Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$223

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$184

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-21 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

44% 86% -$26

Crypto

40% 85% -$227

Politics

12% 100% +$25

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No		-103	-$97	98¢	$-101	-$4	07-21 10:47
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-97	-$67	86¢	$-83	-$16	07-21 10:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	15	$1.3K	679	679	+0	No	+$1	03-28 13:44
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	6	$1.2K	593	593	+0	No	+$3	07-21 10:47
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	15	$1.1K	550	550	+0	Yes	+$1	01-27 21:28
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	4	$940	604	604	+0	Yes	-$237	01-30 02:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$839	714	140	+574	Yes	+$3	01-28 08:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$834	350	510	-160	No	-$6	06-01 13:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$744	440	440	+0	Yes	-$57	07-08 18:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$685	350	350	+0	No	+$11	05-26 11:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$618	310	310	+0	No	+$1	06-27 21:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	4	$615	310	310	+0	No	+$3	06-18 07:41
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	2	$474	242	242	+0	No	+$4	06-14 05:31
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	9	$466	188	287	-99	No	-$1	02-03 12:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$444	458	0	+458	No	+$14	03-31 02:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	02-02 12:25
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-03 00:21
Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$397	399	0	+399	No	+$2	02-04 08:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	2	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$3	04-15 08:39
Trump out as President by June 30?	28	$393	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-25 11:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	13	$386	200	200	+0	Yes	+$6	05-18 02:02
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$378	385	0	+385	No	+$7	01-08 02:51
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	2	$377	196	196	+0	No	+$0	01-21 13:06
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$361	190	190	+0	No	+$1	01-26 09:36
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	5	$342	175	175	+0	No	+$0	03-27 16:37
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	3	$338	189	189	+0	No	+$2	01-22 12:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$336	170	170	+0	No	+$2	04-17 19:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$317	319	0	+319	No	+$2	06-28 01:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	12	$293	150	150	+0	No	+$1	05-01 07:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$293	150	150	+0	No	+$2	04-08 16:00
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$268	90	190	-100	No	-$5	03-31 07:54
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$258	130	130	+0	No	+$0	03-13 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 10:47:51	StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	94¢	$97	0x5981ef…
07-21 10:47:36	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	323	99¢	$320	0xf0c670…
07-21 10:47:13	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	97	69¢	$67	0xdf2f70…
07-21 10:46:01	MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0xa92386…
07-21 10:45:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x660275…
07-10 07:49:35	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	350	99¢	$346	0x442db0…
07-08 18:13:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	440	78¢	$343	0x388caf…
07-03 13:49:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	440	91¢	$400	0x371039…
06-28 09:47:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	243	97¢	$235	0xdc02e0…
06-28 01:53:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	319	99¢	$317	0x030caf…
06-27 21:37:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xafd6b9…
06-24 15:09:38	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	127	96¢	$121	0x0c7895…
06-24 10:59:29	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0xfea6a1…
06-19 04:34:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0xba9efd…
06-18 07:41:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xe8adef…
06-18 05:20:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x29f733…
06-18 03:47:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x2cb6f7…
06-17 12:29:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x59c3cb…
06-14 05:31:46	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	242	99¢	$239	0x184442…
06-05 18:04:25	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	242	97¢	$235	0x89f018…
06-05 08:28:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	310	99¢	$306	0x5e2511…
06-01 13:10:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	350	98¢	$343	0x27a88e…
05-26 13:26:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	350	97¢	$340	0xd71247…
05-26 11:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$216	0x75258a…
05-26 10:01:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0xdf86d4…
05-25 11:34:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x610d07…
05-20 08:53:45	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x2d60e3…
05-20 08:38:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$337	0xa290af…
05-20 08:30:53	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93a8aa…
05-20 08:02:16	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b4083…
05-20 07:57:19	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf6ab0…
05-20 07:17:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa0f95c…
05-20 05:18:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8ab3ba…
05-20 05:06:19	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb85698…
05-20 04:41:05	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcde36a…
05-20 04:41:05	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7433…
05-20 04:09:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7e311d…
05-20 03:26:27	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x43eb33…
05-20 03:23:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xccacb9…
05-20 03:22:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb6e144…
05-20 03:22:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8658e…
05-20 03:22:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5a11bd…
05-20 03:14:33	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03e96d…
05-20 03:14:31	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce8872…
05-20 03:05:41	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x40ae7b…
05-20 03:01:18	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57e4e3…
05-20 03:01:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ca8b4…
05-20 02:44:39	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbd57ca…
05-20 02:40:37	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc945d…
05-20 02:40:36	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2e55b6…
05-20 02:23:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4a8e45…
05-20 02:07:43	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3d8775…
05-20 02:02:27	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76e93c…
05-18 06:17:35	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	125	97¢	$121	0x269f84…
05-18 02:02:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0xa1afa9…
05-18 01:55:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa46525…
05-18 01:53:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1f3095…
05-18 01:53:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xeaf8a5…
05-18 01:53:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x965107…
05-18 01:53:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x0066ab…
05-18 01:53:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xc6a522…
05-18 01:52:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb39c48…
05-18 01:52:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x479e68…
05-18 01:48:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xc05294…
05-18 01:48:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8fc00b…
05-18 01:48:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x8c3202…
05-07 01:55:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xab5887…
05-06 09:22:40	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x01bcfc…
05-02 08:35:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	160	94¢	$150	0x40421e…
05-01 07:41:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	128	98¢	$125	0x395477…
05-01 06:44:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x00b454…
05-01 06:27:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x156b33…
05-01 06:19:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb4ea8e…
05-01 06:14:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd0f834…
05-01 06:13:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc7f029…
05-01 06:11:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfcd19a…
05-01 06:10:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb5ae2…
05-01 06:09:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2cfc11…
05-01 05:57:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc7f7db…
05-01 05:44:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x5415e3…
04-27 12:58:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xf5ab4a…
04-27 12:57:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xc885e8…
04-24 21:00:08	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x95613d…
04-22 07:13:56	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$99	0x0aefff…
04-17 19:57:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0xe172b4…
04-16 12:58:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x0b73eb…
04-15 14:46:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0xf31acd…
04-15 08:39:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xfa0f5e…
04-14 09:55:29	USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x51bc6a…
04-14 02:04:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x69489c…
04-12 14:42:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x28b3ec…
04-09 12:16:07	USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0xceece9…
04-08 16:00:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0x2c14d6…
04-07 12:13:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x8b577f…
03-31 07:54:43	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x59e18f…
03-31 07:08:49	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x66f159…
03-31 02:46:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	458	97¢	$444	0x003763…
03-31 02:45:59	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xbfc296…
03-28 13:44:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x6f5f3d…
03-27 16:37:53	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x249ae8…