Polished-Hazel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$93

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-11 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

35% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+375	$80	20¢	$77	$-3	06-06 00:12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		-16	$-16	99¢	$-16	$-0	06-03 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	14	$2.4K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-21 03:41
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	540	540	+0	open	—	04-21 07:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	04-13 10:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$783	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 04:54
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$585	600	600	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 04:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$479	250	250	+0	open	—	05-29 04:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 04:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 04:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 04:15
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$305	304	304	+0	open	—	04-24 04:06
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$266	501	501	+0	open	—	05-14 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 02:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 14:23
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$188	312	312	+0	open	—	06-06 01:09
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$182	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 12:38
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$157	151	151	+0	open	—	06-08 17:52
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-30 06:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$128	241	241	+0	open	—	06-07 20:38
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	2	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 11:01
trump out as president by march 31	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 17:02
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	7	$91	105	55	+50	open	—	03-14 19:23
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 10:54
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	1	$80	375	0	+375	open	—	06-06 00:12
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-25 17:03
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-03 19:52
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-03 19:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	06-03 00:19
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-28 14:09
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 12:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:31:40	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x277705…
06-11 11:27:13	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4bc4d1…
06-11 11:02:34	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd8a3b3…
06-11 11:02:16	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x4267e0…
06-11 11:02:07	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7bc61c…
06-11 11:01:55	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa69e75…
06-11 11:01:45	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x90628c…
06-11 11:00:16	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x8d6cab…
06-11 10:53:57	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x101e7a…
06-11 10:53:24	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xdffccb…
06-11 10:41:21	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x808ae2…
06-11 10:35:58	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x618dbe…
06-11 10:34:07	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9fb1f3…
06-11 10:32:52	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x1e23ae…
06-11 10:31:55	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x3219c0…
06-11 10:31:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xb9e0f9…
06-11 10:31:13	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0x6b512d…
06-11 10:30:04	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xcd3c62…
06-11 10:22:49	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5ffd1f…
06-11 10:21:43	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd32b56…
06-11 10:20:31	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc73b61…
06-11 10:20:15	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc9cfbe…
06-11 10:19:31	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x4a10fa…
06-11 10:17:37	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xef6991…
06-08 17:52:12	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	151	51¢	$77	0x2c9159…
06-08 14:40:12	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	27¢	$27	0x2d1ffd…
06-07 22:57:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	535	1¢	$3	0x959edc…
06-07 21:30:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	224	4¢	$9	0xfde0fa…
06-07 21:09:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	224	7¢	$15	0x5e1196…
06-07 20:38:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	26¢	$63	0xa60496…
06-07 18:44:12	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	26¢	$26	0xb20873…
06-07 18:33:45	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x8e1b0e…
06-07 18:13:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	27¢	$65	0x1bc866…
06-06 22:22:09	will drake have 3 albums in the billboard 200 top 10 20260602162056895	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x69b9ed…
06-06 18:53:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0xca8391…
06-06 01:09:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	312	28¢	$88	0x5afde3…
06-06 01:04:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xdcc4f2…
06-06 00:12:22	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	375	21¢	$80	0x6e2a6a…
06-06 00:10:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x9843a3…
06-04 14:58:09	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	833	1¢	$9	0xff01b1…
06-04 14:14:24	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x3efb04…
06-03 00:19:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x40cdfc…
06-03 00:19:33	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6ccd48…
06-03 00:19:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	7¢	$16	0xdbe710…
06-03 00:19:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x964c35…
06-02 11:11:42	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xdad948…
06-02 10:58:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xbf022c…
06-02 10:49:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xe182e4…
06-02 10:41:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	Yes	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0xa6727b…
06-02 10:38:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x62914e…
05-31 13:35:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xf7ca87…
05-31 13:32:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xeb3fc6…
05-30 08:09:59	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	7¢	$16	0x489b32…
05-30 02:48:21	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xadcc66…
05-29 04:55:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9fb633…
05-25 12:16:50	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2cf058…
05-25 11:38:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x465da5…
05-25 11:37:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xd55bf3…
05-23 22:16:25	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x081bc2…
05-22 11:01:30	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xaf8b7e…
05-22 10:59:59	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x4c265d…
05-22 10:54:16	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xb75308…
05-22 10:52:54	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xe30313…
05-20 14:23:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x7af845…
05-20 14:01:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x42274d…
05-15 03:43:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x94602a…
05-14 12:52:00	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	SELL	501	26¢	$130	0x6ae0a5…
05-14 12:49:03	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	501	27¢	$135	0xdf6535…
05-14 12:38:58	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	SELL	250	36¢	$90	0xef4250…
05-14 12:38:19	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	TNC	BUY	250	37¢	$92	0x7683bb…
05-14 07:14:19	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xf0695e…
05-14 06:58:42	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x09e37c…
05-14 06:44:32	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5ffe79…
04-24 04:06:42	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$103	0x6ce200…
04-24 04:06:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$103	0x2805e9…
04-24 04:06:00	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x31eb6d…
04-24 04:06:00	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x028cf2…
04-24 03:40:32	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x0a41ea…
04-24 03:40:16	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$95	0xe52668…
04-24 03:40:16	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	104	47¢	$49	0x67997e…
04-24 03:39:24	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x8a4044…
04-24 03:23:58	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$95	0x1fa416…
04-24 03:22:58	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$95	0x440676…
04-21 07:45:28	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	540	95¢	$512	0xf86475…
04-21 07:45:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	540	95¢	$512	0x321de8…
04-21 05:01:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	232	96¢	$222	0x8c975a…
04-21 04:57:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x6f694d…
04-21 04:57:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x06eb5e…
04-21 04:57:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xae51c0…
04-21 04:54:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x00e6ec…
04-21 04:54:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xeec2ee…
04-21 04:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffa375…
04-21 04:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x80131c…
04-21 04:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3add12…
04-21 04:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b166d…
04-21 04:43:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd4fe99…
04-21 04:41:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x6e008d…
04-21 03:41:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	510	99¢	$504	0x5ff8a0…
04-21 03:35:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	510	99¢	$503	0x15eb7b…
04-13 11:23:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$487	0x410129…