Easy-Facelift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,062

lifetime

Volume

$101.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-22 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 70% +$19

Politics

48% 100% +$94

Sports

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+54	$29	52¢	$29	$-1	07-22 05:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$15.0K	9,776	9,776	+0	open	—	05-31 11:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$7.6K	4,616	4,616	+0	open	—	05-31 11:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$5.9K	2,990	2,990	+0	No	+$78	05-11 15:07
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$3.5K	2,457	2,459	-2	open	—	05-11 16:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.2K	1,763	1,763	+0	open	—	04-27 03:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$2.5K	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	05-29 19:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	05-26 18:54
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$2.1K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	05-29 02:21
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$2.0K	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	05-14 02:31
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	3	$1.8K	1,156	1,156	+0	open	—	05-29 19:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.6K	929	929	+0	open	—	05-10 02:22
btc updown 5m 1776351600	2	$1.3K	658	656	+1	open	—	04-16 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776351300	2	$1.2K	644	640	+5	open	—	04-16 15:00
btc updown 5m 1776428100	2	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	04-17 12:20
btc updown 5m 1776351000	3	$1.1K	592	586	+5	open	—	04-16 14:55
btc updown 5m 1776427500	3	$1.1K	561	559	+2	open	—	04-17 12:11
btc updown 5m 1776485700	3	$1.1K	625	614	+11	open	—	04-18 04:21
btc updown 5m 1776489300	5	$1.1K	691	670	+21	open	—	04-18 05:20
btc updown 5m 1776426900	2	$1.1K	538	537	+1	open	—	04-17 12:00
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	2	$1.0K	565	565	+0	open	—	05-01 19:03
btc updown 5m 1776426600	2	$997	527	523	+4	open	—	04-17 11:55
btc updown 5m 1776488100	6	$994	660	649	+12	open	—	04-18 05:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$974	658	658	+0	open	—	05-01 19:01
btc updown 5m 1776426300	2	$945	480	479	+1	open	—	04-17 11:51
btc updown 5m 1776426000	2	$933	476	475	+1	open	—	04-17 11:45
btc updown 5m 1776425700	2	$912	468	467	+1	open	—	04-17 11:40
btc updown 5m 1776423600	2	$896	455	455	+1	open	—	04-17 11:05
btc updown 5m 1776423000	2	$892	451	451	+0	open	—	04-17 10:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$800	816	0	+816	No	+$16	05-08 07:34
btc updown 5m 1776350700	2	$759	476	464	+13	open	—	04-16 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 05:49:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xd4ffcc…
06-26 20:52:52	btc updown 5m 1782507000	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa9c5c1…
06-02 17:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x341861…
06-02 17:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfef845…
06-02 17:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xab426d…
06-02 17:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x2954eb…
06-02 17:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5b1c7b…
06-02 17:33:42	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xa01049…
06-02 17:32:44	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0x28ebd0…
06-02 17:31:52	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x986243…
06-02 16:48:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x87270a…
06-01 17:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xcc86b3…
06-01 17:23:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5ccdc0…
06-01 17:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x51ccd5…
06-01 09:14:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc5558a…
05-31 20:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	135	87¢	$118	0xdb8905…
05-31 20:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x3d4427…
05-31 19:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	114	3¢	$4	0xf55fe5…
05-31 19:57:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xf8b3ca…
05-31 19:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x74542e…
05-31 19:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x881bff…
05-31 11:32:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x03db3d…
05-31 11:32:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,039	95¢	$3,856	0xcba6b7…
05-30 18:47:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf75ee5…
05-30 14:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xc4a672…
05-30 04:31:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xadaf54…
05-29 19:33:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,817	70¢	$1,280	0xc1b7e1…
05-29 19:32:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1,411	91¢	$1,283	0x0820f1…
05-29 19:31:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	847	71¢	$600	0x33cf1d…
05-29 19:31:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	566	92¢	$521	0x210dbe…
05-29 18:54:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	776	64¢	$500	0x75fbc1…
05-29 18:53:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	548	90¢	$494	0x80f5c9…
05-29 03:16:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1,411	85¢	$1,200	0xda25ca…
05-29 02:21:25	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	1,099	98¢	$1,077	0x4ab6ea…
05-29 02:10:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xa315ba…
05-28 09:07:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb1f51c…
05-28 08:09:13	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x263b55…
05-28 07:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	119	93¢	$110	0xb5dfca…
05-28 07:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xea79f4…
05-27 20:22:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x1040d9…
05-27 20:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x56d6a4…
05-27 20:02:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xab38db…
05-27 19:53:54	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	129	86¢	$111	0x419f54…
05-27 19:53:03	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0xe86d1b…
05-27 19:49:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x7ba391…
05-27 19:22:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5d41b6…
05-27 19:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbf9803…
05-27 19:13:28	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x71b93a…
05-27 19:12:57	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7aae71…
05-27 17:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad7307…
05-27 17:28:40	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x51165b…
05-27 17:04:58	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf9cd52…
05-27 16:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x9f564d…
05-27 16:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x05d549…
05-26 18:54:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,149	97¢	$1,116	0xcbd045…
05-25 14:30:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x920bb8…
05-25 12:08:00	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	589	53¢	$313	0x981e34…
05-25 12:07:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	527	67¢	$353	0x2fdcdf…
05-25 12:07:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	576	69¢	$400	0x386368…
05-23 10:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x428815…
05-23 10:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x127a2a…
05-19 18:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeae58f…
05-18 20:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x7a1732…
05-18 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf6ad44…
05-18 20:02:20	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xcdbd77…
05-18 19:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb58bed…
05-18 19:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3ea14c…
05-18 18:32:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xf6c4cd…
05-18 18:29:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x17f72f…
05-18 17:53:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x71c052…
05-18 17:52:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf526ab…
05-18 17:49:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	45	86¢	$38	0x93413c…
05-18 17:48:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x64ede3…
05-18 17:44:33	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x87089e…
05-18 17:44:02	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x54c9a9…
05-18 17:39:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xf40585…
05-18 17:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0xf126fc…
05-18 17:22:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	178	49¢	$86	0xf42a40…
05-18 16:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb48a0c…
05-18 16:35:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1,156	87¢	$1,000	0x2bade5…
05-18 16:34:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0xcd4d8a…
05-18 16:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf2c79b…
05-18 16:33:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5f0e0d…
05-18 16:32:53	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd405fc…
05-18 16:03:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x7665ad…
05-18 16:03:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbce40d…
05-18 16:03:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xfe651f…
05-18 16:02:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc211a…
05-18 15:58:41	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9e5167…
05-18 14:23:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x57876c…
05-18 14:21:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xaf6893…
05-18 14:13:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	67	71¢	$48	0xee00c8…
05-18 14:13:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	80¢	$54	0x2705ff…
05-18 14:09:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	101	51¢	$52	0x9672e6…
05-18 14:08:19	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x051eed…
05-18 14:08:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	139	85¢	$118	0xbf4401…
05-18 14:07:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xc4705b…
05-18 14:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	53	71¢	$38	0xd6ceae…
05-18 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	53	77¢	$41	0x48e5cf…
05-18 13:57:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0xc7dead…