Realized P&L
+$805
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
166
Trades
225
lifetime
Volume
$6.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$165
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-27 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Politics
66% 45% +$794
Other
29% 34% +$46
Crypto
4% 53% -$34
Tech
1% 40% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +77 $50 92¢ $71 +$21 05-18 17:45
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +60 $30 56¢ $34 +$4 08-11 15:29
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +20 $12 94¢ $19 +$7 05-30 09:49
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +16 $10 99¢ $15 +$5 05-16 16:59
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +69 $20 21¢ $15 -$5 08-11 15:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +46 $30 10¢ $5 -$25 05-16 16:25
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +17 $10 22¢ $4 -$6 05-01 17:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -29 -$16 9¢ $-3 +$13 06-01 15:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +15 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 05-14 16:29