Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

43 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$203

$203 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-27 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

55% 33% -$2

Crypto

26% 27% -$21

Politics

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	+22	$10	55¢	$12	+$2	10-06 12:18
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	No	+38	$5	26¢	$10	+$5	10-06 12:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+10	$5	64¢	$6	+$1	10-27 20:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	10-17 18:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$19	28	28	+0	open	—	10-11 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$16	58	17	+42	Down	-$4	10-06 11:57
Will Russia vs. Nigeria end in a draw?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	10-06 19:21
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	1	$10	14	0	+14	Tomas Machac	-$10	10-07 08:06
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	10-08 16:27
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	10-06 12:18
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	-$10	10-17 19:00
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$10	28	28	+0	open	—	10-16 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	10-06 17:11
Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?	1	$8	20	0	+20	No	+$12	10-06 19:36
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$7	17	12	+4	Yes	-$1	10-08 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	-$5	10-06 17:04
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	27	0	+27	No	-$5	10-21 20:24
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	10-06 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$5	10-06 12:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-27 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-06 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-06 17:09
Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?	1	$4	16	0	+16	No	-$4	10-06 12:32
Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?	1	$4	27	0	+27	Yes	-$4	10-06 19:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-16 18:16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Up	-$1	10-06 17:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$2	18	0	+18	Down	-$2	10-11 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	10-11 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	10-06 19:25
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$2	13	0	+13	No	-$2	10-08 21:58
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	10-11 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	10-09 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:10:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab62dd…
10-21 20:24:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x0db14a…
10-17 19:00:23	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf0b558…
10-17 18:56:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1b6bb1…
10-17 17:08:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8155cb…
10-16 18:16:45	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xec89e5…
10-16 13:43:54	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xf7284e…
10-11 20:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe0166a…
10-11 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5112c6…
10-11 20:15:51	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x76ec7d…
10-11 20:12:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x8e64c2…
10-09 21:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x173c26…
10-08 21:58:38	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x63d7a6…
10-08 16:48:11	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xf1c771…
10-08 16:27:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc388cd…
10-07 08:06:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9e4aa1…
10-06 19:46:18	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb8fce5…
10-06 19:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xc8f093…
10-06 19:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x462283…
10-06 19:36:18	Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4f7561…
10-06 19:36:03	Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?	No	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x26ce16…
10-06 19:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6c2eb2…
10-06 19:21:18	Will Russia vs. Nigeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa9a479…
10-06 17:14:51	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7de721…
10-06 17:14:12	Will Russia vs. Nigeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8b5044…
10-06 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x95da55…
10-06 17:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x48cb13…
10-06 17:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xfef410…
10-06 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf43aff…
10-06 17:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6b461d…
10-06 17:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd7e753…
10-06 17:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xefb564…
10-06 17:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2484d9…
10-06 17:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6581b4…
10-06 12:32:03	Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x00cb03…
10-06 12:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9f267a…
10-06 12:25:25	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xfd56ea…
10-06 12:22:37	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7e0515…
10-06 12:18:36	Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa70e9b…
10-06 11:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x65c545…
10-06 11:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xbafb6f…
10-06 11:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfa98d3…
10-06 11:55:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x942273…