(anonymous) 0xb48535…0bed11 Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$174
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
412
Trades
1,039
lifetime
Volume
$9.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-06 00:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
62% 82% -$25
Politics
34% 76% +$15
Tech
4% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 425 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +268 $142 60¢ $160 +$17 11-04 12:10
Will Gurmit Sandhu win the 2026 Scarborough North by-election? No +134 $121 96¢ $129 +$8 11-05 16:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? No +134 $101 96¢ $128 +$28 10-27 12:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +134 $126 90¢ $120 -$6 11-04 23:05
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +268 $122 40¢ $106 -$16 11-04 12:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +150 $105 67¢ $101 -$4 11-05 14:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +84 $82 98¢ $82 +$1 11-04 13:34
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +111 $61 74¢ $82 +$20 11-04 23:03
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? No +84 $6 97¢ $82 +$75 10-26 18:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +84 $60 80¢ $68 +$8 11-04 13:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +54 $53 100¢ $54 +$1 11-05 16:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +54 $50 99¢ $53 +$3 11-05 16:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +54 $44 98¢ $53 +$9 11-05 16:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +54 $40 93¢ $50 +$10 11-05 16:13
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$1 11-04 17:24
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +150 $44 32¢ $49 +$5 11-05 14:58
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? No +52 $44 92¢ $48 +$4 11-05 15:54
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +50 $45 93¢ $46 +$2 11-04 17:24
Will there be 3 or more government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? No +52 $45 86¢ $45 +$1 11-05 17:52
Will there be no government shutdown by December 31, 2027? No +54 $43 82¢ $44 +$1 11-05 17:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +54 $41 78¢ $42 +$1 11-05 16:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +54 $49 72¢ $39 -$11 11-05 16:13
Will there be exactly 2 government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? No +54 $37 68¢ $37 +$0 11-05 17:52
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027? No +54 $34 64¢ $34 +$0 11-05 17:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +33 $33 100¢ $33 +$0 11-04 21:00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +33 $32 100¢ $33 +$0 10-27 09:06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +33 $32 100¢ $33 +$0 10-27 09:06
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +33 $17 99¢ $32 +$15 10-26 12:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +33 $31 97¢ $32 +$1 10-27 09:06
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No +33 $32 96¢ $32 -$1 11-04 12:24