Warm-Elite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$197

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,067

lifetime

Volume

$198.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% $-197

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	43	$5.3K	7,774	7,774	+0	open	—	03-07 08:27
btc updown 5m 1773034500	3	$3.7K	1,945	1,942	+3	open	—	03-09 05:40
bitcoin above 88k on january 1	4	$3.0K	3,695	3,695	+0	open	—	01-01 14:59
btc updown 4h 1773172800	10	$2.8K	3,004	2,969	+35	open	—	03-10 21:53
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	20	$2.6K	3,169	2,934	+235	open	—	01-03 13:35
bitcoin up or down march 5 4pm et	11	$2.2K	2,382	2,380	+2	open	—	03-05 21:38
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	11	$2.1K	6,088	6,088	+0	open	—	01-30 18:30
btc updown 4h 1772600400	33	$1.8K	7,479	7,464	+14	open	—	03-04 07:49
bitcoin above 94k on january 17	32	$1.7K	15,543	15,543	-0	open	—	01-16 20:52
bitcoin above 98k on january 22	18	$1.6K	6,261	6,261	+0	open	—	01-19 00:08
btc updown 4h 1773417600	6	$1.6K	1,595	1,572	+23	open	—	03-13 16:53
btc updown 4h 1769158800	2	$1.6K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	01-23 09:50
bitcoin above 88k on january 28	8	$1.6K	3,653	3,653	+0	open	—	01-27 23:28
bitcoin above 98k on january 16	11	$1.5K	5,516	5,516	+0	open	—	01-16 15:39
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	27	$1.5K	6,392	6,392	+0	open	—	03-06 15:03
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	24	$1.4K	4,284	4,284	+0	open	—	03-03 19:26
bitcoin up or down march 5 2pm et	21	$1.4K	2,138	2,138	+0	open	—	03-05 19:55
btc updown 4h 1773043200	6	$1.3K	2,496	2,496	+0	open	—	03-09 09:35
bitcoin up or down march 5 6am et	21	$1.3K	4,001	4,001	+0	open	—	03-05 11:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	9	$1.2K	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	03-03 08:40
bitcoin above 68k on march 8	13	$1.2K	1,365	1,365	+0	open	—	03-07 19:31
btc updown 15m 1772613000	2	$1.2K	2,155	2,125	+31	open	—	03-04 08:35
btc updown 15m 1770381000	5	$1.2K	2,414	2,389	+25	open	—	02-06 12:44
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	2	$1.1K	5,986	5,986	+0	open	—	01-20 07:45
btc updown 4h 1767891600	2	$1.1K	1,398	1,398	+0	open	—	01-08 19:56
bitcoin above 90k on january 26	3	$1.1K	3,945	3,945	+0	open	—	01-25 18:32
bitcoin up or down january 20 10am et	1	$1.1K	0	1,105	-1,105	open	—	01-20 16:53
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 21	5	$1.1K	1,614	1,611	+2	open	—	03-21 20:58
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	2	$1.1K	1,796	1,796	+0	open	—	01-20 14:25
btc updown 15m 1768507200	3	$1.1K	1,921	951	+970	open	—	01-15 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 09:46:41	btc updown 15m 1782035100	Down	BUY	62	58¢	$36	0x35c4e7…
06-21 03:01:02	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0xdd58d1…
06-21 03:01:02	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x788ab2…
06-21 03:00:59	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x858fe9…
06-21 03:00:55	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1e30c1…
06-21 00:01:52	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf1ee60…
06-20 23:54:44	btc updown 5m 1781999400	Down	SELL	52	33¢	$17	0x1d4248…
06-20 23:53:17	btc updown 5m 1781999400	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x5354ea…
06-20 23:52:34	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	75	56¢	$42	0x0d38e6…
06-20 23:29:52	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0x9862b4…
06-20 23:23:41	btc updown 15m 1781997300	Down	SELL	96	41¢	$40	0x527dc0…
06-20 23:20:25	btc updown 15m 1781997300	Down	BUY	96	41¢	$39	0x3355b0…
06-20 22:45:37	btc updown 15m 1781995500	Up	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x74e2ee…
06-20 22:32:01	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	SELL	225	4¢	$9	0xcc3fa2…
06-20 22:31:46	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xda0b94…
06-20 22:29:08	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	SELL	123	6¢	$7	0x3887a4…
06-20 20:01:47	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0d1c72…
06-20 20:01:16	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x68d4ad…
06-20 20:01:04	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xafeee3…
06-20 20:00:38	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x4e6051…
06-20 20:00:32	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x8e44f0…
06-20 20:00:25	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf3e2a0…
06-20 14:46:52	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x141723…
06-20 14:36:26	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x178ced…
06-20 07:02:29	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xcd0daa…
06-20 07:02:29	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x9c3737…
06-20 07:02:28	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xe471ac…
06-20 07:02:28	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x78f756…
06-20 07:02:28	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x5a6b66…
06-20 07:02:28	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x38f052…
06-20 07:02:28	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x21decb…
06-20 07:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Down	BUY	170	56¢	$95	0x53d02e…
06-20 06:54:05	btc updown 15m 1781937900	Up	SELL	175	35¢	$61	0x887a93…
06-20 06:46:28	btc updown 15m 1781937900	Up	BUY	175	43¢	$75	0x1dfd36…
06-20 06:42:56	btc updown 15m 1781937000	Down	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x9a2ac9…
06-20 06:34:52	btc updown 15m 1781937000	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x50b3b2…
06-20 06:33:29	btc updown 15m 1781937000	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xb8e6f0…
06-20 06:32:08	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x87e724…
06-20 06:04:32	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x22b2f7…
06-20 05:52:08	btc updown 15m 1781934300	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf60af7…
06-20 05:42:59	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	SELL	150	32¢	$47	0x2a29b0…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xf4f2e7…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xe0687b…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xb20e39…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xaa5610…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x86e266…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x6151c5…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x5016ab…
06-20 05:33:43	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x46b11f…
06-20 05:33:26	btc updown 15m 1781933400	Down	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x86f3a3…
06-19 22:17:56	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x66adf0…
06-19 22:17:32	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x949a0d…
06-19 21:40:02	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xd97e98…
06-19 21:40:02	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x9e61ca…
06-19 21:39:59	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x56c84f…
06-19 21:39:58	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe1a3bf…
06-19 21:32:55	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xadb4f0…
06-19 10:11:56	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x3bd7da…
06-18 21:46:22	btc updown 15m 1781819100	Up	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x78965e…
06-18 21:37:40	btc updown 15m 1781818200	Up	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0xfb3bb0…
06-18 21:37:40	btc updown 15m 1781818200	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x4682bf…
06-18 21:37:40	btc updown 15m 1781818200	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x0ba0a6…
06-18 21:32:34	btc updown 15m 1781818200	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x9c630e…
06-18 20:53:10	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb1b53d…
06-18 20:52:23	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x93ab3a…
06-18 20:52:13	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xe15c58…
06-18 20:51:14	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7e575b…
06-18 20:51:10	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x22b2ee…
06-18 20:49:44	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x33a6a9…
06-18 12:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781784000	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xaab70b…
06-18 11:50:17	btc updown 5m 1781783400	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb09566…
06-18 11:48:11	btc updown 5m 1781783100	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xd945e1…
06-18 11:41:53	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xefaa31…
06-18 11:41:52	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xf73fc4…
06-18 11:41:49	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	SELL	338	2¢	$7	0x7cd02e…
06-18 11:36:44	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x953508…
06-18 11:36:44	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	178	18¢	$32	0x902a56…
06-18 11:36:44	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x600d37…
06-18 11:36:44	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5f7ccb…
06-18 11:36:44	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x432576…
06-18 11:36:44	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x402396…
06-18 11:30:47	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xbf5788…
06-18 11:15:19	btc updown 15m 1781781300	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xb1a09b…
06-18 10:59:32	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x3eed43…
06-18 10:56:35	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x016011…
06-18 10:51:55	btc updown 5m 1781779800	Up	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x2af28f…
06-18 10:48:59	btc updown 5m 1781779500	Down	SELL	74	10¢	$7	0x75506e…
06-18 10:46:08	btc updown 5m 1781779500	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x9ab7ac…
06-18 10:33:56	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x6ec344…
06-18 10:33:41	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x2e32be…
06-18 10:33:38	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x3010a4…
06-18 10:33:37	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x948667…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$2	0xf0a4d7…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xaf3bd1…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x99d24d…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x864606…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x69c5a7…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x52a2cb…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4edebc…
06-18 10:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2da81c…