Another-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-20 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% +$2

Politics

23% 100% +$89

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes		-5	$-5	88¢	$-4	+$0	07-07 17:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	4	$358	205	205	+0	open	—	03-05 21:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$349	330	330	+0	open	—	03-08 16:07
cl up or down on march 12 2026	2	$317	170	170	+0	open	—	03-12 14:56
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	6	$250	153	153	+0	open	—	03-10 20:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$249	191	191	+0	open	—	03-11 07:41
sea nap tor 2026 03 06 nap	2	$231	127	127	+0	open	—	03-06 21:47
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$228	128	128	+0	open	—	03-06 19:48
cl up or down on march 11 2026	7	$205	118	118	+0	open	—	03-11 19:38
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei during kentucky visit	3	$186	459	459	+0	open	—	03-11 23:59
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	9	$185	465	409	+56	open	—	03-10 16:15
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	4	$152	299	299	+0	open	—	03-08 21:59
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$150	233	233	+0	open	—	03-09 21:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$140	115	115	+0	Yes	+$89	05-09 11:19
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$125	149	149	+0	open	—	03-10 09:45
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 10 2026	5	$107	716	430	+286	open	—	03-08 15:22
will trump say million or billion or trillion 27 times during kentucky visit	2	$99	149	0	+149	open	—	03-11 21:44
will oil be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	4	$94	65	65	+0	open	—	03-09 17:50
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	6	$85	1,192	91	+1,101	open	—	04-28 09:39
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$67	3,333	1,458	+1,875	open	—	03-08 22:28
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	5	$67	328	328	+0	open	—	03-08 20:10
will trump say oil during kentucky visit	2	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	03-11 12:45
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$52	39	39	+0	open	—	03-09 21:24
btc updown 5m 1773301800	2	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	03-12 07:50
ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20 totals 0pt5	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-17 19:00
sea nap tor 2026 03 06 btts	4	$49	56	56	+0	open	—	03-06 21:46
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 12 2026	1	$41	636	0	+636	open	—	03-06 23:56
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 11 2026	3	$35	587	60	+527	open	—	03-08 18:59
will trump say tanker during kentucky visit	2	$34	51	51	+0	open	—	03-11 12:04
ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06 totals 0pt5	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	06-07 00:13
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$30	61	61	+0	open	—	03-09 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:10:01	ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb499a…
07-07 17:28:14	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xcab4a2…
06-26 20:33:07	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x28ee28…
06-17 19:00:04	ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20 totals 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x435d37…
06-14 10:39:36	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x62cf62…
06-14 02:40:43	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 zahabi win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x00dbd9…
06-12 19:48:01	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x3a3e3b…
06-12 17:12:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5515b1…
06-07 00:13:28	ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06 totals 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x05e63e…
06-06 22:30:30	ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06 baraniewski win by ko tko	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfabe66…
05-30 12:37:21	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6492f3…
05-29 17:42:28	Will Sergei Pavlovich win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x460316…
05-09 11:19:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xfb30d3…
04-28 09:39:06	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	254	1¢	$2	0xb3fb10…
04-28 09:38:58	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	546	1¢	$5	0x828d84…
04-23 07:58:54	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x17d2e1…
04-20 17:09:02	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x5afaa8…
04-15 19:23:20	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xa8b4b6…
04-11 20:12:17	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 prochzka win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xd20696…
04-11 20:02:39	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 prochzka win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x66fe25…
04-09 12:41:09	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xf2b2a2…
04-08 13:37:49	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x5f13fe…
04-01 10:22:35	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcd3253…
04-01 10:22:29	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	SELL	340	0¢	$1	0x9193f8…
03-31 16:07:07	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	163	4¢	$6	0xafaf7e…
03-31 15:53:41	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x147120…
03-31 15:41:31	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xaea1de…
03-31 15:34:01	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xed9c7f…
03-31 14:50:53	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x8c306b…
03-31 14:50:49	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x326c81…
03-28 23:23:18	will israel take military action in gaza on march 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x7c45d2…
03-26 22:45:25	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x813f0c…
03-26 18:19:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf2af9f…
03-26 17:28:57	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x9d6a1a…
03-26 17:14:55	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdbf401…
03-26 09:03:03	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xbebf5f…
03-26 09:03:03	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xbc7d2a…
03-26 09:03:01	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x7be45e…
03-26 09:03:01	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x4e4847…
03-26 08:01:07	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xbb7aed…
03-26 02:07:45	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xf0b987…
03-26 01:25:37	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe84969…
03-26 01:18:59	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xded9a5…
03-26 01:01:17	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x9c1179…
03-25 23:53:17	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xe42c20…
03-25 23:53:17	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x0d2c32…
03-25 23:53:05	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf2444b…
03-25 23:53:05	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x5586d5…
03-25 23:53:05	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x42cd7b…
03-25 23:53:05	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x0fe378…
03-25 23:48:45	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xe9af10…
03-25 23:48:45	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x591473…
03-25 23:45:43	Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa72811…
03-25 23:40:13	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x6b44a0…
03-25 23:36:09	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xcb758e…
03-25 23:36:09	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x3111fc…
03-25 23:36:07	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xad12cb…
03-25 23:36:07	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x5dcd08…
03-25 00:58:45	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x62653e…
03-24 20:59:39	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xaee3a4…
03-24 20:21:51	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x35dc42…
03-24 17:54:01	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x0581cd…
03-24 17:45:31	pakistan military action against afghanistan by april 15	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x74cb9a…
03-24 17:13:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xb8cd5f…
03-24 16:48:35	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed2bcb…
03-24 11:16:59	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x584763…
03-24 07:38:23	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xf9114f…
03-23 11:20:23	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0x06434d…
03-23 09:59:53	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xfad321…
03-23 09:27:57	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x01395c…
03-23 07:51:09	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xcf1f62…
03-23 02:53:17	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x3f47d8…
03-23 02:48:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7e0790…
03-23 00:09:47	will the central bank of colombia announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xc4655d…
03-22 21:34:07	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xe89621…
03-22 11:58:03	will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x2396bf…
03-22 02:12:45	will the central bank of colombia announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x1f922a…
03-21 23:19:17	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd04384…
03-21 19:22:29	ufc nat los 2026 03 21	Losene Keita	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x90122e…
03-21 15:27:19	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21 win by submission	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x134882…
03-21 13:43:23	will the central bank of colombia announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x91714f…
03-21 08:29:37	will the central bank of colombia announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2daa6e…
03-20 15:58:23	will the central bank of colombia announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb93e09…
03-20 14:58:41	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x04ce45…
03-20 10:30:43	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	57¢	$31	0x22481f…
03-20 03:11:15	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21 go the distance	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x2947f9…
03-19 23:51:35	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x70a1ee…
03-19 23:49:27	will israel take military action in gaza on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x895bdb…
03-19 22:33:53	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb59c60…
03-19 21:51:33	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x450bf3…
03-19 21:43:13	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6c9554…
03-19 21:41:27	will israel take military action in gaza on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x876bea…
03-19 21:35:41	will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x112de7…
03-19 21:30:19	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc7163c…
03-19 20:57:45	will israel take military action in gaza on march 19 2026	No	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0xabc4f8…
03-18 15:54:49	pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd4f695…
03-18 15:14:49	will 57 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xec9eba…
03-18 13:53:59	btc updown 5m 1773841800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa95b63…
03-18 11:37:03	btc updown 5m 1773833700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x803642…
03-17 08:37:33	btc updown 5m 1773736800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x246a27…