Eminent-Evolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-04 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-1

Politics

24% 0% $-0

Sports

14% 0% $-0

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	34	$1.5K	3,200	160	+3,040	open	—	03-11 01:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	44	$1.1K	2,120	140	+1,980	open	—	03-19 09:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	28	$1.1K	2,007	227	+1,780	open	—	03-08 09:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	34	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-16 00:38
GTA VI released before June 2026?	24	$667	1,340	380	+960	open	—	03-16 15:47
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$591	1,180	0	+1,180	open	—	03-11 09:10
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$551	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-05 16:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$551	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-09 14:48
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$531	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	03-03 02:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$522	1,240	220	+1,020	open	—	03-19 03:29
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	14	$509	560	380	+180	open	—	03-13 05:55
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	18	$456	910	130	+780	open	—	03-15 10:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	18	$453	950	50	+900	No	$-1	03-14 02:50
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	8	$439	425	265	+160	open	—	03-16 02:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	14	$430	860	0	+860	open	—	03-14 01:12
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$341	280	280	+0	open	—	03-05 06:13
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	8	$330	660	0	+660	open	—	03-06 15:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	12	$320	640	0	+640	open	—	03-18 09:20
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	12	$310	580	120	+460	open	—	03-19 01:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	6	$300	600	0	+600	open	—	03-05 02:55
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	16	$258	640	140	+500	open	—	03-17 13:41
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	6	$250	340	160	+180	open	—	03-10 23:03
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	14	$245	530	50	+480	open	—	03-16 08:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$236	180	120	+60	open	—	03-18 08:30
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	16	$234	350	90	+260	open	—	03-21 21:54
trump out as president by march 31	6	$210	420	0	+420	open	—	03-10 12:39
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$210	420	0	+420	open	—	02-25 19:16
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	8	$205	190	90	+100	No	$-0	03-14 08:18
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	8	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	03-19 07:12
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 11:54:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0xcc995b…
06-04 11:54:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xe98a0a…
06-04 11:54:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x97c5af…
06-04 01:19:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x7cf6fc…
06-04 01:19:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xd1ee57…
06-04 00:06:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x838227…
06-04 00:06:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x22fa1c…
06-03 21:55:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd59170…
06-03 21:55:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xe5f4f9…
06-03 20:14:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x2df6e4…
06-03 20:14:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xfacf2a…
06-03 20:14:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x462f85…
06-03 18:23:19	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xa4e7f0…
06-03 18:22:58	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0xcf69b4…
06-03 18:22:52	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x9dd08c…
06-03 18:22:52	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	45	94¢	$43	0x16ec22…
06-03 13:09:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x76dcec…
06-03 13:09:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xa218b2…
06-03 13:09:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x9253fb…
06-03 08:19:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xbc7452…
06-03 06:32:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x4abddc…
06-03 06:32:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0x2592e6…
06-02 23:44:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xbf2647…
06-02 23:44:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe32cd5…
06-02 23:44:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x812156…
06-02 23:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x182066…
05-31 20:10:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x6ca9df…
05-31 20:10:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7659db…
05-31 20:10:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x7b76c1…
05-11 21:29:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x37d7b4…
05-11 21:28:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x0f9e2b…
05-10 10:02:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x762025…
05-10 10:01:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0x88a0fe…
05-10 10:01:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x1aefab…
05-09 11:06:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xbcabb9…
05-09 11:06:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	88¢	$61	0x4c50b7…
04-28 08:28:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x925b9f…
04-28 08:28:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xf4297f…
04-28 03:46:12	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x1e5f7a…
04-28 03:46:10	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x6a7ff7…
04-27 22:22:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$2	0xb22547…
04-27 22:22:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x42f04e…
04-26 22:25:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xa0f586…
04-26 22:25:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0x8cde11…
04-26 22:25:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x8b0118…
04-24 09:08:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xf59805…
04-24 09:08:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xd6bb57…
04-24 06:24:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xf84d3f…
04-24 06:24:30	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7ffb64…
04-24 01:17:02	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x49d6cd…
04-24 01:16:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x32d8af…
04-23 22:42:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xdc0b1b…
04-23 22:42:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xbfa14e…
04-23 22:42:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x8264e7…
04-23 18:00:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x9f415b…
04-23 18:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xaff87c…
04-23 07:39:26	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe65b57…
04-23 07:39:18	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xdda62b…
04-22 06:41:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x109d7c…
04-22 06:41:10	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x982031…
04-22 04:53:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	60	6¢	$3	0x4b0f37…
04-22 04:53:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0x762ba7…
04-22 01:34:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xf84f72…
04-22 01:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa7c809…
04-21 22:33:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0xeb5d13…
04-21 22:33:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc756e5…
04-21 22:29:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x985d32…
04-21 22:20:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x14dc8b…
04-21 22:10:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xde16c8…
04-21 22:09:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x626c87…
04-21 12:02:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xc6b9d4…
04-21 12:02:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xca1f44…
04-19 23:27:20	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd45b51…
04-19 23:26:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	72	19¢	$14	0x7b0514…
04-19 23:26:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x871039…
04-19 01:02:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x62aa2e…
04-19 01:02:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xc84184…
04-18 17:08:24	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xd29b67…
04-18 17:08:16	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa83699…
04-18 17:08:08	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xadfe8f…
04-18 15:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x866b45…
04-18 15:11:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x754d43…
04-18 10:47:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xec8691…
04-18 10:47:26	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x600879…
04-17 16:44:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xb61532…
04-17 16:44:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0xa58740…
04-17 16:44:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xa66e5b…
04-17 11:49:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0x9ee1ea…
04-17 11:49:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0ab00b…
04-17 07:34:28	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x9339e4…
04-17 07:34:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x5cfa11…
04-17 01:10:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x067c31…
04-17 01:09:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xa511d7…
04-17 01:09:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x49f93a…
04-16 20:41:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x14e8ea…
04-16 20:41:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xdbdae1…
04-15 16:54:48	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xde3ed9…
04-15 16:54:42	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2114d7…
04-13 19:27:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x4e7e02…
04-13 19:27:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6a8f08…