Irresponsible-Trellis — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$363

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved (90d)

1,166

Trades (90d)

3,844

10,907 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.7K

$67.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 11-02 23:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

50% 53% -$472

Crypto

46% 55% +$542

Sports

4% 38% -$565

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes		+49	$30	56¢	$28	-$2	06-14 00:23
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	—	+49	$23	48¢	$23	$0	11-02 23:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	12	$586	1,270	0	+1,270	Paraguay	+$407	07-04 20:41
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	13	$541	1,064	0	+1,064	Yes	-$76	07-01 00:34
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	26	$525	1,049	0	+1,049	France	-$140	06-30 22:03
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	18	$461	806	30	+776	Yes	-$434	06-30 17:38
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	31	$457	1,018	0	+1,018	Over	-$427	07-05 20:34
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	23	$416	1,194	0	+1,194	No	-$416	07-05 21:35
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	7	$391	813	0	+813	No	-$56	06-29 23:37
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	7	$345	566	143	+423	No	-$171	07-05 21:30
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	3	$314	578	0	+578	Over	+$264	07-06 23:23
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	9	$297	448	0	+448	Spain	+$151	07-06 20:24
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	10	$296	708	0	+708	No	-$60	06-29 16:53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	26	$294	638	0	+638	Yes	+$344	06-28 20:30
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	46	$292	865	0	+865	No	-$292	07-06 01:34
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	11	$277	203	161	+42	Yes	+$9	06-24 00:58
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	8	$265	856	0	+856	No	-$265	06-30 16:55
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	12	$249	452	0	+452	Under	-$249	07-06 18:22
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$228	470	0	+470	England	-$228	07-06 01:58
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	2	$222	493	0	+493	Jordan	-$183	06-28 01:53
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$222	422	0	+422	No	-$222	07-18 17:10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	8	$222	433	0	+433	Yes	+$147	06-27 22:10
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	19	$221	377	0	+377	Yes	+$156	06-28 03:27
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	4	$220	409	0	+409	Under	+$159	07-04 01:56
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	3	$219	340	0	+340	Uruguay	+$74	06-26 23:49
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	3	$218	369	0	+369	Under	-$218	07-01 23:05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	18	$218	422	12	+410	Yes	-$149	06-29 19:07
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	26	$214	324	0	+324	No	+$59	07-06 21:28
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	11	$212	112	112	+0	T1	+$12	10-26 17:43
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	6	$203	638	3	+635	Yes	-$162	07-02 02:12
wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	8	$200	347	0	+347	Linda Noskova	-$200	07-11 14:36
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$200	278	0	+278	Morocco	+$78	07-04 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:38:16	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd6e231…
11-02 21:50:49	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x6a86b1…
11-02 21:49:34	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa2fe82…
11-02 21:49:07	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1e4435…
11-02 21:48:52	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x0519a4…
11-02 21:48:39	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x248f6a…
11-02 21:48:37	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xac6986…
11-02 21:48:33	Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc5cf86…
11-02 13:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xad6a5f…
11-02 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xb3e307…
11-02 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x754746…
11-02 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7b0405…
11-02 13:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x331444…
11-02 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xcc34fa…
11-02 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x0279ff…
11-02 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x9f5da2…
11-02 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xc35210…
11-02 13:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x766646…
11-02 13:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb3dd84…
11-02 13:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x9fe496…
11-02 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x7ee3e0…
11-02 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4ba55d…
11-02 13:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xfe7c47…
11-02 13:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xad7a56…
11-02 13:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xb893d9…
11-02 13:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0f8bb…
11-02 13:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x6517c1…
11-02 13:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x582c91…
11-02 13:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7de897…
11-02 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa594c6…
11-02 13:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x110202…
11-02 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc1c559…
11-02 13:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xe146ef…
11-02 13:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa67fb3…
11-02 13:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x67b56f…
11-02 13:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xd18365…
11-02 13:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x911e54…
11-02 12:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf4c51c…
11-02 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf721ab…
11-02 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x83cf9a…
11-02 12:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x24dec5…
11-02 12:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf38dfb…
11-02 12:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xc40ffd…
11-02 12:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa843fd…
11-02 12:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x4be6ea…
11-02 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4fca9f…
11-02 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x28d4c9…
11-02 00:59:46	Senators vs. Ducks	Senators	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x51ed41…
11-02 00:34:54	Senators vs. Ducks	Senators	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9ef9d0…
11-02 00:34:19	Senators vs. Ducks	Senators	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x598a0c…
11-01 21:51:21	Oilers vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6b7c91…
11-01 21:51:18	Oilers vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcf2496…
11-01 21:48:58	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x802d0e…
11-01 21:42:46	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf1a2d3…
11-01 20:04:10	Senators vs. Ducks	Senators	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x337391…
11-01 20:04:09	Senators vs. Ducks	Senators	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xdd5e1d…
11-01 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xdf9aa1…
11-01 15:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2ab1eb…
11-01 15:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5168a5…
11-01 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x374678…
11-01 15:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x20275f…
11-01 15:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x83d13e…
11-01 15:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xfde2ce…
11-01 15:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5aa532…
11-01 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0faff5…
11-01 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7f8ddd…
11-01 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x31cc6d…
11-01 14:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xe77317…
11-01 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x3a2422…
11-01 13:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xf2683f…
11-01 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb63c36…
11-01 12:34:54	Oilers vs. Rangers	Rangers	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7cd3fe…
11-01 05:53:37	Texas State vs. Boise State	Texas State	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5a23ec…
11-01 05:53:34	Texas State vs. Boise State	Texas State	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xa6d1a1…
11-01 00:37:57	Ohio State vs. USC	USC	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x40b354…
10-31 23:51:10	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Blue Jackets	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3d1d65…
10-31 23:31:04	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Blue Jackets	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x28de54…
10-31 23:31:01	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Blue Jackets	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7a51c6…
10-31 21:06:10	Northwestern vs. Oregon	Northwestern	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8587b3…
10-31 17:59:37	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xfb9ac2…
10-31 17:59:34	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xffe66b…
10-31 17:12:21	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc06b82…
10-31 17:04:45	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6480ac…
10-31 17:04:40	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x2d467a…
10-31 17:01:52	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x7675c2…
10-31 15:42:19	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Blue Jackets	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x955e60…
10-31 12:03:34	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Blue Jackets	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x59411f…
10-31 12:03:31	Blue Jackets vs. Stars	Blue Jackets	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb7f368…
10-31 02:10:34	Tulane vs. Charlotte: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe91d87…
10-31 00:47:24	Tulane vs. Charlotte: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc5b622…
10-30 23:09:24	Tulane vs. Charlotte	Charlotte	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa4d0d0…
10-30 21:38:15	Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa76681…
10-30 21:31:46	Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1e73a6…
10-30 21:31:43	Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xce08ec…
10-30 21:31:42	Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1368e0…
10-30 19:34:21	Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7fd710…
10-30 02:55:09	Spread: Packers (-7.5)	Panthers	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x272d7a…
10-30 02:55:09	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x17117e…
10-30 00:16:58	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 71.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3ff64f…
10-30 00:06:55	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xfc7926…