Tragic-Box — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

908

lifetime

Volume

$9.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-02 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$3

Politics

10% 0% $-0

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$560	800	800	+0	open	—	05-10 15:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 09:26
btc updown 15m 1781472600	2	$78	100	0	+100	open	—	06-14 21:38
btc updown 15m 1781703900	2	$72	100	0	+100	open	—	06-17 13:56
btc updown 15m 1774947600	4	$69	60	43	+17	open	—	03-31 09:11
btc updown 15m 1781023500	2	$61	80	0	+80	open	—	06-09 16:57
btc updown 15m 1774929600	2	$49	30	29	+1	open	—	03-31 04:12
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 21corhigher	2	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	04-06 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 09:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	04-04 03:58
eth updown 15m 1774977300	2	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	03-31 17:23
eth updown 15m 1781621100	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	06-16 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 03:28
eth updown 15m 1781711100	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 15:51
eth updown 15m 1781689500	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 09:55
eth updown 15m 1781685000	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 08:35
eth updown 15m 1781709300	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 15:24
eth updown 15m 1781635500	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	06-16 18:49
btc updown 15m 1781478900	1	$41	50	0	+50	open	—	06-14 23:26
eth updown 15m 1781753400	1	$41	50	0	+50	open	—	06-18 03:41
eth updown 15m 1781797500	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-18 15:51
btc updown 15m 1781700300	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 12:51
eth updown 15m 1781520300	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-15 10:54
btc updown 15m 1781677800	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 06:40
eth updown 15m 1781796600	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-18 15:37
btc updown 15m 1781621100	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-16 14:57
eth updown 15m 1781516700	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	06-15 09:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	05-23 21:41
eth updown 15m 1781684100	1	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	06-17 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 05:33:28	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6a4760…
07-03 05:21:28	btc updown 15m 1783055700	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x61e812…
07-03 05:04:49	eth updown 15m 1783054800	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x4b07b8…
07-03 05:04:13	btc updown 15m 1783054800	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcfc902…
07-03 04:53:28	eth updown 15m 1783053900	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x16755e…
07-03 04:48:07	btc updown 15m 1783053900	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd590b5…
07-02 16:11:37	eth updown 15m 1783008000	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbb597e…
07-02 15:11:59	btc updown 15m 1783004400	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8723e1…
07-02 15:04:52	eth updown 15m 1783004400	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x417ddb…
07-02 10:18:25	eth updown 15m 1782987300	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x491ac0…
07-02 10:11:35	eth updown 15m 1782986400	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc5f908…
07-02 09:22:17	btc updown 15m 1782983700	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xea447e…
07-02 06:33:05	btc updown 15m 1782973800	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdfae82…
07-02 06:20:52	btc updown 15m 1782972900	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3a0127…
07-02 06:19:37	eth updown 15m 1782972900	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x15b3fe…
07-02 05:24:46	btc updown 15m 1782969300	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x20dc09…
07-02 04:37:38	btc updown 15m 1782966600	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x169a1d…
07-02 04:33:19	eth updown 15m 1782966600	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x290424…
07-02 04:05:37	btc updown 15m 1782964800	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc418ce…
07-02 03:48:13	eth updown 15m 1782963900	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf4a6ce…
07-02 03:13:25	btc updown 15m 1782961200	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xeac53e…
07-02 03:09:26	eth updown 15m 1782961200	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x4edfd6…
07-02 02:03:10	eth updown 15m 1782957600	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe91044…
07-01 22:05:34	eth updown 15m 1782943200	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x726f66…
07-01 21:25:05	btc updown 15m 1782940500	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xbdab43…
07-01 18:53:43	btc updown 15m 1782931500	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x25880e…
07-01 18:48:29	eth updown 15m 1782931500	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0e18eb…
07-01 18:42:19	eth updown 15m 1782930600	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6a6bca…
07-01 14:53:49	eth updown 15m 1782917100	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x843ddc…
07-01 14:26:14	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x1cf3c2…
07-01 14:26:04	eth updown 15m 1782915300	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x0aa55e…
07-01 14:05:07	eth updown 15m 1782914400	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x729730…
07-01 14:03:05	btc updown 15m 1782914400	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2d181b…
07-01 11:52:13	eth updown 15m 1782906300	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9a575b…
07-01 11:26:26	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc7da07…
07-01 10:49:37	eth updown 15m 1782902700	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfe4480…
07-01 10:48:08	btc updown 15m 1782902700	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe4541f…
07-01 10:40:56	eth updown 15m 1782901800	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfb12cf…
07-01 10:21:43	eth updown 15m 1782900900	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0483d0…
07-01 09:03:32	eth updown 15m 1782896400	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x8a3efc…
07-01 08:41:58	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x18b86e…
07-01 07:48:37	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2f147d…
07-01 06:58:22	eth updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0ddaa1…
07-01 06:56:41	eth updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe56bea…
07-01 06:03:07	eth updown 15m 1782885600	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9928ce…
07-01 05:53:43	eth updown 15m 1782884700	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe40633…
07-01 05:21:29	btc updown 15m 1782882900	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x45088a…
07-01 04:53:26	btc updown 15m 1782881100	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xed04f5…
07-01 04:04:04	eth updown 15m 1782878400	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x402c20…
07-01 00:06:52	eth updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4ecfa1…
07-01 00:04:19	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5931d0…
06-30 21:54:56	btc updown 15m 1782855900	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x86f629…
06-30 21:53:52	eth updown 15m 1782855900	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2e0e89…
06-30 20:54:52	eth updown 15m 1782852300	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xea9fbe…
06-30 20:48:50	btc updown 15m 1782852300	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb5a64f…
06-30 19:35:07	eth updown 15m 1782847800	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x50b231…
06-30 19:22:02	eth updown 15m 1782846900	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x729bc3…
06-30 00:13:20	btc updown 15m 1782777600	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xa38a36…
06-30 00:09:40	eth updown 15m 1782777600	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfd4c2f…
06-30 00:08:52	btc updown 15m 1782777600	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4819e8…
06-29 23:36:02	eth updown 15m 1782775800	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4e7fe8…
06-29 20:34:23	eth updown 15m 1782765000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1bedf0…
06-29 20:06:50	btc updown 15m 1782763200	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2f4994…
06-29 18:50:47	eth updown 15m 1782758700	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x34d173…
06-29 18:35:29	eth updown 15m 1782757800	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x5881e3…
06-29 17:50:29	btc updown 15m 1782755100	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x672114…
06-29 16:54:22	eth updown 15m 1782751500	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x968bea…
06-29 11:28:10	btc updown 15m 1782731700	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x407cd4…
06-29 10:37:58	btc updown 15m 1782729000	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x52c2d8…
06-29 10:06:04	btc updown 15m 1782727200	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x390da4…
06-29 09:11:26	eth updown 15m 1782723600	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x510bc9…
06-29 07:26:22	eth updown 15m 1782717300	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x86df84…
06-29 07:26:20	eth updown 15m 1782717300	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd2a6cf…
06-29 07:26:17	btc updown 15m 1782717300	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7f4ffb…
06-29 04:55:28	eth updown 15m 1782708300	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6dcbcf…
06-29 04:05:41	btc updown 15m 1782705600	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc5905e…
06-29 02:55:05	btc updown 15m 1782701100	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x9198a4…
06-29 00:42:41	eth updown 15m 1782693000	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x55edd5…
06-28 23:19:05	eth updown 15m 1782688500	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x760b66…
06-28 23:18:41	btc updown 15m 1782688500	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7937a7…
06-28 21:35:31	eth updown 15m 1782682200	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa40f35…
06-28 20:10:08	btc updown 15m 1782676800	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc1af2d…
06-28 20:03:13	eth updown 15m 1782676800	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8a3d21…
06-28 18:40:16	eth updown 15m 1782671400	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x904342…
06-28 17:33:56	eth updown 15m 1782667800	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb770e4…
06-28 16:48:43	btc updown 15m 1782665100	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x81810e…
06-28 16:34:07	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xdb5795…
06-28 16:18:23	btc updown 15m 1782663300	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x58ce6f…
06-28 16:10:53	eth updown 15m 1782662400	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc4cccf…
06-28 15:03:37	btc updown 15m 1782658800	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x048483…
06-28 14:10:37	eth updown 15m 1782655200	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xd62df7…
06-28 13:33:05	eth updown 15m 1782653400	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe3ce3c…
06-28 12:36:35	eth updown 15m 1782649800	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb6160d…
06-28 12:19:55	eth updown 15m 1782648900	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x6813bc…
06-28 10:12:35	eth updown 15m 1782640800	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xa9580a…
06-28 08:36:04	btc updown 15m 1782635400	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe3c3d4…
06-28 08:05:59	btc updown 15m 1782633600	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0a5f08…
06-28 07:03:34	btc updown 15m 1782630000	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x9891ad…
06-28 06:55:38	btc updown 15m 1782629100	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0a8bbe…
06-28 06:55:10	eth updown 15m 1782629100	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x68bcab…