Traumatic-Minimum-Tube — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

+$135

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

$182

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-08 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

70% 81% +$858

Other

26% 100% +$594

Tech

3% 100% +$206

Sports

1% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-1,100	-$316	16¢	$-182	+$135	05-20 21:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$2.7K	1,851	1,851	+0	No	-$45	05-07 19:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$145	05-20 21:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$2.1K	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$136	05-28 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$1.7K	930	930	+0	No	+$144	05-14 02:44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,641	1,641	+0	Yes	+$99	05-18 01:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$0	05-23 13:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$1.5K	933	933	-0	No	+$18	05-13 12:53
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	13	$1.4K	1,142	1,142	+0	Yes	-$184	05-20 22:10
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	3	$1.3K	729	729	+0	No	+$80	05-15 17:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	7	$1.3K	1,850	1,000	+850	No	+$216	05-25 20:38
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	13	$1.2K	844	844	+0	No	+$4	05-15 22:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$1.1K	607	607	+0	Yes	+$114	05-25 21:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$1.1K	1,187	0	+1,187	No	+$124	05-29 17:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$903	910	2,010	-1,100	open	—	05-20 21:30
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	5	$865	1,293	1,293	+0	Yes	+$257	05-15 21:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$834	500	500	+0	No	+$125	05-16 14:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$800	457	457	+0	No	+$73	05-20 21:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$781	400	400	+0	No	+$3	05-17 15:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$774	430	430	+0	Yes	+$43	06-08 04:25
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	5	$768	837	0	+837	Yes	+$69	04-27 02:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$753	790	0	+790	No	+$36	05-28 17:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	16	$714	1,020	1,020	+0	No	-$61	05-07 23:04
Chirayu Rana fired?	2	$636	700	700	+0	cancelled	+$64	05-01 17:41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	2	$554	600	600	+0	open	—	06-08 09:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$545	740	0	+740	No	+$195	05-28 17:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$536	450	450	+0	Yes	+$4	05-28 16:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$4	05-25 23:28
will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	2	$493	289	289	+0	No	+$32	06-08 21:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$483	300	300	+0	No	+$57	06-08 21:41
will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	3	$431	689	689	+0	Yes	+$173	06-06 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:42:21	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	289	91¢	$263	0x30c5a3…
06-08 21:41:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xe3ad7d…
06-08 09:43:01	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	39¢	$236	0x887232…
06-08 04:25:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	430	95¢	$408	0xdf7fa1…
06-06 22:42:06	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	500	46¢	$230	0xbbdd32…
06-06 17:19:21	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	189	38¢	$72	0x772732…
06-05 02:45:24	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	689	19¢	$129	0x3e75a8…
06-05 02:43:13	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	289	80¢	$231	0xcf3634…
06-02 00:42:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	430	85¢	$366	0x6755cd…
05-29 17:19:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$434	0xd4fb5b…
05-28 19:57:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x801757…
05-28 19:55:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	687	92¢	$629	0xeb88b6…
05-28 17:09:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	97¢	$454	0xf30112…
05-28 17:04:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x6ffeb7…
05-28 16:58:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	450	60¢	$270	0x31b2d5…
05-28 14:48:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,322	86¢	$1,137	0x8e59fb…
05-28 14:30:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xdfa202…
05-28 11:39:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0xa553b6…
05-27 21:59:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	450	59¢	$266	0xf313b5…
05-27 11:08:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x2621aa…
05-26 20:07:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0x8405c5…
05-25 23:28:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x1ce036…
05-25 23:23:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$199	0x1bc4f7…
05-25 22:54:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	672	75¢	$501	0x690ac9…
05-25 22:21:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1,183	13¢	$154	0x0287fe…
05-25 21:47:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	154	98¢	$150	0x73d23a…
05-25 21:47:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	453	98¢	$445	0xc53b63…
05-25 21:33:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,183	9¢	$102	0x4c8b74…
05-25 20:38:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	32¢	$320	0xff611c…
05-24 14:59:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	BUY	330	31¢	$102	0x450619…
05-23 17:55:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x880438…
05-23 13:38:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	956	70¢	$670	0x17db8c…
05-23 13:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	142	70¢	$100	0x74e5e0…
05-23 13:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x6e50e2…
05-23 13:21:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	700	70¢	$491	0x560487…
05-23 13:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	387	70¢	$271	0x15e1c0…
05-23 13:19:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8f1d53…
05-23 13:18:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x630bf2…
05-23 01:07:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa9b741…
05-23 01:07:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xe9263e…
05-23 01:06:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	109	70¢	$76	0xdb957b…
05-23 00:47:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x10c88b…
05-23 00:47:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x561347…
05-23 00:46:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xb671d7…
05-23 00:46:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x671b80…
05-23 00:44:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa46511…
05-23 00:44:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0xc8e197…
05-22 14:13:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xd18ae0…
05-22 13:39:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	BUY	188	49¢	$92	0xcf7ab0…
05-21 19:56:05	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	53¢	$318	0xe9096c…
05-21 19:30:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xce58e3…
05-21 04:46:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	245	85¢	$208	0xef50fb…
05-20 22:10:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	79	52¢	$41	0x010648…
05-20 22:03:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	52¢	$43	0xa6dbd6…
05-20 22:03:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	52¢	$37	0x3c4a54…
05-20 22:03:46	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	52¢	$43	0x2ca3fb…
05-20 21:47:26	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	79	52¢	$41	0xb04780…
05-20 21:47:26	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	56	52¢	$29	0xa6474a…
05-20 21:47:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	76	52¢	$40	0xbf48b4…
05-20 21:43:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x60b1a2…
05-20 21:35:02	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x9b7c12…
05-20 21:30:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	750	28¢	$210	0xf23ace…
05-20 21:29:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	609	52¢	$317	0x1529b7…
05-20 21:28:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	457	96¢	$437	0x9abe85…
05-20 21:24:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	76¢	$836	0x231418…
05-20 19:38:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x94de0e…
05-20 19:36:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x2551b5…
05-19 19:28:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x4c4b41…
05-19 19:19:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	68¢	$48	0x9dc17c…
05-19 19:19:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	571	69¢	$394	0x88d9e0…
05-19 19:18:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	207	79¢	$164	0x84d63b…
05-19 10:21:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	320	89¢	$285	0xc5a7b0…
05-18 20:01:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	180	87¢	$157	0x1a4d07…
05-18 19:08:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	750	33¢	$244	0xa9120e…
05-18 18:09:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x6de9a7…
05-18 01:47:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	726	69¢	$501	0x12c6af…
05-17 18:23:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	68¢	$50	0x086a40…
05-17 15:31:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0xe08905…
05-17 12:20:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0xc12421…
05-17 02:10:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xbeddcd…
05-16 21:56:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xbbae1d…
05-16 20:32:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	40¢	$165	0x6623b5…
05-16 20:29:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	38¢	$146	0x70ce77…
05-16 14:52:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	389	96¢	$373	0xbe9c37…
05-16 14:43:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x445ff4…
05-16 14:21:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	106	96¢	$101	0xd28ae8…
05-15 22:55:37	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	273	74¢	$202	0x4ee0a0…
05-15 22:55:37	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	344	74¢	$254	0x37f1b4…
05-15 22:50:24	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x9a70a2…
05-15 22:47:40	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	66	74¢	$49	0x4f3648…
05-15 22:47:40	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x15269f…
05-15 22:47:38	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$19	0x247a00…
05-15 22:47:38	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	95	74¢	$70	0x16958e…
05-15 22:47:36	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x2941b7…
05-15 21:03:01	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0x05e1b3…
05-15 20:44:14	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	988	43¢	$429	0x3e6d2c…
05-15 18:41:14	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	43¢	$116	0x4085ed…
05-15 17:53:50	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	724	98¢	$709	0xcb4e05…
05-15 17:28:17	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1248b5…
05-14 15:17:31	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	729	87¢	$634	0x2e6a82…