Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$58,216

Trades

7,343

Unique wallets

1,235

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-08-10

First seen

2026-08-10

last 08-10 03:36

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Suburban-Characterization +2,520 Unlawful-Shear +2,229 Supportive-Matchmaker +2,190 Upset-Sight +1,500 (anon) +1,372 Popular-Insurrection +1,124 (anon) +1,080 (anon) +1,070

NO holders

Unlawful-Shear +2,649 Supportive-Matchmaker +2,187 Periodic-Scrap +2,116 Suburban-Characterization +1,860 Upset-Sight +1,440 Agile-Spacing +1,425 (anon) +1,285 (anon) +1,280

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +1.6¢ (top1%: 51% YES on $33.0K vs crowd: 50% YES on $55.1K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	193	$15.7K	$17.3K	$1.6K
🐬 Dolphin	340	$7.4K	$6.7K	+$678
🐟 Fish	460	$3.6K	$2.9K	+$760
🦐 Shrimp	242	$720	$778	$58

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	206	$17.0K	$16.1K	+$922
🏆 Top 5%	125	$2.2K	$2.2K	$32
✅ Top 10%	86	$606	$512	+$94
Median	68	$287	$181	+$105
Below median	277	$1.2K	$1.2K	$55
⚠️ Bottom 10%	195	$1.4K	$897	+$484
🔻 Bottom 5%	185	$2.4K	$3.9K	$1.4K
💀 Bottom 1%	93	$2.4K	$2.7K	$301

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+2,649	$1,072	$1,072	382	08-10 03:34
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Up	+2,520	$1,050	$1,050	21	08-10 03:34
Unlawful-Shear 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+2,229	$1,252	$1,252	301	08-10 03:34
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+2,190	$705	$705	146	08-10 03:34
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+2,187	$1,470	$1,470	151	08-10 03:34
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	Down	+2,116	$259	$259	84	08-10 03:34
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+1,860	$1,166	$1,166	16	08-10 03:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Up	+1,500	$498	$498	21	08-10 03:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Down	+1,440	$976	$976	16	08-10 03:34
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Down	+1,425	$663	$663	45	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+1,372	$783	$783	37	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+1,285	$505	$505	58	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Down	+1,280	$834	$834	103	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+1,165	$890	$890	73	08-10 03:33
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+1,124	$359	$359	43	08-10 03:34
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+1,085	$520	$520	96	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0xee43…21f9	Up	+1,080	$1,001	$1,001	56	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Up	+1,070	$291	$291	84	08-10 03:34
Upright-Threshold 0xb615…6f09	Up	+978	$900	$900	96	08-10 03:34
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Up	+910	$303	$303	31	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+909	$592	$822	41	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Up	+908	$192	$192	61	08-10 03:33
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+908	$326	$326	78	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x0003…3b49	Down	+853	$404	$404	50	08-10 03:34
Plastic-Clerk 0x5204…23c2	Up	+837	$495	$495	9	08-10 03:35
(anonymous) 0x8acd…8dad	Down	+794	$17	$17	15	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x0003…3b49	Up	+777	$202	$202	42	08-10 03:34
Few-Still 0xbc42…712c	Up	+775	$748	$748	14	08-10 03:35
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+764	$396	$396	47	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Down	+730	$66	$66	14	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+724	$63	$63	73	08-10 03:33
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Down	+700	$7	$7	16	08-10 03:34
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Up	+678	$325	$345	7	08-10 03:29
Traumatic-Eddy 0x12f7…4ae3	Up	+644	$84	$84	2	08-10 03:32
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Down	+626	$239	$239	16	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b	Up	+600	$594	$594	6	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x9694…b16f	Down	+528	$391	$391	19	08-10 03:31
Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f	Up	+520	$179	$179	27	08-10 03:34
Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f	Down	+520	$341	$341	32	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Down	+500	$340	$340	17	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x2c4c…ace7	Up	+500	$485	$485	8	08-10 03:34
Scholarly-Psychology 0xc0b6…3a92	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	08-10 03:35
(anonymous) 0x7ff2…149b	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	08-10 03:34
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	Up	+480	$121	$121	15	08-10 03:32
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	Down	+479	$383	$383	3	08-10 03:32
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Down	+462	$228	$228	11	08-10 03:34
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+420	$115	$115	14	08-10 03:33
(anonymous) 0x5019…371b	Down	+417	$395	$395	10	08-10 03:33
Instructive-Pain 0x10bc…76be	Up	+407	$41	$41	2	08-10 03:33
(anonymous) 0x80ef…e019	Down	+406	$304	$304	46	08-10 03:32
Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123	Up	+400	$392	$392	9	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	Down	+394	$18	$18	3	08-10 03:34
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+390	$287	$287	13	08-10 03:33
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Up	+385	$244	$244	10	08-10 03:34
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Down	+385	$134	$134	16	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x8d9a…50db	Down	+372	$62	$62	27	08-10 03:34
Caring-Kingfish 0x6fc4…c89d	Up	+366	$362	$362	8	08-10 03:35
(anonymous) 0xd798…9489	Up	+341	$300	$300	3	08-10 03:34
(anonymous) 0x80ef…e019	Up	+336	$87	$87	48	08-10 03:31
Extroverted-Sting 0xc90e…2a62	Up	+333	$308	$308	32	08-10 03:34