Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-09 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

74% 20% +$4,362

Other

26% 0% -$3,098

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$6.9K	5,882	5,882	+0	Yes	+$4,871	03-03 05:56
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$2.0K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	-$1,998	03-07 06:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$1.1K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	No	-$400	01-22 22:54
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	1	$500	2,738	0	+2,738	No	-$500	09-09 19:42
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	1	$500	1,008	0	+1,008	No	-$500	01-24 20:43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$375	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	01-15 16:30
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$284	516	516	+0	No	-$36	01-15 16:28
us evacuates baghdad embassy by january 31	1	$100	2,070	0	+2,070	No	-$100	01-22 23:05
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	25	$68	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$68	03-08 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 19:42:57	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,738	18¢	$500	0x763ef1…
03-08 07:19:15	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x149c69…
03-08 07:18:39	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x8358cd…
03-08 07:18:35	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xf90cac…
03-08 07:18:27	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$1	0x43787d…
03-08 07:18:15	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$3	0xa2f625…
03-08 07:17:51	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x99a393…
03-08 07:17:39	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x9106d1…
03-08 07:16:31	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaf1858…
03-08 07:15:55	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	812	3¢	$28	0xf91d8a…
03-08 07:15:49	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbc3aa9…
03-08 07:15:17	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	209	3¢	$7	0x3db57d…
03-08 07:15:05	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa9ea8c…
03-08 07:14:47	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x24142a…
03-08 07:14:35	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x6da61d…
03-08 07:14:23	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$5	0xee5a23…
03-08 07:14:09	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xd6a1dc…
03-08 07:13:57	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xaefd20…
03-08 07:13:19	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x9d22e9…
03-08 07:12:59	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1637ff…
03-08 07:12:45	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x50e7d5…
03-08 07:12:27	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x20212a…
03-08 07:12:15	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2e0459…
03-08 07:12:03	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x863c24…
03-08 07:11:51	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	243	3¢	$8	0xea6583…
03-08 07:11:49	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$2	0xb2563f…
03-07 06:33:13	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	3,700	54¢	$1,998	0xd6ba50…
03-03 05:56:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5,882	100¢	$5,871	0x15b378…
01-24 20:43:20	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,008	50¢	$500	0x8273c0…
01-22 23:05:00	us evacuates baghdad embassy by january 31	Yes	BUY	2,070	5¢	$100	0x033033…
01-22 22:56:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,882	17¢	$1,000	0xc84af9…
01-22 22:54:52	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xe211be…
01-15 16:30:42	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	37¢	$185	0xe6ca64…
01-15 16:28:28	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	516	24¢	$124	0x5e03d0…
01-15 16:28:12	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	1,000	35¢	$350	0x2359cd…
01-08 19:21:14	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xb00bfd…
01-08 18:58:24	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x5a7a5e…
01-08 18:58:08	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	516	31¢	$160	0x1f2032…