Well-Worn-Commercial 0xb6bed9…3cfcfe
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$14.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$678
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
292
21,326 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$104.8K
$5.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$113.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Sports
60% 77% +$16,451
Other
27% 87% +$37,875
Politics
12% 41% -$4,939
Crypto
1% 100% +$569
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -58,519 -$61,785 100¢ $-58373 +$3,412 10-26 02:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +51,191 $14,981 28¢ $14.1K -$903 10-26 00:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -55,887 -$7,204 15¢ $-8635 -$1,431 10-21 22:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -110,364 -$7,973 6¢ $-6677 +$1,296 10-21 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,758 $6,030 28¢ $5.7K -$321 10-26 14:58
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -2,724 -$2,028 100¢ $-2714 -$686 05-09 14:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,061 $2,471 36¢ $2.6K +$106 10-21 19:55
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,234 $2,182 36¢ $2.3K +$94 10-21 19:36
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2,222 $2,184 100¢ $2.2K +$36 05-08 11:50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -35,945 -$1,867 5¢ $-1851 +$16 10-21 17:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +4,545 $1,554 38¢ $1.7K +$150 10-22 20:43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -34,003 -$1,258 4¢ $-1445 -$187 09-11 05:04
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,211 $1,139 100¢ $1.2K +$69 06-03 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,118 $998 31¢ $967 -$31 10-26 13:07
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,931 -$646 4¢ $-850 -$203 09-01 15:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -28,392 -$854 2¢ $-497 +$357 08-24 15:16
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -15,173 -$298 2¢ $-364 -$66 05-27 00:17
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23,335 -$443 1¢ $-338 +$105 05-04 19:09
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,003 -$200 2¢ $-165 +$35 05-03 04:01
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$260 1¢ $-110 +$150 05-31 02:55
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$80 0¢ $-60 +$20 10-23 05:50
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 10-21 17:40
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 10-21 17:40
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 08-24 15:16
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$80 0¢ $-60 +$20 08-24 15:16
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$40 0¢ $-60 -$20 08-24 15:17
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes -1,111 -$100 4¢ $-50 +$50 05-08 01:09
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +5,889 $1,317 0¢ $21 -$1,296 06-01 17:32
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +6,101 $50 0¢ $15 -$34 10-25 17:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +34 $12 38¢ $13 +$1 10-22 15:16