Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

-$52

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

663

Trades

7,979

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$61

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 10-23 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

57% 60% -$371

Crypto

42% 52% +$412

Politics

1% 69% -$8

Sports

0% 67% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$110	6¢	$60	-$50	09-27 16:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+13	$1	4¢	$1	-$1	07-28 22:23
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	+0	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	09-17 12:00
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	09-29 22:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:50 UTC	97	$1.1K	664	664	+0	Up	+$120	07-17 11:55
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC	39	$825	495	495	+0	Down	+$60	07-17 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	10	$710	400	354	+47	Up	-$10	07-18 22:03
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 12:20 UTC	18	$663	400	400	+0	Down	+$61	07-17 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	70	$631	499	499	+0	Down	+$45	07-18 15:19
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 12:10 UTC	39	$598	942	942	+0	Up	-$24	07-17 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:00 UTC	12	$497	339	339	+0	Up	+$37	07-18 18:05
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:25 UTC	45	$472	255	255	+0	Down	+$32	07-17 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 11:45 UTC	16	$417	242	242	+0	Up	+$37	07-18 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:00 UTC	31	$361	203	203	+0	Down	+$17	07-18 15:04
atp mrva roncade 2026 07 16	108	$341	367	304	+63	Franco Roncadelli	-$6	07-16 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:55 UTC	10	$320	250	184	+66	Up	-$25	07-18 15:59
atp dzumhur arnaldi 2026 07 16	163	$314	405	362	+43	Damir Dzumhur	+$17	07-16 19:49
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala	18	$299	653	653	+0	Tatiana Prozorova	+$63	09-24 13:39
atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	113	$269	342	324	+18	Quentin Halys	+$1	07-16 18:00
atp tabilo midon 2026 07 15	116	$255	369	214	+155	Alejandro Tabilo	-$17	07-16 17:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	14	$254	230	230	+0	Down	+$75	09-30 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:05 UTC	20	$233	230	230	+0	Down	+$143	07-18 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:05 UTC	7	$231	128	128	+0	Up	+$23	09-30 16:09
atp collign vachero 2026 07 17	61	$226	262	139	+123	Raphael Collignon	+$35	07-17 10:00
lol blg t1 2026 07 16	7	$219	168	135	+33	Bilibili Gaming	+$25	07-16 10:01
atp lajal krueger 2026 07 15	27	$217	144	144	+0	Mark Lajal	+$4	07-15 23:29
atp rublev pellegr 2026 07 15	103	$210	368	86	+283	Andrey Rublev	-$52	07-16 14:35
atp faria ruud 2026 07 16	96	$203	352	137	+215	Casper Ruud	-$46	07-16 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	5	$201	163	108	+56	Up	+$27	07-18 17:59
Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou	2	$195	100	100	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$0	09-24 14:07
wta ibragim badosa 2026 07 16	71	$194	233	152	+82	Paula Badosa	-$2	07-16 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:25 UTC	6	$192	128	128	+0	Down	+$22	07-18 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:55 UTC	9	$190	121	71	+50	Down	+$1	09-14 13:59
atp basilas tirante 2026 07 15	121	$189	294	102	+191	Thiago Agustin Tirante	-$55	07-16 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36202d…
10-23 09:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xedf109…
10-22 19:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x17b68a…
10-19 19:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4eabde…
10-17 08:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x25ac55…
10-17 08:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xcf1f0b…
10-16 19:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7e212d…
10-16 19:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd1d218…
10-16 19:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x489e1e…
10-16 18:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc4ffdb…
10-16 18:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf3bab9…
10-10 08:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5cbf9f…
10-02 09:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-02 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x31e203…
10-01 21:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x58e0d6…
10-01 21:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x0ad62d…
10-01 21:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc45243…
10-01 21:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x593eeb…
10-01 20:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	114	93¢	$106	0x7aefda…
10-01 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe657ec…
10-01 20:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x747bb0…
10-01 20:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xedc136…
10-01 20:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x10d5f2…
10-01 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa2abb3…
10-01 20:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf81802…
10-01 20:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2641ad…
10-01 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf4bdae…
10-01 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb7bea6…
10-01 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcbbea0…
10-01 20:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9f42c1…
10-01 20:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7b3ed8…
10-01 20:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdab4da…
10-01 20:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x25677d…
10-01 20:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc1a233…
10-01 20:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9bf2ee…
10-01 20:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x309e15…
10-01 20:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0bf0ab…
10-01 19:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77145f…
10-01 19:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x11131c…
10-01 19:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa99dc0…
10-01 19:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11397a…
10-01 19:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4fb68f…
10-01 19:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc4a5f4…
10-01 19:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xa65db9…
10-01 19:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7dc4a9…
10-01 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x81545c…
10-01 18:59:33	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Alliance	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x089f2a…
10-01 18:59:18	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x81ad60…
10-01 18:58:30	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Alliance	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x62bfee…
10-01 18:58:17	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdc5df6…
10-01 17:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xedc179…
10-01 17:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x06155e…
10-01 17:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7c73ab…
10-01 17:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x070803…
10-01 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x909f77…
10-01 17:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc3513d…
10-01 16:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	91	76¢	$69	0x676ddb…
10-01 16:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf7946d…
10-01 16:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xda86dd…
10-01 16:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x201838…
10-01 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x95745f…
10-01 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8ad8b0…
10-01 16:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x049985…
10-01 12:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdb93a6…
10-01 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xce4c9b…
10-01 12:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	145	3¢	$4	0xa9dbee…
10-01 12:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3211fb…
10-01 12:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x43b7cd…
09-30 20:33:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x73a964…
09-30 19:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fdb98…
09-30 19:33:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb64f36…
09-30 19:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe84824…
09-30 19:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cb7e4…
09-30 19:33:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba7a11…
09-30 19:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5ba262…
09-30 19:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd6b61b…
09-30 19:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6768d0…
09-30 19:33:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d63c5…
09-30 19:32:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x99484a…
09-30 19:32:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93a8aa…
09-30 19:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x267c38…
09-30 19:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x20f926…
09-30 19:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75675a…
09-30 19:23:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	180	78¢	$140	0xee0afa…
09-30 19:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x5386c0…
09-30 19:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x343001…
09-30 19:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x6374d9…
09-30 19:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x6b38b3…
09-30 19:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x6af406…
09-30 19:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb703d4…
09-30 19:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xab0a8d…
09-30 19:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x28650a…
09-30 19:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xd884bb…
09-30 19:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x94b75b…
09-30 19:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x597f3d…
09-30 19:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x57d37d…
09-30 19:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x242890…
09-30 18:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x633bcc…
09-30 18:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x2f30c8…
09-30 18:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd9d948…
09-30 18:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x196a78…