Vast-Damage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-01 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 0% $-10

Other

27% 100% +$7

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No		+20	$12	50¢	$10	$-2	05-30 09:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$800	1,266	0	+1,266	open	—	05-23 11:26
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$708	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	03-16 14:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$509	312	312	+0	open	—	04-13 10:25
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$233	133	133	+0	open	—	04-13 17:07
Trump on $250 bill this year?	4	$142	167	0	+167	open	—	05-28 20:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$87	217	217	+0	open	—	05-29 14:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$84	58	58	+0	open	—	05-15 04:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$73	67	64	+2	open	—	04-29 00:56
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	2	$61	51	51	+0	open	—	04-21 14:23
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	05-14 16:50
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	05-17 05:47
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-17 05:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$38	67	67	+0	open	—	05-25 04:55
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 04:53
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	+$7	04-11 07:59
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-16 18:17
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-13 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	05-18 17:14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$20	31	22	+9	open	—	04-26 04:58
Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 05:46
Will Trump say "London" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	05-18 17:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	05-01 17:18
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 16:56
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-17 05:46
will trump speak to elon musk in june	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	07-01 11:16
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 11:29
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 04:56
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 19:28
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-30 09:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$11	19	19	+0	open	—	04-16 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:32:37	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xc06996…
07-01 11:16:35	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x86ef61…
06-14 20:11:27	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x73f0f9…
06-14 18:43:58	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe855eb…
05-31 04:42:37	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9c235a…
05-31 04:41:55	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x412b61…
05-31 04:41:43	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbfc5e6…
05-31 04:41:36	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x442c1b…
05-31 04:41:13	Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x96b82a…
05-30 09:50:05	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe5af47…
05-30 09:49:44	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8f457e…
05-29 14:28:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	61	17¢	$10	0x273538…
05-29 14:28:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0x304b34…
05-29 14:27:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	67	17¢	$11	0x034fe1…
05-28 21:20:34	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in June?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa808da…
05-28 20:01:26	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0xbc57f8…
05-28 20:01:26	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0x2d7379…
05-28 19:59:43	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x9c9692…
05-28 19:59:41	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x875246…
05-28 19:57:04	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xab18cd…
05-25 04:55:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	27¢	$18	0x7f0f07…
05-23 11:43:28	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Hungary	Hungary	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeaaf1c…
05-23 11:29:21	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd5bb9a…
05-23 11:26:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,080	65¢	$700	0x01c297…
05-21 19:28:40	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3b2f0d…
05-18 17:45:12	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x843e09…
05-18 17:35:53	Will Trump say "Fat shot / Ozempic" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3dd173…
05-18 17:34:24	Will Trump say "London" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa875b4…
05-18 17:32:41	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3409ff…
05-18 17:24:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x8d4603…
05-18 17:24:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xd7c0c5…
05-18 17:21:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0f7fd9…
05-18 17:21:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x050032…
05-18 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe20678…
05-18 17:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5f1395…
05-18 17:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x8189ae…
05-18 17:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x872724…
05-18 17:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x0815ed…
05-18 17:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x422d64…
05-18 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xc58052…
05-18 17:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x437909…
05-18 17:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc54b23…
05-17 05:47:44	Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	No	BUY	76	65¢	$50	0xaef3a8…
05-17 05:46:25	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x233af9…
05-17 05:46:04	Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa3a965…
05-17 05:44:19	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x081c63…
05-17 05:43:04	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x472a6d…
05-17 05:41:58	Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdbb2db…
05-17 05:40:42	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xcffccb…
05-17 05:40:37	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbfaae4…
05-16 16:54:16	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb2ea06…
05-16 16:52:26	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c1f81…
05-16 16:22:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x86a94f…
05-16 16:21:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xec3839…
05-15 04:56:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x5ac4af…
05-15 04:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xcf0ea7…
05-14 17:17:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0f38f1…
05-14 17:16:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0be6e7…
05-14 17:01:21	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1e12ad…
05-14 17:01:07	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc6f8f5…
05-14 17:00:58	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x67cf5e…
05-14 17:00:55	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xaeb0f7…
05-14 17:00:30	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x727c1b…
05-14 16:56:41	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x138066…
05-14 16:50:12	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xc945f8…
05-14 16:49:39	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbb3677…
05-14 16:37:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfdcde4…
05-14 16:37:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcaa0af…
05-14 16:33:12	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x55e5b2…
05-14 16:32:48	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9d06d9…
05-14 16:32:13	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb10d9c…
05-14 16:31:55	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x637371…
05-14 16:30:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb4f7ab…
05-14 16:30:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x7f69e6…
05-14 16:30:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfd7fc8…
05-04 13:50:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x324deb…
05-04 13:48:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x981e9c…
05-03 04:53:38	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfddd8b…
05-01 17:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4fe65e…
04-29 00:56:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xf4bbc0…
04-28 17:42:12	Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x61ff6b…
04-28 17:41:46	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6ab3a5…
04-28 17:41:36	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x86e1e0…
04-28 17:41:14	Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x42937a…
04-28 17:41:02	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5c2aea…
04-26 05:08:56	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4b6e85…
04-26 04:58:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x40d927…
04-21 14:23:28	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xb2ee59…
04-17 17:08:50	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xa1e771…
04-16 18:30:34	will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8f6802…
04-16 18:30:20	will trump say biden during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbcb930…
04-16 18:30:12	will trump say deficit during no tax on tips roundtable	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5331a0…
04-16 18:29:52	will trump say waitress during no tax on tips roundtable	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd1a138…
04-16 18:17:36	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x85cccb…
04-16 18:02:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xca1cdb…
04-16 17:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x69db5f…
04-14 20:32:08	will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x8fdc67…
04-14 20:24:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x69809e…
04-14 20:20:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0bae31…
04-14 20:20:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfc63b5…