Tragic-Box — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

535

lifetime

Volume

$6.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-10 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$3

Politics

14% 0% $-0

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$560	800	800	+0	open	—	05-10 15:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 09:26
btc updown 15m 1774947600	4	$69	60	43	+17	open	—	03-31 09:11
btc updown 15m 1781023500	2	$61	80	0	+80	open	—	06-09 16:57
btc updown 15m 1774929600	2	$49	30	29	+1	open	—	03-31 04:12
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 21corhigher	2	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	04-06 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 09:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	04-04 03:58
eth updown 15m 1774977300	2	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	03-31 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 03:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	05-23 21:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$36	50	0	+50	open	—	05-23 20:53
btc updown 15m 1780965900	1	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 00:56
btc updown 15m 1781014500	1	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 14:26
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 11c	2	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 19:13
eth updown 15m 1781019900	1	$33	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 15:55
btc updown 15m 1774996200	2	$33	30	29	+1	open	—	03-31 22:41
btc updown 15m 1780962300	1	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	06-08 23:57
eth updown 15m 1781021700	1	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	05-26 00:51
btc updown 15m 1774930500	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 04:25
btc updown 15m 1781015400	1	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 14:35
btc updown 15m 1774953900	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 10:57
eth updown 15m 1780883100	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	06-08 01:57
btc updown 15m 1774922400	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 02:12
eth updown 15m 1774973700	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 16:25
btc updown 15m 1774966500	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 14:19
btc updown 15m 1774960200	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 12:40
btc updown 15m 1774941300	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 13:54:43	btc updown 15m 1781099100	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8c36e4…
06-10 13:35:27	btc updown 15m 1781098200	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8983d8…
06-10 09:24:16	btc updown 15m 1781082900	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa1f284…
06-10 09:23:49	eth updown 15m 1781082900	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x482e05…
06-10 08:49:03	eth updown 15m 1781081100	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xb26a34…
06-10 02:34:04	btc updown 15m 1781058600	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x81e8da…
06-09 16:57:01	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x3181bc…
06-09 16:56:58	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Up	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x5c5663…
06-09 16:19:55	eth updown 15m 1781021700	Down	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xf3082c…
06-09 15:55:57	eth updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x7d9f17…
06-09 14:41:22	eth updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x92f63d…
06-09 14:35:39	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x9f3569…
06-09 14:26:22	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xfc7cba…
06-09 00:56:40	btc updown 15m 1780965900	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x35f392…
06-08 23:57:21	btc updown 15m 1780962300	Down	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x5842d1…
06-08 11:19:55	btc updown 15m 1780917300	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xcb6ac6…
06-08 11:19:16	eth updown 15m 1780917300	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x79c171…
06-08 01:57:48	eth updown 15m 1780883100	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xa72370…
06-08 01:24:27	btc updown 15m 1780881300	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x2bf294…
06-08 01:23:57	eth updown 15m 1780881300	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x3f27c5…
06-08 00:37:22	btc updown 15m 1780878600	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x14405b…
06-07 23:27:39	eth updown 15m 1780874100	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb5c852…
06-07 22:41:16	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xb6c36d…
06-07 19:22:58	eth updown 15m 1780859700	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x874590…
06-07 14:39:48	btc updown 15m 1780842600	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x4cd4b0…
06-07 14:35:49	eth updown 15m 1780842600	Up	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x7c9172…
06-07 12:39:24	btc updown 15m 1780835400	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x700b96…
06-07 12:22:46	btc updown 15m 1780834500	Down	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x60300f…
06-07 09:54:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x41cae0…
06-07 06:54:58	eth updown 15m 1780814700	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xcc09c5…
06-07 06:38:54	eth updown 15m 1780813800	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x9975a8…
06-07 05:53:18	btc updown 15m 1780811100	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x61950d…
06-07 05:20:36	eth updown 15m 1780809300	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xdce5b6…
06-07 03:20:12	eth updown 15m 1780802100	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x7bc84f…
06-07 01:34:12	btc updown 15m 1780795800	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xcb76f8…
06-07 01:19:36	btc updown 15m 1780794900	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xa25196…
06-06 13:50:07	eth updown 15m 1780753500	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9ff7ac…
06-06 10:42:48	btc updown 15m 1780741800	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf369f9…
06-06 10:35:28	eth updown 15m 1780741800	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x8f44f5…
06-06 10:21:46	btc updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xd2b642…
06-06 06:57:49	btc updown 15m 1780728300	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xfcb5e3…
06-06 06:51:12	eth updown 15m 1780728300	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xcf77ac…
06-06 05:51:52	btc updown 15m 1780724700	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x8e8ffa…
06-06 05:49:12	eth updown 15m 1780724700	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x5a23d2…
06-06 05:20:01	eth updown 15m 1780722900	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x2c1bd6…
06-06 02:34:58	btc updown 15m 1780713000	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x5b24c3…
06-06 02:34:42	eth updown 15m 1780713000	Down	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x6edece…
06-06 02:25:33	eth updown 15m 1780712100	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x723fda…
06-05 23:50:40	btc updown 15m 1780703100	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x19a2d0…
06-05 23:39:42	eth updown 15m 1780702200	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x6691dc…
06-05 23:35:39	btc updown 15m 1780702200	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x52044a…
06-05 23:20:34	btc updown 15m 1780701300	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x671a86…
06-05 20:27:00	btc updown 15m 1780690500	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xba5dd7…
06-05 20:20:54	btc updown 15m 1780690500	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc27f05…
06-05 20:10:57	eth updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x087656…
06-05 20:04:06	btc updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x2d6d56…
06-05 19:23:48	btc updown 15m 1780686900	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xc0c356…
06-05 19:07:30	eth updown 15m 1780686000	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc7ca46…
06-05 18:19:43	btc updown 15m 1780683300	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x629735…
06-05 18:19:31	eth updown 15m 1780683300	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x723ad6…
06-05 17:22:57	btc updown 15m 1780679700	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x4f7704…
06-05 17:06:48	eth updown 15m 1780678800	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xf16321…
06-05 16:43:01	btc updown 15m 1780677000	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x356f92…
06-05 16:23:54	btc updown 15m 1780676100	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x63e908…
06-05 15:20:43	btc updown 15m 1780672500	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5f0000…
06-05 15:06:12	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab43ae…
06-05 14:56:58	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe0ecba…
06-05 14:55:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x86bb2c…
06-05 14:35:00	eth updown 15m 1780669800	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x46150a…
06-05 14:04:31	eth updown 15m 1780668000	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x7b74d5…
06-05 13:39:03	eth updown 15m 1780666200	Down	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x23cb30…
06-05 13:20:42	btc updown 15m 1780665300	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xb76ebe…
06-05 11:54:45	eth updown 15m 1780659900	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x860e0d…
06-05 11:54:37	btc updown 15m 1780659900	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x716997…
06-05 10:36:36	btc updown 15m 1780655400	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x792361…
06-05 10:23:16	eth updown 15m 1780654500	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x1842a6…
06-05 09:51:10	eth updown 15m 1780652700	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x142370…
06-05 09:37:19	eth updown 15m 1780651800	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xa80769…
06-05 08:54:48	btc updown 15m 1780649100	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x2aa35d…
06-05 08:36:45	btc updown 15m 1780648200	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xb6f89a…
06-05 07:36:24	eth updown 15m 1780644600	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x173334…
06-05 07:21:01	eth updown 15m 1780643700	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x4f9d4c…
06-05 06:49:37	btc updown 15m 1780641900	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x8a0fa0…
06-05 06:34:27	eth updown 15m 1780641000	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x94aae8…
06-05 06:21:00	btc updown 15m 1780640100	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x483729…
06-05 06:19:03	eth updown 15m 1780640100	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x65ec5e…
06-05 06:12:55	eth updown 15m 1780639200	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x991f0e…
06-05 05:54:36	btc updown 15m 1780638300	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4f1512…
06-05 05:54:07	eth updown 15m 1780638300	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x490e9b…
06-05 04:34:03	btc updown 15m 1780633800	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x41f6c2…
06-05 03:50:16	eth updown 15m 1780631100	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0959a7…
06-05 02:34:39	btc updown 15m 1780626600	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xdd7446…
06-05 02:19:46	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x5200ed…
06-05 01:53:46	btc updown 15m 1780623900	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb72745…
06-04 23:35:01	btc updown 15m 1780615800	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xca0b86…
06-04 23:22:13	btc updown 15m 1780614900	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb0503d…
06-04 22:55:25	eth updown 15m 1780613100	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf811a5…
06-04 22:21:42	btc updown 15m 1780611300	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xbe0299…
06-04 21:06:22	eth updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfd64cc…
06-04 20:49:16	eth updown 15m 1780605900	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3d17c4…