Straight-Bird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$132

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-02 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

37% 100% +$25

Politics

34% 78% -$368

Crypto

20% 100% +$10

Tech

9% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+73	$72	99¢	$72	+$0	11-02 05:13
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+62	$60	97¢	$60	$0	11-02 05:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on colombia by january 31	1	$362	365	+365	No	+$3	01-23 07:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$250	261	+261	Yes	-$250	05-07 05:02
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	1	$223	224	+224	No	+$1	04-12 06:07
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$210	225	+225	No	+$15	03-24 01:53
will ethereum dip to 1600 february 2 8	1	$210	212	+212	No	+$2	02-03 13:19
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$205	208	+208	No	+$3	02-16 18:24
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	1	$200	205	+205	No	+$5	03-03 07:00
will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	1	$200	201	+201	No	+$1	04-12 06:07
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$190	195	+195	No	+$5	04-24 08:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$180	191	+191	Yes	+$11	03-03 06:59
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$170	176	+176	Yes	+$6	05-07 05:03
bitcoin above 98k on january 6	1	$170	172	+172	No	+$2	01-06 05:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$166	168	+168	Yes	+$2	05-22 06:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	1	$155	159	+159	No	+$4	02-03 13:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$150	176	+176	Yes	-$150	06-13 13:08
meta above 720 on january 9 2026	1	$130	131	+131	No	+$1	01-06 05:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$122	123	+123	No	+$1	10-09 03:52
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	1	$120	126	+126	T1	+$6	06-27 13:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	1	$110	111	+111	No	+$1	06-13 13:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$100	103	+103	No	+$3	05-22 06:47
lol red kt 2026 10 04	1	$80	83	+83	KT Rolster	+$3	10-04 08:14
netanyahu out by july 31	1	$80	81	+81	No	+$1	07-08 07:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	1	$75	76	+76	No	+$1	09-14 05:54
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$72	73	+73	open	—	11-02 05:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$72	73	+73	No	+$1	08-01 06:50
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$60	62	+62	open	—	11-02 05:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	09-14 05:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$51	52	+52	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:20
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	08-01 06:49
gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	07-08 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:13:24	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x625030…
11-02 05:12:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x7b1a61…
10-09 03:52:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x0cb222…
10-04 08:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x218f53…
10-04 08:14:20	lol red kt 2026 10 04	KT Rolster	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x4c777f…
09-19 06:20:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xeefc3c…
09-14 05:54:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x242910…
09-14 05:54:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xda0084…
08-01 06:50:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xbb38ac…
08-01 06:49:59	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x38d762…
07-08 07:44:05	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xf4148c…
07-08 07:42:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd4fc64…
06-27 13:20:05	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x8f0dbc…
06-13 13:08:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0x777d1a…
06-13 13:07:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x68b3c5…
05-22 06:47:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8fba95…
05-22 06:46:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x01b5c4…
05-07 05:03:45	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0x0a7dd0…
05-07 05:02:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	261	96¢	$250	0xeb7798…
04-24 08:34:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	195	97¢	$190	0x090f0b…
04-12 06:07:55	will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xf6d5fc…
04-12 06:07:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0xea9002…
03-24 01:53:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	225	93¢	$210	0x603021…
03-03 07:00:13	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x5aa684…
03-03 06:59:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	191	94¢	$180	0x9a2fd7…
02-16 18:24:19	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	208	98¢	$205	0x7a5c3e…
02-03 13:19:02	will ethereum dip to 1600 february 2 8	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0x188e21…
02-03 13:16:08	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	No	BUY	159	98¢	$155	0x76a28d…
01-23 07:04:56	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	365	99¢	$362	0x0925b9…
01-06 05:58:53	bitcoin above 98k on january 6	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x79c88b…
01-06 05:58:29	meta above 720 on january 9 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xa77a86…