Polished-Hazel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-20 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	14	$2.4K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-21 03:41
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	540	540	+0	open	—	04-21 07:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	04-13 10:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$783	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 04:54
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$585	600	600	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 04:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$479	250	250	+0	open	—	05-29 04:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 04:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 04:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 04:15
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$305	304	304	+0	open	—	04-24 04:06
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$266	501	501	+0	open	—	05-14 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 02:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 14:23
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$188	312	312	+0	open	—	06-06 01:09
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$182	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 12:38
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$157	151	151	+0	open	—	06-08 17:52
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-30 06:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$128	241	241	+0	open	—	06-07 20:38
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	2	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 11:01
trump out as president by march 31	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 17:02
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	7	$91	105	55	+50	open	—	03-14 19:23
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 10:54
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	1	$80	375	0	+375	open	—	06-06 00:12
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-25 17:03
will graham platner drop out by july 7	6	$63	60	60	+0	open	—	07-07 04:50
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-03 19:52
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-03 19:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$60	200	200	+0	open	—	06-03 00:19
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-28 14:09
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 06:56:52	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	No	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xdf15d5…
07-20 06:56:36	will bernie say greed or greedy during minneapolis rally 20260719004357851	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x69d673…
07-20 06:56:01	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfea3fe…
07-20 06:53:01	will bernie say endorse endorsed or endorsement during minneapolis rally 20260719004357864	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4a9507…
07-20 06:52:49	will bernie say endorse endorsed or endorsement during minneapolis rally 20260719004357864	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf3e678…
07-20 06:52:22	will bernie say greed or greedy during minneapolis rally 20260719004357851	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd67867…
07-20 06:47:18	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x174710…
07-20 06:46:45	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe5943b…
07-20 06:44:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x4a3f6e…
07-20 06:41:58	will bernie say data center during minneapolis rally 20260719004357863	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb9012e…
07-20 06:39:31	will bernie say data center during minneapolis rally 20260719004357863	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x93722d…
07-20 05:41:25	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xbf0749…
07-20 05:37:10	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x29fc87…
07-20 05:24:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd500a7…
07-20 05:22:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9a980e…
07-20 05:17:12	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x87032d…
07-20 05:15:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x077ec7…
07-20 05:15:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x13bbc6…
07-20 05:15:10	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0113e5…
07-20 05:04:58	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x2dff33…
07-20 04:47:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x79280d…
07-20 04:46:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x797155…
07-20 04:45:22	will ewy dip to 157 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x37f9ee…
07-20 04:44:31	will ewy dip to 157 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa3d35d…
07-20 04:33:18	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x2eb91c…
07-14 04:42:35	will g2 esports qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715575	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x92354e…
07-14 04:42:19	will jd gaming qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715574	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x885ddd…
07-14 04:41:44	will g2 esports qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715575	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x000acc…
07-14 04:37:40	will jd gaming qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715574	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x3bca9c…
07-08 13:07:11	will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x2173d9…
07-07 08:01:40	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736119	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd153bf…
07-07 05:34:28	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x75ce3f…
07-07 04:50:22	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x705a7e…
07-07 04:50:02	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0a0511…
07-07 04:41:56	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xda917c…
07-07 04:32:59	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x35158d…
07-07 04:32:47	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x10b7ff…
07-07 04:30:59	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5c9a69…
07-07 04:27:25	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736119	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x7da14c…
07-07 04:24:04	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xaab87f…
07-07 04:23:43	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x0922b8…
07-07 04:22:52	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x956d0f…
07-07 04:21:35	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x1252f0…
07-07 04:20:59	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd05a15…
06-24 08:23:32	will the announcers say what a save during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033327	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcc5bf3…
06-24 05:39:59	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033322	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x66c37b…
06-24 05:38:32	will the announcers say los angeles 5 times during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415018	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x9ed6ab…
06-24 05:34:01	will the announcers say los angeles 5 times during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415018	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9573c7…
06-24 05:33:23	will the announcers say what a save during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033327	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x34b4ae…
06-24 05:33:13	will the announcers say what a save during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033327	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xa9fe3f…
06-24 05:29:37	will the announcers say what a save during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033327	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4fd2ca…
06-24 05:26:41	will the announcers say messi during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033333	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xc24270…
06-24 05:26:08	will the announcers say messi during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033333	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x95a1e3…
06-24 05:20:04	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033310	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5e0e58…
06-24 05:19:01	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033310	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa2e1ed…
06-24 05:18:59	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6a1855…
06-24 05:17:13	will the announcers say ronaldo during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809465	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x600c86…
06-24 05:16:52	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033322	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2c189e…
06-18 06:15:35	will the announcers say champion during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456422	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x3df38c…
06-18 06:13:22	will the announcers say champion during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456422	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x15797f…
06-12 10:11:06	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	85	11¢	$9	0x5212ca…
06-12 04:12:12	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x7ae291…
06-11 11:31:40	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x277705…
06-11 11:27:13	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4bc4d1…
06-11 11:02:34	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd8a3b3…
06-11 11:02:16	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x4267e0…
06-11 11:02:07	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7bc61c…
06-11 11:01:55	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa69e75…
06-11 11:01:45	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x90628c…
06-11 11:00:16	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x8d6cab…
06-11 10:53:57	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x101e7a…
06-11 10:53:24	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xdffccb…
06-11 10:41:21	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x808ae2…
06-11 10:35:58	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x618dbe…
06-11 10:34:07	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9fb1f3…
06-11 10:32:52	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x1e23ae…
06-11 10:31:55	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x3219c0…
06-11 10:31:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xb9e0f9…
06-11 10:31:13	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0x6b512d…
06-11 10:30:04	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xcd3c62…
06-11 10:22:49	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5ffd1f…
06-11 10:21:43	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd32b56…
06-11 10:20:31	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc73b61…
06-11 10:20:15	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc9cfbe…
06-11 10:19:31	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x4a10fa…
06-11 10:17:37	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xef6991…
06-08 17:52:12	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	151	51¢	$77	0x2c9159…
06-08 14:40:12	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	27¢	$27	0x2d1ffd…
06-07 22:57:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	535	1¢	$3	0x959edc…
06-07 21:30:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	224	4¢	$9	0xfde0fa…
06-07 21:09:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	224	7¢	$15	0x5e1196…
06-07 20:38:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	26¢	$63	0xa60496…
06-07 18:44:12	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	26¢	$26	0xb20873…
06-07 18:33:45	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x8e1b0e…
06-07 18:13:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	27¢	$65	0x1bc866…
06-06 22:22:09	will drake have 3 albums in the billboard 200 top 10 20260602162056895	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x69b9ed…
06-06 18:53:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0xca8391…
06-06 01:09:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	312	28¢	$88	0x5afde3…
06-06 01:04:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xdcc4f2…
06-06 00:12:22	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	375	21¢	$80	0x6e2a6a…