Messy-Vote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$920

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-08 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% $-27

Other

4% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$61	33	33	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$56	43	42	+1	open	—	04-27 22:12
btc updown 5m 1776970200	2	$55	52	50	+2	open	—	04-23 18:53
btc updown 5m 1776885600	4	$54	43	42	+1	open	—	04-22 19:22
btc updown 5m 1776968400	2	$54	54	52	+2	open	—	04-23 18:22
btc updown 5m 1776101400	2	$47	28	28	+0	open	—	04-13 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$42	53	29	+24	open	—	04-29 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Down	$-25	05-04 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-28 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	04-29 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 21:31
btc updown 5m 1776968100	4	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-23 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 18:44
btc updown 5m 1776039600	2	$22	16	15	+0	open	—	04-13 00:21
btc updown 5m 1776101100	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-13 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$18	15	15	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$18	23	23	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:09
btc updown 5m 1775862000	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-10 23:06
btc updown 5m 1775889900	3	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-11 06:48
btc updown 5m 1776039000	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-13 00:14
btc updown 5m 1775854200	4	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 20:36
btc updown 5m 1775854500	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-10 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 17:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xcd4824…
05-08 17:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb55c01…
05-08 17:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xccaf18…
05-08 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe865ee…
05-07 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xe7c7ee…
05-07 16:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbf0e39…
05-06 17:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0xeb1284…
05-06 17:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x58e604…
05-06 17:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x0d8626…
05-06 17:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd725c2…
05-05 23:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x51de2e…
05-05 23:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x4f270f…
05-05 23:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x541a28…
05-05 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xdcc3f0…
05-05 23:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xa23192…
05-05 23:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb46648…
05-05 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x3b9df4…
05-05 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3ac182…
05-05 23:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xdd21c4…
05-05 23:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xe8e3dd…
05-05 23:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x0c9c4e…
05-05 23:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xe8c0b3…
05-05 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf6bc2d…
05-05 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4a801f…
05-05 23:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x629f79…
05-05 23:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9ea4c1…
05-05 23:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1bce50…
05-04 21:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0xfd2906…
05-04 21:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x25fc1e…
05-04 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x36e2d4…
05-04 21:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7a3cf1…
05-04 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4f0623…
05-04 20:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x18ee8c…
05-04 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x83f49b…
05-04 20:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xdf9f82…
05-04 20:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9e0ff4…
04-29 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x04baee…
04-29 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xfa4d13…
04-29 19:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x939f3b…
04-29 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xe81002…
04-29 18:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x24d29e…
04-29 18:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xde141b…
04-29 18:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb5f46f…
04-29 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x97554d…
04-29 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdf6103…
04-29 01:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xba2bce…
04-29 01:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8f2e64…
04-29 00:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf01cd8…
04-28 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x30f987…
04-28 15:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	85¢	$13	0xd959e0…
04-28 15:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc0b951…
04-28 15:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe8c199…
04-27 22:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x20b42b…
04-27 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x8ef390…
04-27 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x624e50…
04-24 20:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xc43cfe…
04-24 20:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x646726…
04-24 20:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x515fa9…
04-24 20:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x51335a…
04-24 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x7e3292…
04-24 20:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc8752f…
04-23 18:53:48	btc updown 5m 1776970200	Down	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x8cc89a…
04-23 18:51:58	btc updown 5m 1776970200	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xb53714…
04-23 18:22:34	btc updown 5m 1776968400	Up	SELL	52	52¢	$27	0x0140dd…
04-23 18:21:20	btc updown 5m 1776968400	Up	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0xdf1ffa…
04-23 18:18:58	btc updown 5m 1776968100	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xff0e0a…
04-23 18:18:14	btc updown 5m 1776968100	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x479bbf…
04-23 18:17:28	btc updown 5m 1776968100	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x6d3554…
04-23 18:17:18	btc updown 5m 1776968100	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa8a350…
04-23 18:14:00	btc updown 5m 1776967800	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1f2032…
04-22 19:22:10	btc updown 5m 1776885600	Up	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xb08b17…
04-22 19:22:02	btc updown 5m 1776885600	Up	BUY	42	61¢	$25	0x36ddad…
04-22 19:21:44	btc updown 5m 1776885600	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x031e40…
04-22 19:20:58	btc updown 5m 1776885600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x86cfc8…
04-13 17:33:01	btc updown 5m 1776101400	Up	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x69afde…
04-13 17:30:15	btc updown 5m 1776101400	Up	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0xf98af8…
04-13 17:28:37	btc updown 5m 1776101100	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x2550ec…
04-13 17:26:31	btc updown 5m 1776101100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x35053b…
04-13 17:26:09	btc updown 5m 1776101100	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x7899d8…
04-13 17:25:41	btc updown 5m 1776101100	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9afce3…
04-13 00:21:23	btc updown 5m 1776039600	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$12	0x3ebf95…
04-13 00:20:13	btc updown 5m 1776039600	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc1c16a…
04-13 00:15:31	btc updown 5m 1776039300	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x90b229…
04-13 00:14:29	btc updown 5m 1776039000	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x73a640…
04-13 00:10:57	btc updown 5m 1776039000	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa6d5ec…
04-11 06:48:03	btc updown 5m 1775889900	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xd4ccb2…
04-11 06:47:17	btc updown 5m 1775889900	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa697db…
04-11 06:46:17	btc updown 5m 1775889900	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x92be96…
04-11 06:44:41	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xd52f17…
04-10 23:06:15	btc updown 5m 1775862000	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3e345d…
04-10 23:03:33	btc updown 5m 1775862000	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9db2bc…
04-10 23:02:19	btc updown 5m 1775862000	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2a428d…
04-10 20:55:39	btc updown 5m 1775854500	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0x0436f4…
04-10 20:55:23	btc updown 5m 1775854500	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb37504…
04-10 20:54:41	btc updown 5m 1775854200	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f7ef7…
04-10 20:54:15	btc updown 5m 1775854200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb6bc7d…
04-10 20:53:31	btc updown 5m 1775854200	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x4fcb01…
04-10 20:50:07	btc updown 5m 1775854200	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0bc5ba…
04-09 23:13:33	btc updown 5m 1775776200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc7b09…
04-09 23:12:49	btc updown 5m 1775776200	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe4128e…