Stormy-Twine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$256

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

855

Trades

2,407

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 09-22 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$252

Other

1% 53% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	6	$71	83	83	+0	Down	+$61	06-30 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:05 UTC	10	$64	53	46	+6	Up	$0	06-30 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:30 UTC	4	$63	65	58	+7	Up	+$11	06-30 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:35 UTC	7	$50	48	48	+0	Down	+$10	07-20 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:55 UTC	7	$49	186	36	+150	Down	+$11	07-27 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:20 UTC	3	$44	34	34	+0	Down	+$24	08-06 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:20 UTC	4	$43	32	32	+0	Up	+$14	08-20 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:50 UTC	13	$42	31	31	+0	Down	+$18	06-30 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:45 UTC	7	$42	39	39	+0	Down	-$10	07-16 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:05 UTC	4	$41	48	23	+25	Up	$0	06-30 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC	11	$40	33	33	+0	Down	+$20	06-30 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 19:40 UTC	6	$40	45	45	+0	Down	+$8	07-20 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:25 UTC	16	$38	28	28	+0	Down	+$8	06-30 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:00 UTC	3	$37	28	28	+0	Up	+$17	07-25 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:15 UTC	9	$36	31	31	+0	Up	+$22	06-30 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:55 UTC	11	$35	29	29	+0	Down	+$15	06-30 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:40 UTC	6	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$8	07-16 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	6	$33	35	35	+0	Down	-$1	07-16 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	16	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$4	06-30 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:05 UTC	7	$32	26	26	+0	Up	+$2	07-01 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:25 UTC	15	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$6	06-30 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:15 UTC	4	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$17	07-20 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:40 UTC	3	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	07-29 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	07-20 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:25 UTC	11	$29	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	06-29 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:05 UTC	3	$29	22	22	+0	Up	+$9	07-20 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	6	$27	72	0	+72	Up	-$27	07-27 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:45 UTC	6	$27	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	08-06 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:40 UTC	3	$27	29	29	+0	Up	+$7	07-20 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$27	22	22	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x3e4563…
09-22 21:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xc3fd88…
09-22 21:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1a66be…
09-22 20:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd22f5d…
09-22 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd87bc0…
09-22 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb89e99…
09-22 17:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4bd5f8…
09-22 17:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x766734…
09-22 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x048266…
09-22 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x92221c…
09-22 16:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x5277b1…
09-22 16:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f421d…
09-22 16:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5a5bd3…
09-22 16:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x5767c0…
09-22 16:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd9f0a2…
09-22 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91e45b…
09-11 13:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2067a2…
09-11 13:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5837c1…
09-11 13:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xef0e11…
09-11 13:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x98bb01…
09-11 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe3f0d6…
09-11 13:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x460fcf…
09-11 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcabeab…
09-11 12:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0bbd1d…
09-11 11:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x122b43…
09-11 11:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8390d3…
09-11 11:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x51f79d…
09-11 11:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9b71ec…
09-11 11:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2bfd39…
09-11 11:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd707f9…
09-11 11:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x90f2bc…
09-11 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf8d04e…
09-11 11:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xf01e06…
09-11 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7e3e72…
09-11 10:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xbf2795…
09-11 10:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd5b0ad…
09-11 10:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3fc621…
09-11 10:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8fb4cf…
09-11 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x34b9c9…
09-11 10:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$5	0x23f31d…
09-11 10:35:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6a2a6e…
09-11 10:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x440f24…
09-11 10:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc5deeb…
09-11 10:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6a1775…
09-11 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4be7c1…
09-11 10:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x56c0cf…
09-11 10:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2c5037…
09-11 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xfb40f7…
09-11 09:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe937d2…
09-10 22:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x2101de…
09-10 22:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x080a48…
09-10 22:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1ccaac…
09-10 22:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x00080d…
09-10 22:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5a4ac1…
09-10 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xee6e2c…
09-10 22:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xac83fc…
09-10 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4f9240…
09-10 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0217b4…
09-10 22:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77909b…
09-10 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb55c03…
09-10 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x09fe6b…
09-10 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5316d6…
09-10 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9eb29f…
09-10 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x87a67b…
09-10 21:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x40bd54…
09-10 21:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd4d657…
09-10 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x009bc1…
09-10 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x69ed58…
09-10 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xac3d3e…
09-10 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd91104…
09-10 21:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x99a813…
09-10 21:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x756489…
09-10 19:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf5ab97…
09-10 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc8ac50…
09-10 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0c78fd…
09-10 19:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfad1d5…
09-10 19:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc0810e…
09-10 19:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b9e17…
09-10 19:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5ea646…
09-10 19:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x572f79…
09-10 19:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd03d49…
09-10 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x11d04d…
09-10 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xb8eb4c…
09-10 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x640d39…
09-10 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xacd25e…
09-10 19:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x022b18…
09-10 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd54758…
08-20 19:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x90ff10…
08-20 19:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9acc56…
08-20 19:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0a2ef1…
08-20 19:45:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6b0ba4…
08-20 19:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x82568c…
08-20 19:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0644ad…
08-20 19:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6523da…
08-20 19:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x642fac…
08-20 19:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0xd11e75…
08-20 19:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x82b81e…
08-20 19:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcf3cf6…
08-20 19:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x5b983f…
08-20 19:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x1083bd…