Stormy-Spring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

374

Trades

2,866

lifetime

Volume

$114.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-04 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

83% 55% +$4,141

Sports

9% 43% +$462

Crypto

4% 57% -$64

Politics

3% 55% +$128

Tech

1% 100% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	11	$3.4K	1,794	1,794	+0	Yes	-$3	01-14 10:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	13	$2.7K	1,400	1,395	+5	No	+$2	01-12 14:54
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	43	$2.3K	2,582	2,582	+0	No	-$266	05-11 19:12
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	23	$2.3K	1,688	1,688	+0	No	+$158	06-14 02:59
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	21	$2.3K	3,140	1,500	+1,640	Yes	+$251	07-17 15:39
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	21	$2.2K	1,489	1,489	+0	Yes	+$271	05-16 16:10
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	29	$1.9K	1,351	1,351	+0	Yes	+$37	05-31 15:25
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	10	$1.9K	992	1,000	-8	No	+$6	04-26 18:18
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	11	$1.7K	1,130	1,130	+0	No	+$72	08-10 20:59
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	23	$1.7K	1,251	1,561	-310	Yes	+$686	04-13 00:21
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	13	$1.6K	1,222	573	+649	Yes	+$179	06-24 08:04
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	15	$1.6K	1,196	971	+225	Yes	+$198	05-17 14:27
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	12	$1.6K	791	800	-9	Yes	+$3	04-01 18:06
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	9	$1.6K	945	945	+0	Yes	+$222	09-21 07:17
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	14	$1.5K	1,378	282	+1,097	No	+$65	05-01 11:30
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	27	$1.5K	2,576	2,576	+0	No	-$312	05-24 23:25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	18	$1.5K	1,164	1,164	+0	Yes	+$572	05-11 19:15
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	30	$1.5K	1,829	960	+869	Yes	+$245	06-01 19:22
will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 17m	9	$1.4K	796	796	+0	No	+$128	04-04 01:55
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	17	$1.4K	1,216	1,216	+0	Yes	+$394	05-02 15:14
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?	8	$1.4K	820	820	+0	No	-$20	07-11 15:54
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	15	$1.3K	1,156	1,156	+0	No	+$47	06-24 20:09
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	10	$1.3K	840	832	+9	Yes	+$148	04-24 17:34
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?	23	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$119	06-06 01:30
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	28	$1.3K	875	883	-8	No	+$17	04-04 04:38
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	17	$1.2K	883	883	+0	Yes	+$202	05-24 20:52
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	13	$1.1K	1,093	151	+943	Yes	+$27	05-04 19:16
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	15	$1.1K	1,527	400	+1,127	Yes	+$354	06-07 14:32
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	6	$1.1K	944	500	+444	Yes	+$171	07-10 14:35
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	13	$1.0K	1,301	954	+347	No	+$132	06-08 02:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 03:37:47	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	No	SELL	423	54¢	$229	0x91df0d…
10-04 03:35:34	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x4be8a3…
10-03 20:04:41	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$12	0x98b54d…
10-03 19:47:10	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	No	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x3ef4be…
10-03 19:42:19	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xdbb754…
10-03 19:41:55	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x82b50f…
10-03 19:41:45	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x977753…
10-03 19:22:40	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	No	BUY	241	64¢	$153	0xec426c…
09-26 07:49:24	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	84	18¢	$15	0xf94ff1…
09-26 02:06:15	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	84	28¢	$24	0xc560a1…
09-26 01:44:21	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x170f7f…
09-26 01:44:12	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x40f337…
09-26 01:43:41	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	SELL	260	5¢	$12	0xa84ecf…
09-24 09:21:48	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xdc5954…
09-23 04:54:19	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x4fbbc0…
09-23 04:54:17	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	No	BUY	223	54¢	$121	0xfb6988…
09-22 12:37:48	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	148	66¢	$98	0xd6434b…
09-22 12:26:42	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x4fdd65…
09-22 12:22:19	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xee7d79…
09-22 12:15:51	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd7321a…
09-21 07:17:42	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	SELL	945	94¢	$889	0x64f30a…
09-20 20:34:29	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xd35363…
09-20 16:09:16	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x92c930…
09-20 05:38:37	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x06195c…
09-19 14:24:41	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x6654bc…
09-19 14:19:27	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$91	0x9b5350…
09-19 14:00:48	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x11c2e8…
09-19 14:00:33	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x2ffd20…
09-19 13:59:08	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x99779d…
09-18 05:24:00	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	No	SELL	64	57¢	$37	0xa576da…
09-18 03:49:15	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	No	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x545e33…
09-17 04:21:16	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	No	SELL	400	63¢	$250	0x299f73…
09-16 04:25:00	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0xf462ce…
09-15 02:58:16	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0xc2047e…
09-14 03:35:57	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	300	32¢	$95	0x2310aa…
09-06 14:51:13	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x266dde…
09-06 14:50:27	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc62f67…
09-05 20:52:24	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	Yes	BUY	589	2¢	$10	0x07dcc7…
09-05 18:45:15	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x34f49d…
09-05 18:33:25	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	No	BUY	282	65¢	$184	0x3010cd…
09-05 16:11:18	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xab0529…
09-05 16:10:52	Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x65ac30…
08-30 05:08:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xae9730…
08-30 05:08:19	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xead152…
08-30 05:08:19	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x805f11…
08-30 05:08:19	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	233	15¢	$35	0x35d83b…
08-30 05:08:19	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x2963f5…
08-29 15:19:09	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	300	54¢	$161	0x889a67…
08-24 03:27:52	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x49d38c…
08-23 23:05:58	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xc4d61a…
08-23 21:28:49	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x57f081…
08-23 21:20:07	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	54	49¢	$26	0x37a0d8…
08-23 21:19:27	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x089275…
08-23 21:19:25	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1f45e…
08-23 21:19:25	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x797a1f…
08-23 20:36:58	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x343f09…
08-23 20:36:57	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbd4583…
08-23 20:22:12	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd3f234…
08-23 20:22:12	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xbbd0ad…
08-23 20:22:12	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x7ad0e4…
08-23 20:21:45	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0cbd93…
08-23 16:29:03	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x8835bf…
08-23 15:53:36	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x21a0b6…
08-23 14:56:18	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0xf2bdef…
08-23 14:56:18	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0x6e20fb…
08-23 14:56:18	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x394ed1…
08-23 05:50:06	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	SELL	232	46¢	$107	0xbbd6e8…
08-23 03:33:27	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	232	44¢	$101	0x3531ec…
08-22 14:41:40	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	SELL	250	66¢	$165	0x113eb3…
08-20 15:54:58	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0xe1b805…
08-20 15:53:09	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0x6a2baa…
08-17 03:58:55	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xab9b3c…
08-17 03:49:40	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4fc2c4…
08-17 03:49:37	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4bbebd…
08-16 20:34:07	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$0	0xad7888…
08-15 23:13:28	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x7d5e7d…
08-10 20:59:19	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xeef65d…
08-10 20:59:18	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	SELL	536	100¢	$535	0xb9dd59…
08-10 18:02:30	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	330	95¢	$313	0x08a992…
08-09 14:32:48	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	85	71¢	$61	0x295640…
08-09 10:11:03	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xf207aa…
08-09 10:08:00	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x3b9c37…
08-09 09:24:49	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x10219b…
08-07 18:58:33	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	SELL	142	52¢	$74	0x015fa2…
08-07 07:44:54	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x412765…
08-07 07:44:36	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	SELL	158	68¢	$108	0x6707c5…
08-07 03:29:30	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?	Yes	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0xeea674…
08-02 14:20:47	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	SELL	374	7¢	$26	0xad3aa8…
08-02 14:16:39	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xb82b0f…
08-02 06:31:23	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	BUY	374	9¢	$34	0x684aa9…
08-01 08:54:03	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	No	SELL	405	14¢	$55	0x88b65a…
08-01 07:21:50	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	SELL	113	13¢	$15	0xaa95d5…
08-01 03:24:59	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x78d843…
08-01 03:17:39	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xe08b0e…
07-31 12:25:47	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x496c83…
07-31 12:24:35	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	No	BUY	205	68¢	$139	0xe75b64…
07-31 12:24:20	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?	Yes	BUY	107	60¢	$64	0xb6dc90…
07-31 04:27:24	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xcf73b7…
07-30 14:39:29	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xaaf0bb…
07-30 14:39:27	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x729f29…