Excitable-Soul — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

710

lifetime

Volume

$6.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-10 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-26

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		-25	$-23	94¢	$-23	$-0	06-09 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$39	46	0	+46	open	—	04-29 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$39	51	0	+51	open	—	04-30 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$39	59	0	+59	open	—	04-29 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	9	$38	129	0	+129	open	—	04-29 21:04
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$38	56	0	+56	open	—	04-30 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 23:14
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$38	47	0	+47	open	—	04-29 16:22
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$38	48	0	+48	open	—	04-29 22:38
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$38	51	0	+51	open	—	04-30 01:03
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$38	70	0	+70	open	—	04-29 18:18
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$37	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$37	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 22:53
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$37	58	0	+58	open	—	04-29 18:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$37	45	0	+45	open	—	04-29 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$37	57	0	+57	open	—	04-30 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$36	52	0	+52	open	—	04-29 22:03
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$36	59	0	+59	open	—	04-29 21:29
btc updown 5m 1775220600	2	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	04-03 12:50
btc updown 5m 1774928100	1	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 03:34
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$23	0	25	-25	open	—	06-09 19:26
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Down	$-20	05-05 04:07
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-29 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 15:12
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-03 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-29 01:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-29 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-30 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	04-29 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:05:04	eth updown 15m 1781049600	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x784dda…
06-09 23:56:12	eth updown 5m 1781049300	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd74d60…
06-09 23:50:00	eth updown 5m 1781048700	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc384d8…
06-09 23:25:01	btc updown 15m 1781046900	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfd6919…
06-09 23:25:00	xrp updown 5m 1781047200	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x14ba44…
06-09 20:38:25	eth updown 5m 1781037300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x78b3e5…
06-09 20:38:24	eth updown 5m 1781037300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd28717…
06-09 19:30:37	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3ed510…
06-09 19:27:18	eth updown 15m 1781032500	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd798c7…
06-09 19:26:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x443bac…
05-17 03:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xcc3f4e…
05-17 03:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x18f007…
05-06 16:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x080495…
05-06 16:32:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xfa7938…
05-06 16:32:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xdbcd1b…
05-06 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xb9ce90…
05-06 15:27:03	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0xb707cc…
05-06 15:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xa9192e…
05-06 14:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x88890b…
05-06 14:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x972f49…
05-06 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x79d362…
05-06 12:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x6faf0b…
05-06 11:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x41827c…
05-06 10:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$19	0xe7ee89…
05-06 10:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xbe0c1e…
05-06 10:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd4ff90…
05-06 10:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x649712…
05-06 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xdb1afb…
05-06 10:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x32b8a4…
05-06 10:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	68¢	$19	0x0d81c6…
05-06 10:17:06	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa612a2…
05-06 09:07:36	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x89486e…
05-06 09:07:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe625fc…
05-06 07:07:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xfecfa5…
05-06 06:53:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xa2a3ae…
05-06 06:53:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5f56a0…
05-06 06:53:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x39c2a2…
05-06 06:53:14	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x88bf65…
05-06 06:53:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xff0801…
05-06 06:53:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x06c73d…
05-06 06:53:02	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x63fd0e…
05-06 06:53:02	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x4c0759…
05-05 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x2bd9f6…
05-05 23:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x86ae81…
05-05 19:17:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0x8f2cf7…
05-05 17:57:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xd6795c…
05-05 17:42:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xca604d…
05-05 15:48:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0xf56f69…
05-05 15:48:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4f6abc…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa7e705…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x29e86b…
05-05 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa03912…
05-05 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x3da6c7…
05-05 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x00f3d1…
05-05 15:17:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x8b219e…
05-05 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xae4fdd…
05-05 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x46efe5…
05-05 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x07cf13…
05-05 13:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x6fbfe1…
05-05 09:27:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$15	0x480ac1…
05-05 09:27:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xfd0112…
05-05 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xf09884…
05-05 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe32b49…
05-05 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6577b0…
05-05 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x60ca27…
05-05 08:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x67c87a…
05-05 07:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x17a55d…
05-05 06:47:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0x5d051d…
05-05 06:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0xb40c5f…
05-05 06:07:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x68cf9c…
05-05 05:57:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0xa8986b…
05-05 05:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xd09c1b…
05-05 04:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbbe00d…
05-05 04:07:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x07e569…
05-05 04:07:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9b975e…
05-05 03:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x32123e…
05-05 03:49:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb8392a…
05-05 03:49:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa3db98…
05-05 03:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x95497e…
05-05 03:44:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb9319b…
05-05 03:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x96dd15…
05-05 03:44:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8d8c0d…
05-05 03:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x71188c…
05-05 03:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc6894f…
05-05 03:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc4642f…
05-05 03:39:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x99facb…
05-05 03:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x94c291…
05-05 03:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x62fe92…
05-05 02:55:22	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9142d1…
05-05 02:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xb88104…
05-05 02:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc0e5b4…
05-05 02:55:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x3fbcfa…
05-05 02:49:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfcc340…
05-05 02:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6477ec…
05-05 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x135206…
05-05 02:29:44	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8e0338…
05-05 02:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x9bebf4…
05-05 02:24:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x788410…
05-05 02:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7cbfd3…
05-05 01:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x54e16c…