06	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x506fd4…
07-22 03:30:07	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	168	2¢	$4	0xde1e9f…
07-19 19:21:09	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe3c794…
07-19 09:15:15	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	111	27¢	$30	0x9487d0…
07-14 10:19:11	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xc321ee…
07-11 21:29:02	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x9487b9…
07-11 04:55:46	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xe40fe2…
07-10 18:43:04	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x0f5c24…
07-07 19:50:58	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x3c90ef…
07-07 18:19:02	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xc0f1e6…
07-07 18:18:17	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4edb36…
07-07 11:52:04	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xc1a5ad…
07-06 09:12:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	133	7¢	$10	0x3413cd…
07-06 07:17:47	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	117	7¢	$8	0xa0287f…
07-05 19:14:41	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x99ce57…
07-05 11:24:59	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x4c6075…
06-30 07:09:14	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xb6de5f…
06-27 01:34:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x70d8ac…
06-27 01:34:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x59cc37…
06-26 23:21:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x977acf…
06-26 23:17:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xfb9615…
06-26 23:02:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x142a0b…
06-26 23:01:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xd63a4a…
06-26 22:41:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xad3a2f…
06-26 22:41:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	256	2¢	$5	0x619444…
06-25 12:57:11	Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xbe31ee…
06-24 21:43:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	555	2¢	$10	0x907bce…
06-24 00:28:05	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,330	2¢	$33	0x5579e7…
06-23 15:45:05	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x39cd3f…
06-23 14:50:19	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x9062a7…
06-23 13:46:22	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xf5bac5…
06-23 04:39:14	Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x215cb7…
06-22 11:10:14	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	373	1¢	$4	0x884654…
06-22 10:45:58	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x53c58e…
06-22 10:12:25	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	625	1¢	$8	0x5491d1…
06-21 12:47:41	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,330	2¢	$20	0x5603df…
06-20 01:29:22	Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0x474e2e…
06-18 23:40:22	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x06d83c…
06-18 21:25:46	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0x38e3d5…
06-18 20:06:19	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0xfdfae6…
06-18 19:06:11	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x91b60d…