Luxurious-Woodchuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

1,413

Trades

2,710

lifetime

Volume

$41.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-12 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 38% -$2,177

Politics

2% 6% -$388

Other

1% 8% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:35 UTC	5	$470	607	487	+120	Up	+$166	03-05 03:39
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	13	$377	1,485	596	+889	No	-$150	11-04 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:10 UTC	2	$254	278	274	+4	Up	+$54	03-15 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC	2	$225	132	130	+1	Up	+$26	03-04 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:30 UTC	2	$221	167	164	+2	Down	+$84	03-14 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:30 UTC	6	$195	287	284	+3	Up	+$11	03-15 03:34
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	3	$194	552	475	+77	No	-$8	01-24 23:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$189	430	430	+0	No	-$9	01-14 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:35 UTC	6	$181	283	282	+1	Up	+$129	03-14 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:50 UTC	2	$160	173	171	+3	Down	-$40	03-14 03:53
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	3	$151	7,227	7,227	+0	No	-$45	01-16 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:15 UTC	2	$150	103	101	+2	Up	+$52	03-17 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:20 UTC	3	$147	133	126	+7	Down	+$44	03-14 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:45 UTC	3	$146	649	396	+254	Up	-$74	03-05 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:10 UTC	4	$142	164	161	+2	Down	+$22	03-21 02:14
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$142	1,525	0	+1,525	No	-$142	01-15 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC	2	$140	108	107	+2	Down	+$40	03-17 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:40 UTC	4	$140	173	173	+0	Down	+$60	07-16 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC	4	$139	129	127	+2	Down	+$10	03-21 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:40 UTC	2	$137	135	133	+2	Down	+$39	03-15 03:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:50 UTC	4	$133	108	107	+1	Up	-$7	03-04 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:00 UTC	4	$132	100	99	+1	Up	+$12	03-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:15 UTC	2	$127	115	115	+0	Up	+$67	07-16 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:00 UTC	6	$124	160	160	+0	Up	+$14	07-16 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:00 UTC	2	$124	109	108	+1	Up	+$55	03-24 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:35 UTC	4	$122	331	330	+1	Up	+$42	03-15 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:30 UTC	5	$121	143	104	+39	Up	+$29	03-14 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:55 UTC	2	$120	128	126	+2	Down	+$20	03-04 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 23:00 UTC	3	$118	91	90	+1	Up	+$59	01-15 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 02:10 UTC	2	$118	80	79	+1	Up	+$39	03-15 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 17:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x04010c…
11-12 17:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9302c9…
11-12 16:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe930e5…
11-12 14:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x105c03…
11-12 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x38bd17…
11-12 13:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7e1bee…
11-12 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4e25e3…
11-12 13:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x76987d…
11-12 13:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6321f6…
11-12 13:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x5d701a…
11-12 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd79fe0…
11-12 13:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xba0e80…
11-12 12:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x853082…
11-12 12:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4c144f…
11-04 01:17:48	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xa80c9c…
11-04 01:17:27	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x4a975d…
11-04 00:54:48	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x4adba5…
11-04 00:51:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0x93936f…
11-04 00:48:15	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x12a281…
11-04 00:48:03	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x1a0087…
11-04 00:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xcf38f7…
11-04 00:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x59deb7…
11-04 00:42:22	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc80a9e…
11-04 00:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x5217e2…
11-04 00:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbb5761…
11-04 00:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x5ae3c0…
11-04 00:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x74daee…
11-04 00:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xee755e…
11-04 00:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xf76639…
11-04 00:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x446561…
11-04 00:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0xb1c542…
11-04 00:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x397146…
11-04 00:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xb205df…
11-04 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x74fb9d…
11-04 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc835f2…
11-04 00:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x55880f…
11-04 00:10:09	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xd89895…
11-04 00:08:54	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	14¢	$17	0xe1bba6…
11-03 17:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xda769e…
11-03 17:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x68e4ba…
11-03 17:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x43cb12…
11-03 17:11:52	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x4b448e…
11-03 17:11:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8e7cc0…
11-03 17:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x2ff450…
11-03 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x187940…
11-03 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0xc0cdcf…
11-03 17:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa91b81…
11-03 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd5c020…
11-03 16:59:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x024db4…
11-03 02:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa08cb0…
11-03 02:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xa9c306…
11-03 02:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xc6a354…
11-03 02:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x336618…
11-03 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd714bb…
11-03 02:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb37148…
11-03 02:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x70d48c…
11-03 02:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x64655d…
11-03 02:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x66ed8d…
11-03 02:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x37b2fb…
11-03 02:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x716962…
11-03 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	46	64¢	$30	0x604c25…
11-03 02:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x9934f6…
11-03 02:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x789b1e…
11-03 02:30:12	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0x48ded0…
11-03 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xbd7fbe…
11-03 02:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1c3e3f…
11-03 02:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	79¢	$18	0x85909f…
11-03 02:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x936a05…
11-03 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x6f3f04…
11-03 02:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x140537…
11-03 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x718afc…
11-03 02:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xae0c8f…
11-03 02:14:01	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	18¢	$101	0x049537…
11-02 23:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x682624…
11-02 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0f1e6d…
11-02 23:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5633ad…
11-02 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xab0e20…
11-02 23:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6ddb3d…
11-02 22:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	46¢	$26	0x20b0e7…
11-02 22:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcaedf9…
11-02 22:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xf4e62a…
11-02 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xcb1192…
11-02 22:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0xddba27…
11-02 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x70b152…
11-02 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x885d71…
11-02 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x0d3f7c…
11-02 22:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x3a27be…
11-02 22:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x33f234…
11-02 22:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x6187b3…
11-02 22:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	51	17¢	$9	0x4f3aa8…
11-02 22:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x304309…
11-02 22:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x13c71d…
11-02 22:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xcaff59…
11-02 22:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfc0d56…
11-02 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0xf4fae8…
11-02 22:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x59a8db…
11-02 21:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	81¢	$27	0x9ac28e…
11-02 21:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x56ceb1…
11-02 21:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x0b1d60…
11-02 21:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x6342c1…