Harmful-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$788

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

7,323

Trades

17,515

lifetime

Volume

$364.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 11-01 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$788

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:20 UTC	7	$1.1K	600	595	+5	Up	+$56	04-06 14:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:30 UTC	7	$1.1K	600	594	+6	Down	+$73	04-06 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:05 UTC	7	$1.1K	600	593	+7	Down	+$87	04-06 16:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:45 UTC	7	$1.1K	600	593	+7	Up	+$82	04-06 13:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:40 UTC	7	$1.0K	600	496	+104	Up	+$53	04-06 14:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:10 UTC	7	$947	500	497	+3	Up	+$22	04-06 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:40 UTC	6	$925	500	496	+4	Up	+$47	04-06 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:45 UTC	6	$917	500	495	+5	Down	+$49	04-06 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:50 UTC	6	$908	500	494	+6	Up	+$67	04-06 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:35 UTC	6	$906	500	495	+5	Up	+$41	04-06 16:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:25 UTC	7	$863	500	496	+4	Down	-$14	04-06 10:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:05 UTC	7	$768	400	399	+1	Down	+$8	04-06 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:35 UTC	7	$765	600	591	+9	Up	-$190	04-06 08:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	6	$755	400	398	+2	Up	+$24	04-07 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:25 UTC	5	$755	400	397	+3	Up	+$27	04-06 18:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:35 UTC	6	$752	400	398	+2	Down	+$18	04-06 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:25 UTC	5	$752	400	397	+3	Up	+$30	04-06 14:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:10 UTC	5	$748	400	397	+3	Up	+$29	04-07 08:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:35 UTC	5	$746	400	397	+3	Up	+$43	04-06 16:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:40 UTC	5	$745	400	397	+3	Down	+$29	04-06 17:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:50 UTC	5	$743	400	397	+3	Up	+$35	04-06 13:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:20 UTC	5	$739	400	397	+3	Up	+$39	04-06 10:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:10 UTC	5	$736	400	397	+3	Down	+$32	04-06 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:50 UTC	5	$733	400	396	+4	Up	+$47	04-06 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:40 UTC	5	$733	400	396	+4	Down	+$55	04-06 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC	5	$729	400	396	+4	Up	+$46	04-06 18:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:50 UTC	5	$724	400	395	+5	Down	+$54	04-06 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:15 UTC	5	$723	400	395	+5	Down	+$56	04-06 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:50 UTC	5	$712	400	395	+5	Down	+$62	04-06 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:10 UTC	6	$648	500	495	+5	Down	-$227	04-06 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb390ce…
11-01 03:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	76	55¢	$41	0x028285…
11-01 01:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x6790ba…
11-01 01:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xc685cf…
11-01 01:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x362a47…
11-01 01:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xd36a41…
11-01 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	54¢	$46	0xd7d76c…
11-01 01:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3dd846…
11-01 01:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe7ab64…
10-31 21:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf315cb…
10-31 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0x06488c…
10-31 21:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0xb2fc88…
10-31 11:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa7b868…
10-31 11:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	52¢	$56	0x8cd43a…
10-31 11:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xbcbc9c…
10-31 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x638272…
10-31 10:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0xd4a6c8…
10-31 10:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xae0bc9…
10-31 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x84fab7…
10-31 10:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$51	0x67352a…
10-31 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x9b519b…
10-31 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x53a375…
10-31 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x27b9da…
10-31 03:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1b04d1…
10-31 03:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	96	53¢	$52	0x0c5a7a…
10-31 00:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0d8545…
10-31 00:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0xaece44…
10-31 00:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xa5842b…
10-31 00:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x0de045…
10-31 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x9d6269…
10-31 00:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x74fd48…
10-31 00:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x559e79…
10-31 00:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc3709a…
10-31 00:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa0845d…
10-31 00:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x0e5a16…
10-31 00:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xfac2b6…
10-31 00:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x83e25d…
10-31 00:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0x74945d…
10-30 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x4c5a10…
10-30 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x5e7017…
10-30 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xe27d5b…
10-30 23:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x46d8bc…
10-30 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	98	54¢	$53	0x408728…
10-30 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x388d20…
10-30 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x0d37c6…
10-30 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0x23099e…
10-30 23:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x755575…
10-30 23:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xe8494b…
10-30 23:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4713e6…
10-30 23:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb2d0db…
10-30 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x42141e…
10-30 23:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x400960…
10-30 23:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	87	54¢	$46	0x40d23c…
10-30 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x07edbf…
10-30 09:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x72703b…
10-30 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x4d4bff…
10-30 06:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x9aab25…
10-30 00:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xb111b7…
10-29 15:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x618f79…
10-29 15:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7858a3…
10-29 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x9c4269…
10-29 02:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xbe196d…
10-29 02:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	55¢	$39	0x458154…
10-29 01:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x9860b7…
10-29 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x263fea…
10-29 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x3754fe…
10-28 19:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x31842e…
10-28 19:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x23171f…
10-28 14:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x1b70de…
10-28 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xed48b3…
10-28 13:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xd46863…
10-28 12:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x8acc17…
10-28 12:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x7e01af…
10-28 12:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x16a73e…
10-28 06:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x8723c3…
10-28 03:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x9a7a1e…
10-28 03:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x074c00…
10-28 01:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x03a254…
10-27 17:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x7eb948…
10-27 16:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x238091…
10-27 12:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xc4b3b7…
10-27 12:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x9c27dc…
10-27 12:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x548a67…
10-27 12:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xea48d7…
10-27 10:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe29981…
10-27 10:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x52bdde…
10-27 03:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xaf85a1…
10-27 01:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x640119…
10-27 00:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x491b54…
10-27 00:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x3b8a40…
10-27 00:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x8c7026…
10-27 00:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x45aaa0…
10-26 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x4ea8c9…
10-26 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xbd1a1e…
10-26 20:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x65728e…
10-26 20:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb1b6e8…
10-26 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfaacf8…
10-26 20:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xe9da04…
10-26 20:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	129	53¢	$68	0x1fc4b1…
10-26 13:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xdb4d1e…