Uncomfortable-Mincemeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$304

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

734

Trades

1,369

lifetime

Volume

$4.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-25 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 45% -$239

Other

9% 54% -$62

Politics

0% 43% +$2

Sports

0% 50% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:20 UTC	6	$93	66	54	+13	Down	+$13	03-28 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:50 UTC	6	$62	52	32	+19	Down	+$3	03-28 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:45 UTC	6	$60	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	03-28 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:15 UTC	5	$59	41	30	+12	Up	+$1	03-28 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:10 UTC	6	$58	44	44	+1	Up	+$9	03-28 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:55 UTC	5	$57	37	31	+7	Up	+$4	03-28 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:35 UTC	3	$51	52	50	+2	Up	+$48	03-26 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:05 UTC	6	$50	73	0	+73	Up	-$48	03-28 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:20 UTC	5	$50	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	03-28 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:45 UTC	5	$50	41	25	+16	Down	$0	03-28 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:40 UTC	5	$46	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	03-28 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:50 UTC	6	$45	28	25	+3	Down	+$4	03-28 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:25 UTC	4	$44	27	24	+4	Up	+$3	03-28 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:00 UTC	4	$43	36	23	+13	Up	+$5	03-28 17:06
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC	6	$39	48	38	+10	Down	+$11	03-28 15:05
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	2	$37	41	0	+41	No	-$37	04-23 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:50 UTC	6	$35	39	10	+29	Down	-$14	03-28 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:25 UTC	4	$35	47	0	+47	Down	-$35	03-28 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:25 UTC	2	$35	21	21	+0	Down	+$5	03-27 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:20 UTC	2	$34	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	03-28 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 06:45 UTC	3	$34	19	19	+0	Up	+$4	03-30 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:15 UTC	4	$33	37	31	+7	Up	+$28	03-26 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:50 UTC	4	$32	82	18	+64	Up	-$1	03-27 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:50 UTC	3	$32	50	17	+33	Down	$0	03-28 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:00 UTC	6	$31	39	10	+29	Down	-$12	03-28 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	4	$31	36	7	+29	Down	-$17	03-28 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC	2	$30	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:00 UTC	4	$30	28	8	+20	Up	-$14	03-28 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:40 UTC	4	$29	19	15	+3	Up	+$1	03-28 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 12:22:28	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3554b7…
06-22 06:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x24a4a0…
06-21 20:19:31	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x28d0cf…
06-21 20:18:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb71bfc…
06-21 04:07:53	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x51b1cf…
06-18 06:29:29	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x46aa15…
06-17 13:24:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd2868a…
06-17 12:58:49	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaf2c85…
05-26 13:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x1d549e…
05-26 13:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x920336…
05-26 13:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x9a16a7…
05-26 13:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xb6012a…
05-26 13:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe580dd…
05-26 12:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xd05dff…
05-26 12:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x32425b…
05-26 12:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe233d5…
05-26 12:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdb35c2…
05-21 13:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcfcee3…
05-14 13:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x29cfd3…
05-14 12:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1e1e6c…
05-14 11:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8c0243…
05-14 08:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x8defb4…
05-14 05:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc55bae…
05-14 05:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5dc082…
05-14 05:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xceaea8…
05-13 13:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5de77d…
05-13 11:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x15ac34…
05-13 11:07:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x133d41…
05-13 06:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc8853d…
05-13 06:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf0af61…
05-13 06:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa1540b…
05-13 03:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x44d234…
05-13 02:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xcb0005…
05-13 02:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x81d416…
05-13 02:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x73cf31…
05-12 20:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x4aeb73…
05-12 19:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x52faf4…
05-12 14:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xff12e5…
05-12 14:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x58502c…
05-12 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ae3f1…
05-12 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f1518…
05-12 13:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc8dc53…
05-12 13:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x14a5bb…
05-12 12:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x205563…
05-12 11:21:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x59c9b6…
05-12 11:21:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x1e254a…
05-12 10:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6cc162…
05-12 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3b62f2…
05-12 06:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0a5450…
05-12 05:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe4ab91…
05-11 12:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 11?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x479480…
05-11 11:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3bb133…
05-11 07:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x624850…
05-11 06:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x1e6566…
05-11 06:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xcfb4a9…
05-11 05:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3d6593…
05-11 04:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x147d7e…
05-10 13:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0812cf…
05-10 12:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x2ad68b…
05-10 12:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe8cba7…
05-10 12:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7e19f5…
05-10 12:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb80123…
05-10 12:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x69df74…
05-10 11:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd4ba92…
05-10 08:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7d8597…
05-10 07:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbe8203…
05-10 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1089ac…
05-10 06:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7e0494…
05-10 06:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7a0d7f…
05-10 06:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4e793b…
05-10 03:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x08d473…
05-10 03:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3d284e…
05-09 13:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x743a7e…
05-09 13:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xabe103…
05-09 06:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9ef5a6…
05-09 04:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2fdc46…
05-09 04:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7c3f2c…
05-09 04:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x722623…
05-09 02:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xd4e664…
05-09 00:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6ef76a…
05-08 13:18:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xce3f3e…
05-08 05:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x00502a…
05-08 03:46:26	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa6de77…
05-07 12:11:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x777416…
05-07 05:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x423daf…
05-07 05:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2da426…
05-07 01:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xad48e7…
05-06 18:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7d4a81…
05-06 05:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfb7ae7…
05-06 04:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x767f14…
05-06 03:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6b3a77…
05-06 03:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x91a896…
05-06 03:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6874c7…
05-05 12:36:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6e2e14…
05-05 12:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb2b86f…
05-05 12:22:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1c1d9a…
05-04 10:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x62b5c8…
05-04 08:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdb263f…
05-04 04:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x246aa9…
05-03 06:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1f707e…