Starchy-Outhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$847

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

202

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$42.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-27 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% -$239

Crypto

23% 66% -$588

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+71	$3	3¢	$2	-$1	09-27 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?	2	$995	499	499	+0	No	+$3	06-19 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?	2	$962	482	482	+0	No	+$2	06-17 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 9?	2	$839	421	421	+0	No	+$1	06-09 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	2	$836	420	420	+0	No	+$2	06-08 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?	2	$822	418	418	+0	No	+$12	06-06 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?	2	$804	404	404	+0	No	+$4	06-06 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	2	$802	403	403	+0	No	+$2	06-04 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?	2	$788	399	399	+0	No	+$8	06-03 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	2	$778	392	392	+0	No	+$4	06-02 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	2	$767	388	388	+0	No	+$7	06-01 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?	2	$755	381	381	+0	No	+$7	05-31 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?	2	$744	375	375	+0	No	$0	05-29 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	2	$743	373	373	+0	No	+$3	05-30 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?	2	$742	373	373	+0	No	+$4	06-16 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?	2	$726	366	366	+0	No	+$6	06-14 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:15 UTC	1	$701	723	0	+723	Up	-$701	01-14 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:45 UTC	1	$693	700	0	+700	Up	+$7	01-13 20:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?	2	$685	344	344	+0	No	+$3	06-13 06:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:30 UTC	1	$679	693	0	+693	Down	+$14	01-13 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 19:45 UTC	1	$667	674	0	+674	Up	+$7	01-13 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?	3	$666	337	337	+0	No	+$8	06-11 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 19:30 UTC	1	$661	667	0	+667	Up	+$7	01-13 19:42
bitcoin above 90k on january 13	1	$644	661	0	+661	Yes	+$17	01-13 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?	2	$634	318	318	+0	No	+$2	05-10 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:30 UTC	1	$626	632	0	+632	Down	+$6	01-12 20:41
bitcoin above 88k on january 12	1	$622	626	0	+626	Yes	+$4	01-12 12:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 10:45 UTC	1	$610	622	0	+622	Down	+$12	01-12 10:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 20:45 UTC	1	$607	613	0	+613	Up	+$6	01-11 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 21:30 UTC	1	$602	608	0	+608	Down	+$6	01-12 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 19:00 UTC	1	$602	608	0	+608	Up	+$6	01-11 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 15:18:39	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xfde0f7…
09-27 15:17:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3255b8…
09-24 18:04:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa808fb…
08-01 14:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x140578…
08-01 14:44:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x145624…
07-20 14:59:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0eb0b3…
07-20 14:55:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x4cef1b…
07-07 18:40:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x0d6f2e…
07-06 07:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	162	96¢	$156	0x21a6bd…
07-06 07:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0x548947…
07-05 20:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?	No	BUY	157	95¢	$148	0x5083db…
07-03 05:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	148	94¢	$140	0xb14e14…
07-03 05:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xfdc646…
07-02 10:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0xf6126f…
07-02 06:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xbf2df7…
07-02 06:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?	No	SELL	159	85¢	$135	0xe28031…
07-02 05:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	159	92¢	$147	0xaff05c…
07-02 05:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x4bae1f…
07-01 17:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	147	94¢	$138	0xba9cef…
07-01 17:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 1?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0xccfa65…
06-30 15:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 1?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0xd0213d…
06-29 19:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 30?	No	BUY	134	84¢	$112	0xec3348…
06-29 19:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 29?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x969cbf…
06-28 15:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 29?	No	BUY	112	85¢	$95	0x760cd8…
06-26 18:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 27?	No	BUY	96	90¢	$87	0x2f8bc3…
06-26 18:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xbd413e…
06-25 18:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?	No	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x556981…
06-25 18:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x1ed394…
06-24 14:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25?	No	BUY	75	86¢	$65	0xda28ea…
06-24 14:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0x37c050…
06-23 18:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 24?	No	BUY	68	75¢	$51	0xf3b1df…
06-23 14:36:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	541	8¢	$46	0x6287d1…
06-22 08:17:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	541	96¢	$520	0x736adf…
06-22 07:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x6477cf…
06-21 11:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x91ea35…
06-19 03:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 20?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$499	0x548c55…
06-19 03:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?	No	SELL	499	100¢	$499	0xd3cc19…
06-18 17:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 19?	No	BUY	499	99¢	$496	0x9117bb…
06-17 05:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	497	97¢	$484	0x17e38b…
06-17 05:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?	No	SELL	482	100¢	$482	0x82b08f…
06-16 02:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$480	0x5e8c04…
06-16 02:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x8d18d3…
06-16 02:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?	No	SELL	373	100¢	$373	0xafdd88…
06-14 16:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$104	0xb55aef…
06-14 16:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?	No	SELL	118	89¢	$104	0xb6f871…
06-14 07:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?	No	BUY	373	99¢	$369	0x382749…
06-14 04:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?	No	SELL	366	100¢	$366	0x85767e…
06-13 06:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	366	98¢	$360	0xb3276f…
06-13 06:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x836963…
06-13 06:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?	No	SELL	135	83¢	$112	0x033821…
06-13 06:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$344	0x74a2cb…
06-12 06:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x43015a…
06-12 06:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x1d6eb0…
06-11 09:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	344	99¢	$341	0x3f4b5e…
06-11 08:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?	No	SELL	337	100¢	$337	0x412d9f…
06-10 08:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8f7f0d…
06-10 08:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2f59a7…
06-10 08:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x23566c…
06-09 09:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	307	97¢	$299	0x7bfb51…
06-09 09:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0xaf8a58…
06-09 08:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 9?	No	SELL	421	100¢	$420	0xd3610f…
06-08 10:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	421	100¢	$419	0x88455a…
06-08 10:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$419	0x3846d4…
06-07 06:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$417	0xa73afd…
06-06 17:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?	No	SELL	418	100¢	$417	0xfad3a6…
06-06 06:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	418	97¢	$405	0x4b80fd…
06-06 06:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?	No	SELL	404	100¢	$404	0x8e0772…
06-05 11:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x83cb29…
06-04 09:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	No	SELL	403	100¢	$402	0x83f04a…
06-03 09:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0x3e6777…
06-03 09:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?	No	SELL	399	100¢	$398	0x945bff…
06-02 08:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	399	98¢	$390	0x24e4e9…
06-02 08:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	No	SELL	392	100¢	$391	0x52405e…
06-01 09:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	392	99¢	$387	0x1b9a5b…
06-01 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	No	SELL	388	100¢	$387	0xcbf538…
05-31 18:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	388	98¢	$380	0xfd9626…
05-31 18:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?	No	SELL	381	100¢	$381	0xec3b12…
05-30 04:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	381	98¢	$374	0xfaa94b…
05-30 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	No	SELL	373	100¢	$373	0xdc3ffe…
05-29 04:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	No	BUY	373	99¢	$370	0x532b90…
05-29 04:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?	No	SELL	375	99¢	$372	0x145530…
05-28 04:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?	No	BUY	375	99¢	$372	0xe5b6e3…
05-27 04:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	372	96¢	$358	0x803433…
05-25 04:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	359	98¢	$350	0xf4e8f6…
05-20 04:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?	No	BUY	351	99¢	$347	0xc56747…
05-16 02:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	347	99¢	$343	0x2ad94b…
05-15 19:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	343	99¢	$340	0x9ee6e7…
05-14 03:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	339	99¢	$335	0x2e6168…
05-13 19:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?	No	BUY	336	99¢	$333	0xbb087b…
05-12 03:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?	No	BUY	333	99¢	$329	0x14118d…
05-11 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	329	99¢	$326	0x5349ec…
05-10 05:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?	No	BUY	327	97¢	$318	0x3ffbd2…
05-10 05:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$318	0xc509c8…
05-09 06:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	318	99¢	$316	0xde1ce9…
05-08 11:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 9?	No	BUY	317	100¢	$315	0x3b9cd9…
05-05 18:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$311	0x5b89a3…
05-04 18:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x56e02b…
05-03 18:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	310	98¢	$303	0xd81d0f…
05-01 05:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 2?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xc79cff…
04-30 01:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x579d3b…