Dreary-Strategy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 08-25 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

70% 30% -$191

Politics

30% 71% +$148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes		-143	-$18	4¢	$-5	+$13	05-09 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$232	258	249	+8	Yes	+$140	04-30 05:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$220	633	633	+0	No	+$127	04-24 11:23
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	2	$91	143	143	+0	No	+$31	06-12 19:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$84	74	74	+0	No	+$44	04-24 11:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	1	$70	633	0	+633	No	-$70	08-25 18:45
will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	2	$62	353	353	+0	No	+$12	03-11 08:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	3	$59	89	89	+0	No	+$9	03-12 13:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$51	71	71	+0	No	+$11	03-12 05:18
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	1	$50	200	0	+200	No	-$50	07-14 04:08
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	1	$50	893	0	+893	No	-$50	05-12 05:08
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$50	417	0	+417	No	-$50	08-06 12:48
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	1	$50	706	0	+706	No	-$50	06-01 10:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$46	62	62	+0	No	+$6	05-20 13:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$45	87	87	+0	No	+$5	05-20 13:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$38	222	222	+0	No	-$2	05-20 09:44
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	1	$35	93	0	+93	Yes	+$58	05-12 05:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$32	800	800	+0	No	-$8	05-09 06:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$30	231	0	+231	No	-$30	05-03 17:08
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	1	$25	156	0	+156	No	-$25	06-24 08:46
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	1	$25	437	0	+437	No	-$25	08-06 13:01
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	1	$25	758	0	+758	No	-$25	06-24 08:46
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$21	526	526	+0	No	-$19	05-09 06:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$20	342	342	+0	No	-$20	04-01 08:20
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$20	195	0	+195	No	-$20	04-19 09:27
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$20	135	0	+135	No	-$20	03-24 11:02
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	+$13	04-17 17:04
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	1	$18	0	143	-143	open	—	05-09 03:32
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	1	$17	126	0	+126	No	-$17	04-19 10:30
Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?	1	$15	1,502	0	+1,502	No	-$15	05-12 05:12
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$8	211	0	+211	No	-$8	04-20 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 18:45:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	633	11¢	$70	0xbdfcd0…
08-06 13:01:18	Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	437	6¢	$25	0x52ba2c…
08-06 12:48:18	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x3d9b07…
07-14 04:08:47	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xa8d481…
06-24 08:46:40	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x1b06cb…
06-24 08:46:25	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Yes	BUY	758	3¢	$25	0x9e6ef5…
06-12 19:55:58	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	143	43¢	$61	0xb888a2…
06-12 07:13:39	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x3d8890…
06-01 10:01:06	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	BUY	706	7¢	$50	0x2fea77…
05-20 13:09:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	87	29¢	$25	0x2e82f6…
05-20 13:09:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	62	41¢	$26	0x4e9b77…
05-20 09:44:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	222	8¢	$18	0x0a4593…
05-19 05:16:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x9992ab…
05-19 05:15:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x7e010a…
05-19 05:15:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xb276f9…
05-12 05:12:34	Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?	Yes	BUY	1,502	1¢	$15	0x5dfd3a…
05-12 05:10:38	Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	93	38¢	$35	0xd193b1…
05-12 05:08:27	Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	Yes	BUY	893	6¢	$50	0x9a182e…
05-09 06:44:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	526	0¢	$1	0xbef0bb…
05-09 06:43:55	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	678	1¢	$5	0x69fc05…
05-09 06:43:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	800	2¢	$12	0xa4cd37…
05-09 03:32:18	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	13¢	$18	0x88e5a8…
05-03 17:08:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x6c8806…
04-30 06:47:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$20	0x7b7c09…
04-30 05:26:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0x30dc27…
04-30 05:05:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x7e219f…
04-26 14:48:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xe2e973…
04-24 12:09:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	88	24¢	$21	0xc24bc1…
04-24 11:23:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	87¢	$64	0xb1f829…
04-24 11:23:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	225	40¢	$91	0x049e38…
04-20 02:24:14	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	211	4¢	$8	0xd32bc7…
04-20 02:22:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	22¢	$17	0xa6dcef…
04-19 10:30:16	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	126	14¢	$17	0xb232ef…
04-19 09:41:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xee9c5a…
04-19 09:27:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	195	10¢	$20	0x1b75dd…
04-19 02:06:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	329	20¢	$66	0x34610f…
04-17 17:05:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	633	7¢	$47	0x012e74…
04-17 17:04:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x868041…
04-17 17:04:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa2cb07…
04-01 08:20:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	342	0¢	$0	0xc143ef…
03-24 11:02:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0x87748a…
03-15 06:44:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	342	6¢	$20	0xdda309…
03-12 13:01:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc8e0a0…
03-12 13:00:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	SELL	85	38¢	$32	0xd27bd5…
03-12 12:06:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xcba2a1…
03-12 05:18:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	71	43¢	$31	0x6d0dc2…
03-11 17:35:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x7fd48d…
03-11 08:36:45	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	Yes	SELL	353	11¢	$37	0x76c5b2…
03-10 06:49:43	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	Yes	BUY	353	7¢	$25	0x1bcede…