Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$129

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-13 09:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$15

Crypto

34% 100% +$4

Politics

18% 90% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+68	$66	97¢	$66	$0	11-13 09:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+49	$48	97¢	$48	+$0	11-13 09:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-15	-$13	98¢	$-15	-$2	05-11 07:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$400	201	201	+0	No	+$0	05-21 10:26
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$310	311	0	+311	No	+$1	02-04 14:02
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-11 07:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$266	135	135	+0	No	+$2	06-06 07:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$245	245	0	+245	No	+$0	05-22 15:46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	1	$244	244	0	+244	No	+$0	08-23 07:23
ethereum above 2500 on january 3	1	$235	235	0	+235	Yes	+$0	01-02 11:10
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$225	228	0	+228	No	+$3	03-03 09:22
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	06-05 04:19
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-19 11:50
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$195	195	0	+195	No	+$0	04-13 12:44
solana above 120 on june 23 2026	1	$175	175	0	+175	No	+$0	06-21 05:40
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	06-15 15:47
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	08-23 07:23
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	1	$154	154	0	+154	No	+$0	04-13 12:42
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	07-17 07:52
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	1	$148	149	0	+149	No	+$1	06-07 16:21
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	01-19 11:51
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$0	07-17 07:52
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	05-22 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	05-16 08:42
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	04-20 03:07
will ethereum reach 3600 december 29 january 4	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	01-02 11:08
Will Solana dip to $60 in October?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	10-19 04:44
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	07-17 07:53
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	03-15 06:05
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	06-15 11:47
solana above 130 on march 5	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	03-03 09:23
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$68	70	0	+70	No	+$2	05-16 08:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$66	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-18 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 09:19:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x6755d4…
11-13 09:18:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x8de446…
10-19 04:44:15	Will Solana dip to $60 in October?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xe26c8e…
10-07 10:51:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x893681…
10-07 10:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb58fdf…
09-15 07:21:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xe3c6c7…
09-15 07:19:54	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x88bb9f…
08-23 07:23:55	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xbdebd5…
08-23 07:23:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xf4bc27…
07-17 07:53:22	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xf641a3…
07-17 07:52:58	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3a9c61…
07-17 07:52:28	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x63db2c…
06-21 05:40:50	solana above 120 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x865560…
06-15 15:47:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xf06310…
06-15 12:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe52bcb…
06-15 11:47:46	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb734cd…
06-07 16:21:06	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xa29a6f…
06-06 07:21:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xbf1cee…
06-05 04:19:04	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x67c9ed…
06-05 03:28:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0x604715…
05-22 15:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x869d39…
05-22 15:45:14	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xc97fbc…
05-21 10:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x7f6dd8…
05-21 04:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xa82f23…
05-18 05:08:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0xa2afb5…
05-16 08:48:52	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x9a4617…
05-16 08:47:27	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xae547d…
05-16 08:46:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0facd7…
05-16 08:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x99c664…
05-11 07:46:10	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf466fa…
05-11 07:43:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x536f78…
05-11 07:42:38	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x88c3d2…
05-11 07:38:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$13	0xd77cb0…
04-24 07:43:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x67eaf0…
04-20 03:07:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xcf5642…
04-13 12:44:01	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xcdd4ef…
04-13 12:42:47	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x8dc92a…
03-19 05:19:19	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xeebb22…
03-15 06:05:25	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9faa29…
03-03 09:23:47	solana above 130 on march 5	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x44fe3d…
03-03 09:22:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	228	99¢	$225	0xf2ff0a…
02-04 14:02:38	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x4cced3…
01-26 08:42:37	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdae8f6…
01-19 11:51:28	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xc722a4…
01-19 11:50:40	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x42d248…
01-02 11:10:27	ethereum above 2500 on january 3	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x74fae4…
01-02 11:09:15	will ethereum dip to 2300 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd19633…
01-02 11:08:39	will ethereum reach 3600 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xd82a79…