Luxurious-Woodchuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,408 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$109

$36.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$116

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-30 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 37% -$2,299

Politics

2% 0% -$194

Other

1% 8% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes		+596	$112	20¢	$116	+$4	10-30 12:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:35 UTC	5	$470	607	487	+120	Up	+$166	03-05 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:10 UTC	2	$254	278	274	+4	Up	+$54	03-15 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC	2	$225	132	130	+1	Up	+$26	03-04 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:30 UTC	2	$221	167	164	+2	Down	+$84	03-14 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:30 UTC	6	$195	287	284	+3	Up	+$11	03-15 03:34
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	3	$194	552	475	+77	No	-$8	01-24 23:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$189	430	430	+0	No	-$9	01-14 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:35 UTC	6	$181	283	282	+1	Up	+$129	03-14 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:50 UTC	2	$160	173	171	+3	Down	-$40	03-14 03:53
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	3	$151	7,227	7,227	+0	No	-$45	01-16 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:15 UTC	2	$150	103	101	+2	Up	+$52	03-17 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:20 UTC	3	$147	133	126	+7	Down	+$44	03-14 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:45 UTC	3	$146	649	396	+254	Up	-$74	03-05 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:10 UTC	4	$142	164	161	+2	Down	+$22	03-21 02:14
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$142	1,525	0	+1,525	No	-$142	01-15 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC	2	$140	108	107	+2	Down	+$40	03-17 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:40 UTC	4	$140	173	173	+0	Down	+$60	07-16 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC	4	$139	129	127	+2	Down	+$10	03-21 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:40 UTC	2	$137	135	133	+2	Down	+$39	03-15 03:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	4	$133	108	107	+1	Up	-$7	03-04 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:00 UTC	4	$132	100	99	+1	Up	+$12	03-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:15 UTC	2	$127	115	115	+0	Up	+$67	07-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:00 UTC	6	$124	160	160	+0	Up	+$14	07-16 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:00 UTC	2	$124	109	108	+1	Up	+$55	03-24 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:35 UTC	4	$122	331	330	+1	Up	+$42	03-15 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:30 UTC	5	$121	143	104	+39	Up	+$29	03-14 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:55 UTC	2	$120	128	126	+2	Down	+$20	03-04 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 23:00 UTC	3	$118	91	90	+1	Up	+$59	01-15 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC	2	$118	80	79	+1	Up	+$39	03-15 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:45 UTC	4	$116	119	118	+1	Down	-$24	03-05 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x098181…
10-30 12:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xd7ef73…
10-30 12:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x64aa6c…
10-30 12:27:21	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x907b53…
10-30 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xf15084…
10-30 12:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xba5404…
10-30 12:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0x97be42…
10-30 12:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb919cc…
10-30 12:19:15	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x81f4d3…
10-30 12:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x34e11f…
10-30 12:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x95abaf…
10-30 12:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	26	76¢	$19	0xc4e768…
10-30 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfa2377…
10-30 12:01:43	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xc54bff…
10-30 12:01:43	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x5b454f…
10-30 12:00:54	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xf957a9…
10-25 17:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x121779…
10-25 16:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xcd25b2…
10-25 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xcb3ec2…
10-25 16:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3c6b6b…
10-25 16:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x6da26f…
10-25 16:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd289aa…
10-25 16:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a4912…
10-25 16:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x39d0c1…
10-25 16:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x0314c1…
10-25 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xef1c02…
10-25 16:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x98582a…
10-25 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	73¢	$14	0x83cb60…
10-25 16:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd2cc46…
10-25 15:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x0b4a5c…
10-25 15:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xae8058…
10-25 15:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x834d8c…
10-25 15:27:11	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x92626f…
10-25 15:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x6a14e4…
10-25 15:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x613119…
10-25 15:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf38db1…
10-25 15:19:33	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	19¢	$50	0xf1e651…
10-22 17:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcf1507…
10-22 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xbf7a57…
10-22 17:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x172c11…
10-22 17:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x132ccd…
10-22 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0d3810…
10-22 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x677274…
10-22 17:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x74f19f…
10-22 17:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0x474131…
10-22 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x45e072…
10-22 17:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x47936b…
10-22 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x053739…
10-22 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	18¢	$8	0x2e082b…
10-22 16:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x24491f…
10-22 16:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0x859f2d…
10-22 16:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0x995dc3…
10-22 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xa10406…
10-22 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x9848ab…
10-18 21:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xb17e46…
10-18 21:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x42fe80…
10-17 19:16:47	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Indiana	SELL	113	23¢	$26	0x96a550…
10-17 16:13:26	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Indiana	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x367f58…
10-14 14:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x47d515…
10-14 14:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xef2645…
10-14 14:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6d47cf…
10-14 13:51:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa9a6dc…
10-14 13:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x2f6f93…
10-14 13:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4c9128…
10-14 12:21:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x9ca830…
10-14 12:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xdfacb3…
10-14 01:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x7f4b54…
10-14 01:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4af810…
10-14 00:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0xd58e9e…
10-14 00:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x48cb26…
10-14 00:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x23deba…
10-14 00:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0xfb1188…
10-14 00:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4f5078…
10-12 17:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xea7ab5…
10-12 17:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xf900ea…
10-12 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6bf85a…
10-12 17:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x928e46…
10-12 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x15025e…
10-12 17:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x4f818b…
10-12 17:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x05a1c6…
10-11 18:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x55df56…
10-11 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc088f8…
10-11 18:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0xdbde84…
10-11 18:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x034237…
10-11 18:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc20bb4…
10-11 18:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfd1a6f…
10-11 18:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4fceb5…
10-11 18:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb8bbb4…
10-11 18:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xa78df5…
10-11 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf3b1e9…
10-11 17:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfe7db1…
10-11 17:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x124de4…
10-09 23:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0xdbda45…
10-09 23:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x78eed1…
10-09 19:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x4dc272…
10-09 19:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xf25f70…
10-09 19:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xeb2657…
10-09 19:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	999	0¢	$1	0x858ca0…
10-09 19:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xbddd2e…
10-09 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x1a6b66…