Harmful-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$602

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$14	32	+32	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$12	20	+20	Down	+$8	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Up	+$9	05-04 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Down	$-11	05-04 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Down	+$9	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Up	$-11	05-05 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Up	$-11	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Up	+$9	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Down	$-11	05-05 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Down	$-11	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	Down	+$9	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Down	+$10	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7306da…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xeffe68…
05-05 07:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x5195cf…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4c68cb…
05-05 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb0eaf5…
05-05 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6ed513…
05-05 07:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x8ca625…
05-05 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc62410…
05-05 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xcdef5c…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x37c067…
05-05 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa7a0f8…
05-05 06:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x824ca4…
05-05 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9651b2…
05-05 06:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc6202f…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb8af66…
05-05 06:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x85860c…
05-05 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x64656f…
05-05 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x14d22d…
05-05 06:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1d75c1…
05-05 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x04e6ed…
05-05 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8476c8…
05-05 05:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa5f274…
05-05 05:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x8f5f76…
05-05 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xa028f0…
05-05 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa37e89…
05-05 05:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x58132e…
05-05 05:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x25fb0d…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf24544…
05-05 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc6f2a8…
05-05 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x667c66…
05-05 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb7109d…
05-05 04:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x279b07…
05-05 04:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9ea064…
05-05 04:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x200e84…
05-05 04:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2fcc2b…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x734781…
05-05 04:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbbf42d…
05-05 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa7d2bb…
05-05 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd643bf…
05-05 04:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb5113b…
05-05 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x87acb4…
05-05 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xb2ff26…
05-05 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe2a39e…
05-05 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x271e8f…
05-05 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x28a8d9…
05-05 03:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2c6817…
05-05 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc9f23d…
05-05 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8e3d43…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0640e…
05-05 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5c6447…
05-05 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3b5b24…
05-05 00:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2afaee…
05-05 00:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa06819…
05-05 00:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x491471…
05-05 00:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbee7d8…
05-05 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x17df5f…
05-05 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2fc628…
05-05 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4b8de1…
05-04 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x27e7e4…
05-04 23:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x175480…
05-04 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xda308c…
05-04 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xaccd15…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	61	$8.66K	297	05-05 07:55
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	54	$3.45K	201	05-05 07:50
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	52	$3.57K	210	05-05 07:50
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	51	$7.57K	247	05-05 07:51
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	50	$9.17K	129	05-05 07:50
Questionable-Miter 0x7b55…8f95	49	$1.32K	228	05-05 07:20
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	49	$510	188	05-05 07:50
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	48	$1.66K	145	05-05 07:51