Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$326

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-26 22:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

73% 33% +$580

Other

24% 0% -$228

Crypto

4% 29% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.3K	1,187	1,187	+0	Yes	+$632	10-04 20:53
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$220	2,322	0	+2,322	No	-$220	10-04 21:54
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	3	$148	201	128	+73	open	—	10-26 22:36
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	1	$40	150	0	+150	open	—	10-26 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$35	130	30	+100	Up	+$6	10-08 18:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	2	$21	81	81	+0	No	+$1	10-04 21:43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	1	$18	46	0	+46	No	-$18	10-07 01:46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	1	$14	30	0	+30	No	-$14	10-06 20:00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$14	587	0	+587	No	-$14	10-04 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	1	$14	29	0	+29	Up	-$14	10-05 01:56
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	2	$12	1,813	0	+1,813	open	—	10-26 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:35 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	10-05 01:35
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	1	$10	231	0	+231	open	—	10-06 22:54
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	1	$10	270	0	+270	open	—	10-07 01:38
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$8	76	0	+76	No	-$8	10-01 17:46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	1	$6	443	0	+443	No	-$6	10-08 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:05 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	10-05 01:04
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	1	$5	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	10-08 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:30 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	-$4	10-05 01:29
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	1	$2	268	0	+268	open	—	10-08 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1	262	0	+262	Up	-$1	10-08 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	10-05 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:36:33	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	67¢	$48	0xa81916…
10-26 22:36:18	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	27¢	$40	0xc12437…
10-26 16:57:48	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	Yes	BUY	444	0¢	$2	0xf8e4df…
10-26 15:52:33	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	128	73¢	$94	0x39a3b9…
10-08 18:48:59	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$6	0x339d64…
10-08 18:46:03	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	268	1¢	$2	0xd7da7d…
10-08 18:44:57	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$5	0x727979…
10-08 18:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a2bef…
10-08 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xd707d0…
10-08 18:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6690b3…
10-08 18:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	59¢	$10	0x01c95b…
10-08 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x352fad…
10-08 18:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x791e23…
10-08 14:15:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	443	1¢	$6	0x149224…
10-07 01:46:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	46	38¢	$18	0x4e45c5…
10-07 01:42:41	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	Yes	BUY	1,370	1¢	$10	0xe21425…
10-07 01:38:56	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x78e7f5…
10-06 22:54:12	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$10	0xf4e390…
10-06 20:00:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x664345…
10-05 01:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x2f2e4a…
10-05 01:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe565be…
10-05 01:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x2bf498…
10-05 01:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6283e1…
10-05 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x298bca…
10-04 21:54:08	Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,100	10¢	$110	0xacd03a…
10-04 21:54:08	Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,222	9¢	$110	0x92845a…
10-04 21:44:07	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	587	2¢	$14	0xa22e4e…
10-04 21:43:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	81	13¢	$11	0x545a62…
10-04 21:19:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x39f011…
10-04 20:53:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,187	82¢	$972	0x85e519…
10-01 20:03:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,187	29¢	$340	0x0d9597…
10-01 17:46:00	Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0xc0e7f7…