Disguised-Spirituality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$125.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.96K

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,727

lifetime

Volume

$1.64M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$952

Open exposure

$170.0K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

74% 57% +$118,570

Other

23% 76% -$5,207

Tech

2% 100% +$10,243

Crypto

1% 100% +$203

Sports

0% 50% +$1,324

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+57,624	$40,174	72¢	$41.8K	+$1,603	10-25 17:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+40,000	$26,000	64¢	$25.8K	-$200	10-23 23:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+40,000	$26,000	64¢	$25.8K	-$200	10-23 21:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+30,000	$19,200	60¢	$18.1K	-$1,050	10-24 21:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+21,395	$14,098	66¢	$14.0K	-$85	10-26 21:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+20,000	$13,200	66¢	$13.1K	-$100	10-25 03:10
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+15,000	$10,450	69¢	$10.3K	-$100	10-25 20:09
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+10,905	$7,584	68¢	$7.5K	-$114	10-25 20:22
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+15,000	$8,150	46¢	$6.8K	-$1,325	10-22 13:30
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+15,000	$8,145	45¢	$6.8K	-$1,388	10-22 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$164.2K	164,342	0	+164,342	No	+$164	07-01 05:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	94	$89.5K	89,041	86,380	+2,661	Yes	+$18,560	04-07 23:39
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	240	$81.7K	62,867	56,852	+6,015	Yes	-$4,213	01-30 21:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$78.6K	78,833	43,186	+35,647	No	-$12,044	05-23 23:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$73.1K	76,668	0	+76,668	No	+$3,527	03-16 16:02
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	18	$71.4K	75,549	6,354	+69,195	Yes	-$313	03-04 04:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$69.3K	70,000	0	+70,000	Yes	+$700	04-07 23:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	24	$61.8K	68,717	0	+68,717	Yes	+$6,901	02-28 23:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	44	$60.9K	71,832	14,208	+57,624	open	—	10-25 17:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	53	$60.9K	166,573	48,527	+118,046	Yes	+$2,528	04-07 23:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$53.6K	54,618	5,063	+49,555	No	-$44,279	05-22 21:54
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	57	$49.7K	52,791	35,638	+17,153	No	-$10,499	01-14 23:40
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	24	$37.3K	24,666	24,666	+0	No	+$988	01-23 22:01
cbb txs alcst 2026 01 17	4	$35.7K	36,563	0	+36,563	Texas Southern Tigers	+$819	01-17 23:55
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	23	$33.6K	23,929	26,280	-2,351	No	-$2,694	01-15 01:39
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	68	$33.3K	33,321	0	+33,321	Yes	+$33	03-16 02:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	206	$32.8K	91,386	107,029	-15,643	No	-$19,016	05-04 14:09
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	31	$30.6K	54,827	0	+54,827	Yes	+$24,205	07-20 13:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	11	$26.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	10-23 23:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	27	$26.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	10-23 21:07
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	69	$24.9K	0	25,095	-25,095	No	-$201	06-03 05:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$22.3K	22,544	0	+22,544	No	+$203	06-02 23:47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$22.0K	30,153	0	+30,153	No	+$8,111	10-25 22:23
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	13	$21.9K	32,177	0	+32,177	No	+$10,268	01-23 21:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$19.2K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	10-24 21:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	20	$17.1K	23,628	2,234	+21,395	open	—	10-26 21:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	18	$17.1K	95,089	0	+95,089	Yes	+$78,012	06-11 18:00
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	1	$16.1K	24,475	0	+24,475	Yes	-$16,136	08-02 18:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$15.7K	18,715	0	+18,715	Yes	+$2,994	04-12 13:37
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	19	$15.2K	21,110	8,356	+12,754	No	+$7,239	01-15 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:27:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,739	67¢	$1,165	0xc02d6b…
10-26 21:27:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	294	67¢	$197	0x6d4f63…
10-26 21:27:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x46d26e…
10-25 22:23:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30,153	73¢	$22,042	0x04d28d…
10-25 20:22:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xcd3609…
10-25 20:22:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xba6e29…
10-25 20:22:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,072	69¢	$740	0xac197b…
10-25 20:22:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	120	69¢	$83	0xa68b91…
10-25 20:22:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x7a65a0…
10-25 20:22:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x59caed…
10-25 20:12:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0xa08a88…
10-25 20:11:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,552	69¢	$2,451	0xf927e6…
10-25 20:09:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	98	69¢	$68	0xdf4cca…
10-25 20:09:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,244	69¢	$858	0xcd5e06…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	62	70¢	$43	0xae5329…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	161	70¢	$112	0x872e2f…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,570	70¢	$1,799	0x5906d4…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,405	70¢	$1,683	0x3a1ccc…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x22b506…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x1a9409…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,756	69¢	$2,592	0x10783d…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	160	70¢	$112	0x0fa64b…
10-25 18:02:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xa1f9c8…
10-25 17:48:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	326	70¢	$228	0x446405…
10-25 17:33:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	911	71¢	$647	0x385f7a…
10-25 17:28:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0xfe0b75…
10-25 17:23:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	172	71¢	$122	0xc800c4…
10-25 17:22:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	331	71¢	$235	0xa81145…
10-25 17:20:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x46a90d…
10-25 17:20:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	317	71¢	$225	0x5fe2d1…
10-25 17:09:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x0c179c…
10-25 17:06:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	172	71¢	$122	0x1ec1ba…
10-25 16:47:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc5c640…
10-25 16:35:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	390	70¢	$273	0x0da09f…
10-25 16:21:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	53	71¢	$38	0x50564c…
10-25 16:18:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xb67f2a…
10-25 16:10:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	799	70¢	$560	0xb12c6a…
10-25 16:10:41	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	201	70¢	$140	0x396697…
10-25 16:07:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	690	71¢	$490	0x1e0041…
10-25 16:05:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	71¢	$14	0x2b33e6…
10-25 16:03:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x22bfb4…
10-25 15:54:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x06909c…
10-25 15:51:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x32c8fa…
10-25 15:44:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	116	71¢	$83	0xbd72c6…
10-25 15:36:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2dfe3b…
10-25 15:32:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe8c252…
10-25 15:32:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x69989c…
10-25 15:30:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xbada8e…
10-25 15:26:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x386175…
10-25 15:16:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8,038	71¢	$5,707	0xc8c303…
10-25 15:10:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	180	70¢	$126	0xdfa46b…
10-25 15:10:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0x4344f7…
10-25 15:04:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,034	71¢	$734	0x8ee7b5…
10-25 15:01:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0xce0718…
10-25 15:00:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	172	71¢	$122	0x1b0b1a…
10-25 14:59:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0xfa3553…
10-25 14:59:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	795	71¢	$565	0x33dccf…
10-25 14:40:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$22	0xaf3327…
10-25 14:32:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xd0f36f…
10-25 14:28:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xf46e07…
10-25 14:26:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0xdeb407…
10-25 14:16:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	571	71¢	$405	0xdb69a3…
10-25 14:13:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x8a3833…
10-25 14:13:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	67	71¢	$48	0xe244bf…
10-25 03:10:17	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0x01ca7f…
10-25 02:57:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbc6101…
10-25 02:50:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	107	66¢	$71	0xc039f0…
10-25 02:43:44	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	208	66¢	$137	0xeddda0…
10-25 02:43:44	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	47	66¢	$31	0x5e1168…
10-25 02:43:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	129	66¢	$85	0x659060…
10-25 02:41:36	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x3e4bc4…
10-25 02:41:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdb78e4…
10-25 02:25:50	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	885	66¢	$584	0x2ac687…
10-25 02:21:26	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x85be74…
10-25 02:21:03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x9a4a79…
10-25 02:19:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xa16a8a…
10-25 02:18:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	129	66¢	$85	0xf28c86…
10-25 02:16:18	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x554d46…
10-25 02:11:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x12855e…
10-25 02:08:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x957920…
10-25 02:04:47	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x6c5026…
10-25 01:59:27	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x1b36ac…
10-25 01:49:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x172d85…
10-25 01:49:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,400	66¢	$924	0x7eae7f…
10-25 01:48:02	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0xe124e4…
10-25 01:46:54	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xd58f6f…
10-25 01:42:41	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x43c874…
10-25 01:38:53	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x39c68c…
10-25 01:36:29	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	126	66¢	$83	0x4626a1…
10-25 01:35:03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	63	66¢	$42	0x0ac184…
10-25 01:33:11	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xa1d3e5…
10-25 01:30:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x151457…
10-25 01:13:59	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x9fe6ad…
10-25 01:12:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0xd334de…
10-25 01:12:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,735	66¢	$1,145	0x40fb38…
10-25 01:12:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,001	66¢	$1,321	0xfa2b91…
10-25 01:12:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0xe08b09…
10-25 01:11:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xe60dce…
10-25 01:11:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x35a5e8…
10-25 01:08:02	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x3c6e46…