Thick-Measles — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

35 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$108

$108 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+10	$6	99¢	$10	+$4	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	05-05 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	+10	$5	16¢	$2	$-3	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	+5	$3	2¢	$0	$-3	05-05 22:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x67b0a8…
05-05 23:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2b5b9f…
05-05 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x90ba13…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe02cb2…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x760fb6…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x119187…
05-05 22:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc41147…
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb6b8af…
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3b6e69…
05-05 21:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5b1b52…
05-05 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd52cbc…
05-05 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8ef367…
05-05 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc7c414…
05-05 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d4793…
05-05 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x041f17…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf23bdd…
05-05 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x01addc…
05-05 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc49527…
05-05 20:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x80ac89…
05-05 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xad3366…
05-05 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x90688f…
05-05 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb491bd…
05-05 20:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe6bfd7…
05-05 20:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x822312…
05-05 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x02e1b3…
05-05 19:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf01506…
05-05 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7ca8df…
05-05 19:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbdefc1…
05-05 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4cf6fd…
05-05 19:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb2fd26…
05-05 19:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x67da53…
05-05 19:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2fa5f7…
05-05 05:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5b7e44…
05-05 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbba4f5…
05-04 21:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x942464…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	22	$1.29K	65	05-05 23:00
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	21	$1.64K	295	05-05 23:00
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	20	$1.10K	56	05-05 23:00
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	20	$590	58	05-05 23:00
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	20	$552	66	05-05 23:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$6.28K	91	05-05 23:00
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	19	$1.30K	121	05-05 23:00
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	18	$1.99K	49	05-05 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$9	15	+15	open	—	05-05 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-05 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$0	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:14