Miserly-Official — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$349

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-08 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 51% $-331

Other

2% 0% $-17

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$553	449	337	+112	Up	+$43	05-04 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$432	290	284	+6	open	—	04-27 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$348	391	99	+292	Down	$-152	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$312	188	188	+0	Down	+$32	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$303	240	132	+108	Down	$-41	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$281	183	183	+0	open	—	05-04 16:18
btc updown 5m 1776464400	2	$279	187	181	+6	open	—	04-17 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$250	351	0	+351	Up	+$6	05-04 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$250	353	0	+353	open	—	05-04 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$240	260	160	+100	open	—	05-04 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$239	145	145	+0	Down	+$39	05-04 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$217	128	126	+2	open	—	04-27 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$207	177	172	+6	open	—	04-27 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$206	114	113	+1	open	—	04-27 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$204	116	116	+0	open	—	05-03 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$191	125	125	+0	open	—	05-04 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$166	111	111	+0	Up	+$53	05-04 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$152	106	106	+0	open	—	05-04 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$150	230	0	+230	open	—	05-04 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$149	108	102	+6	open	—	05-04 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$147	102	102	+0	open	—	05-04 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$140	94	94	+0	open	—	05-04 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$140	95	85	+10	open	—	05-03 16:29
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$128	875	875	+0	open	—	03-04 23:00
btc updown 5m 1776488700	2	$124	84	81	+3	open	—	04-18 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$115	92	73	+19	open	—	05-04 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$110	63	62	+1	open	—	04-27 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$110	189	0	+189	Down	+$11	05-04 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$100	192	0	+192	Down	$-100	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	05-04 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x223314…
05-08 23:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c46ee…
05-08 23:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x1f1e77…
05-08 19:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0xc2aed7…
05-08 18:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xf58dc3…
05-05 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x30e6fa…
05-05 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x6ad17a…
05-05 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	147	54¢	$80	0x159e60…
05-05 13:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7152bb…
05-05 13:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x493fcd…
05-05 13:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x049484…
05-05 13:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe15eb7…
05-05 13:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x64c9be…
05-05 13:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x74fd46…
05-05 13:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x051b72…
05-05 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x757638…
05-05 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x9e8240…
05-05 12:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x9b8194…
05-05 12:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x186d7c…
05-05 12:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xa6a23d…
05-05 12:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x948125…
05-05 12:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x236517…
05-05 12:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xbce92c…
05-05 12:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcf2318…
05-05 12:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xdf1d21…
05-05 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x142a46…
05-05 12:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xfb64ac…
05-05 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5df581…
05-04 23:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	51¢	$46	0xec861a…
05-04 23:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0xf16bb0…
05-04 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0x095ae4…
05-04 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xfd0820…
05-04 23:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0xd84ea5…
05-04 23:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	132	92¢	$122	0x1460f0…
05-04 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x9c7bb4…
05-04 23:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xd23ff2…
05-04 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0xa9cc00…
05-04 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x551c6e…
05-04 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x6a87a4…
05-04 22:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	145	96¢	$139	0x9607a8…
05-04 22:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x11b9f3…
05-04 22:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x8e25a4…
05-04 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	111	51¢	$56	0x1bf78e…
05-04 22:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	196	41¢	$81	0x241bfd…
05-04 22:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x2ac596…
05-04 22:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	292	68¢	$200	0x178bad…
05-04 22:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x08fc9f…
05-04 22:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x1b4880…
05-04 22:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfb1c45…
05-04 22:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x50fb2c…
05-04 22:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde9621…
05-04 22:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x592075…
05-04 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x5d2e32…
05-04 22:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5e8ef4…
05-04 22:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x706757…
05-04 22:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xe3d605…
05-04 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xff9b68…
05-04 22:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd7e46e…
05-04 21:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5c9177…
05-04 21:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x62552a…
05-04 21:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcc84f8…
05-04 21:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xa724a1…
05-04 21:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xca27cd…
05-04 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x6ca89a…
05-04 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x4a7b32…
05-04 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x826746…
05-04 21:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x0afabe…
05-04 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x40ee6c…
05-04 21:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	337	89¢	$298	0x88769f…
05-04 21:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	337	58¢	$195	0x3212b1…
05-04 21:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	112	54¢	$60	0x8ecf60…
05-04 21:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x5e497f…
05-04 21:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x10063f…
05-04 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd3c639…
05-04 16:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xdd9f4d…
05-04 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	102	95¢	$97	0xdac7f8…
05-04 16:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x08b233…
05-04 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	183	99¢	$181	0xcb10bf…
05-04 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xbcfcda…
05-04 16:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x5b6a10…
05-04 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x3559f7…
05-04 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x79406f…
05-04 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xf10c28…
05-04 15:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x157ccc…
05-04 15:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x741cee…
05-04 15:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	39	50¢	$20	0x31148b…
05-04 15:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x533738…
05-04 15:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xaded59…
05-04 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xedf584…
05-04 15:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd941a4…
05-04 15:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd9120f…
05-04 15:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x012c66…
05-04 15:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x15a87e…
05-04 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x796792…
05-04 15:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08801f…
05-04 15:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7dfd54…
05-04 15:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x300f66…
05-04 15:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf4694e…
05-04 14:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7c17eb…
05-04 14:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6a12a1…