Major-Attack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

14.9%

Resolved

116

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$534

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-19 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

44% 4% -$174

Politics

32% 15% -$11

Sports

10% 17% +$9

Pop-Culture

9% 0% -$48

Crypto

4% 12% +$23

Tech

1% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+62	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	08-19 13:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	1	$25	37	0	+37	Yes	+$12	07-15 14:01
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 786	1	$15	62	0	+62	No	-$15	01-10 20:23
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	1	$15	43	0	+43	O'Malley	-$15	01-10 20:47
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	2	$15	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	02-01 22:38
will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	2	$12	227	0	+227	No	-$12	01-17 21:24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$11	60	0	+60	Yes	+$49	07-08 14:45
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	1	$10	172	0	+172	No	-$10	01-17 21:21
Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$10	41	0	+41	No	-$10	05-12 14:53
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	05-12 15:33
ufc arn jea 2026 01 24	1	$10	25	0	+25	Silva	-$10	01-10 20:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	01-17 16:52
trump approval up or down this week 265	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	01-10 20:23
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	01-17 21:24
ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	2	$10	53	53	+0	No	$0	02-01 22:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$9	167	167	+0	No	-$1	01-17 20:36
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	2	$9	23	23	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 22:38
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$9	18	0	+18	No	-$9	05-12 15:32
will russia capture bilytske by february 28 2026	2	$9	50	50	+0	No	-$1	02-01 22:38
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	2	$8	98	0	+98	No	-$8	01-17 21:19
will trump say israel or gaza during the 2026 state of the union address 833	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	02-01 22:37
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	2	$7	53	53	+0	No	-$3	02-12 23:31
Will Drake feature Playboi Carti on ICEMAN?	1	$7	48	0	+48	No	-$7	05-12 14:40
will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	2	$7	71	71	+0	No	-$3	02-12 23:35
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	1	$6	43	0	+43	Yes	+$37	05-12 14:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$6	31	31	+0	No	-$2	02-12 23:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$6	45	45	+0	open	—	06-30 09:38
nflx up or down on january 20 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	01-17 21:33
Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	1	$5	327	0	+327	No	-$5	05-12 14:55
Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	05-12 14:39
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	08-19 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 16:10:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x59886f…
08-19 16:05:55	north korea x south korea diplomatic meeting by august 31	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xa7d422…
08-19 16:05:19	us x north korea diplomatic meeting by august 31	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0xc1811c…
08-19 13:02:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x851ef8…
07-15 14:01:38	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3e5767…
07-15 12:10:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xa36ded…
07-08 14:51:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4c4576…
07-08 14:45:26	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x08f4e8…
07-08 14:44:47	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$4	0x140dcc…
06-30 09:40:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe89371…
06-30 09:38:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xc6754b…
06-25 17:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8abae2…
06-25 17:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xd88742…
06-25 17:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x4ec80c…
06-25 17:18:41	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd83b78…
06-25 17:17:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x288e92…
05-15 22:12:24	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd7ad41…
05-15 22:11:59	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x825a63…
05-15 22:11:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	BUY	319	1¢	$3	0xc1fa37…
05-15 22:11:38	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3877c0…
05-15 22:11:23	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x8119ac…
05-15 22:11:14	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x625a14…
05-15 22:04:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x53ee4a…
05-15 22:04:45	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x27fad7…
05-15 22:04:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x06841a…
05-15 22:04:17	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x83567d…
05-15 22:02:59	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa38def…
05-15 22:02:32	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xcd0d3b…
05-15 22:01:21	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Lins	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x03a772…
05-15 21:59:44	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc3ec01…
05-15 21:59:37	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xa284e5…
05-15 21:57:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa2c62…
05-15 21:57:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xc9d87c…
05-15 21:52:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x19e858…
05-15 19:59:15	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xfffb91…
05-15 19:59:08	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe58e4b…
05-12 15:33:38	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x34e33d…
05-12 15:33:30	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb3fc66…
05-12 15:32:14	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa273bc…
05-12 15:31:46	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2225d0…
05-12 15:30:54	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe55fbe…
05-12 15:30:15	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5c8d73…
05-12 15:30:00	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd0f9f6…
05-12 15:28:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x7802c2…
05-12 14:55:21	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$5	0x32984e…
05-12 14:54:49	Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x48a717…
05-12 14:53:32	Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa44eff…
05-12 14:53:08	Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0400ac…
05-12 14:53:01	Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x856ffd…
05-12 14:52:03	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x1349c2…
05-12 14:51:38	Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x712961…
05-12 14:40:21	Will Drake feature Playboi Carti on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0x371ee2…
05-12 14:40:11	Will Drake feature 2 Chainz on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc010c8…
05-12 14:39:46	Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x10e3e2…
05-12 14:39:41	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd5889c…
05-12 14:39:08	Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4efbd8…
05-12 14:34:14	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x91770a…
05-12 14:34:10	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$4	0x111ee9…
02-12 23:37:37	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x13e8af…
02-12 23:35:45	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x7841bd…
02-12 23:35:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x38d563…
02-12 23:35:19	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0x777fdd…
02-12 23:34:55	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x15c165…
02-12 23:34:13	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa3dfd4…
02-12 23:34:03	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0x7e2c3e…
02-12 23:31:01	will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x13828c…
02-04 18:35:23	us strike on somalia by february 28	No	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xfa3016…
02-04 18:33:41	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x9f3425…
02-04 18:31:53	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1db603…
02-04 18:31:07	bitcoin above 82k on february 6	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x1fcabc…
02-04 18:31:01	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xd6b93f…
02-04 18:29:13	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfd8274…
02-04 18:28:59	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x0ecbf3…
02-01 22:47:44	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 165 189	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6b3b84…
02-01 22:47:32	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4b9d16…
02-01 22:47:28	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc91294…
02-01 22:45:58	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x182bfa…
02-01 22:45:28	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x65a8d5…
02-01 22:45:24	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 420 439	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd3ba86…
02-01 22:45:20	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xe27cb2…
02-01 22:44:44	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc75e7e…
02-01 22:44:36	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x10b21e…
02-01 22:43:04	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xef2954…
02-01 22:38:56	will russia capture bilytske by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf08d16…
02-01 22:38:42	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	SELL	48	16¢	$8	0xc495ef…
02-01 22:38:28	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0x064cda…
02-01 22:38:14	will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	No	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xd558b3…
02-01 22:37:10	will trump say israel or gaza during the 2026 state of the union address 833	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xd60198…
01-17 21:33:58	will keir starmer say constructive during the next prime ministers questions 464	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe1d783…
01-17 21:33:12	nflx up or down on january 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd087c9…
01-17 21:32:52	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9f2600…
01-17 21:24:48	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4c46ec…
01-17 21:24:16	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$10	0x6d01c1…
01-17 21:24:08	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x804790…
01-17 21:23:26	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x7dbd46…
01-17 21:23:02	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd55fa7…
01-17 21:22:34	will russia capture bilytske by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe51752…
01-17 21:22:30	will russia enter druzkhivka by january 31	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x1135fa…
01-17 21:21:36	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x84e8bd…
01-17 21:21:02	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x799a79…