Homely-Cycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 08-13 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

78% — —

Politics

17% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% 56% $-4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13 game1	16	$2.1K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	04-13 21:18
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17 game2	13	$1.3K	1,080	580	+500	open	—	04-17 16:30
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin	2	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-19 09:01
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 game2	3	$983	550	500	+50	open	—	04-18 20:24
atp grieksp shapova 2026 04 13	4	$970	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-14 07:23
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14 game2	10	$881	454	454	+0	open	—	04-14 19:52
atp jasika jon 2026 04 12	2	$870	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 20:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$833	965	580	+385	open	—	06-19 21:10
cs2 esc1 ursa 2026 04 16 game2	14	$636	500	500	+0	open	—	04-16 13:01
cs2 fal2 furia 2026 04 19 game1	17	$599	400	400	+0	open	—	04-19 14:23
cs2 1win ntr 2026 04 16 game2	17	$599	500	498	+2	open	—	04-16 15:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	12	$576	500	500	+0	open	—	06-19 14:47
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$546	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$519	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-12 10:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	31	$486	1,749	1,749	+0	open	—	06-14 21:41
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	14	$481	487	487	+0	open	—	04-18 16:11
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18 game2	5	$470	308	304	+3	open	—	04-18 16:41
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17 game1	10	$467	1,175	250	+925	open	—	04-17 15:39
cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13 game2	3	$447	250	250	+0	open	—	04-13 22:04
cs2 nrg lgc 2026 04 07	16	$397	823	450	+373	open	—	04-07 08:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$388	300	300	+0	open	—	06-28 17:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	26	$346	2,190	590	+1,600	open	—	08-10 13:37
cs2 g1 ursa 2026 04 22 game2	7	$343	250	249	+1	open	—	04-22 10:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$342	600	600	+0	open	—	06-27 21:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	12	$316	580	580	+0	open	—	08-02 04:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$277	900	900	+0	open	—	07-25 13:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$276	140	160	-20	open	—	06-13 20:16
wta shymano maria 2026 04 17	2	$240	250	250	+0	open	—	04-16 20:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$236	1,666	1,666	+0	open	—	06-01 22:06
nba was bkn 2026 04 05	4	$214	330	325	+5	open	—	04-05 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 02:00:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x747a94…
08-14 01:33:48	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf7fcc4…
08-13 18:19:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xaee58b…
08-12 03:28:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x043fba…
08-11 14:06:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xc196d2…
08-11 14:03:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x5ea1be…
08-11 14:03:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x010e70…
08-10 20:53:03	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb7cd82…
08-10 14:34:40	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x89ed20…
08-10 13:37:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	675	4¢	$26	0x822594…
08-10 13:35:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd42d6a…
08-10 13:29:43	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x88df3f…
08-08 12:40:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$12	0xbcea7a…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x9d6da6…
08-08 05:54:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2c7d36…
08-07 10:36:25	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x5d62ef…
08-07 05:13:45	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x3ae0df…
08-06 21:55:53	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x5964f6…
08-06 21:18:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x07a56a…
08-06 21:18:05	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x6ddf46…
08-06 20:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	750	12¢	$90	0x102946…
08-06 19:54:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x21ff61…
08-06 19:50:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf807c3…
08-06 19:37:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x93661f…
08-06 19:35:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x941794…
08-06 19:35:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x08c52e…
08-06 16:56:54	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	52	16¢	$8	0x99a2aa…
08-06 16:17:51	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x7fc521…
08-06 13:02:54	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x8fece7…
08-06 07:13:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0xd54aee…
08-06 07:03:26	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xf570e0…
08-06 05:19:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf89f9d…
08-06 03:02:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x65aaa9…
08-06 02:53:09	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9596bf…
08-05 21:43:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6d124b…
08-05 18:25:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x73f116…
08-05 18:25:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x23d147…
08-04 19:59:26	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$11	0x677470…
08-04 19:53:42	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x5588b9…
08-04 19:53:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x408fcd…
08-04 19:49:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x0398a4…
08-04 19:46:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xabdace…
08-04 19:21:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0x8c2e3b…
08-04 19:21:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xe9eba0…
08-04 15:50:05	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xcc583d…
08-04 11:44:56	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	140	13¢	$18	0x90bee6…
08-04 11:02:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xa35bd1…
08-04 09:08:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xc6cba3…
08-04 07:17:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xca97f6…
08-04 06:01:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x088786…
08-04 05:52:42	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	102	14¢	$14	0x8216b6…
08-04 04:59:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xcc6076…
08-04 03:56:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x0611b7…
08-04 03:50:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xb4dfcc…
08-04 03:49:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	185	20¢	$37	0x4304e6…
08-03 14:32:53	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xc0866c…
08-03 08:45:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2aa2a8…
08-03 02:23:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$32	0x14afa6…
08-03 01:39:57	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xe9aa4a…
08-02 18:48:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfde6f9…
08-02 18:48:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x873b41…
08-02 04:04:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x0d6e44…
08-02 02:06:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x76fd44…
08-02 02:06:56	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd0d393…
08-02 02:06:54	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xb67227…
08-02 02:01:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x4af286…
08-01 20:39:33	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x71d528…
08-01 06:01:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x071ba9…
08-01 05:32:27	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xef61c9…
07-31 20:43:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xab5ebc…
07-31 20:42:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x84878a…
07-31 17:09:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x72b63b…
07-31 10:07:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	320	22¢	$70	0x261c44…
07-30 21:30:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x4b6b4d…
07-30 21:30:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x36ee43…
07-30 18:49:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1ba2b8…
07-30 12:47:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xcab8c5…
07-30 09:46:23	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x01eb18…
07-30 09:44:02	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xec532c…
07-30 09:44:02	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe31cd3…
07-30 06:11:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x47fc5c…
07-30 06:11:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	95	23¢	$22	0xf07ee6…
07-30 06:10:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	105	23¢	$24	0xb6f0bb…
07-29 19:48:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xbcebc7…
07-27 17:48:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$31	0xf38107…
07-27 17:45:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x9dc1cd…
07-27 17:42:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x8a0909…
07-27 12:11:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	55	14¢	$8	0x47aa33…
07-27 11:57:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xcefef2…
07-27 11:57:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x24304a…
07-27 11:57:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xca6c92…
07-27 11:38:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xbb30aa…
07-27 11:38:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x2821a2…
07-27 11:16:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	144	14¢	$20	0xa119be…
07-26 19:36:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x080613…
07-26 16:26:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	293	23¢	$67	0xd11856…
07-26 15:29:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x34b334…
07-26 11:59:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x145204…
07-26 10:05:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xed2b87…
07-26 07:55:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x758849…