Lively-Blade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$441

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-03 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

52% 73% +$40

Tech

33% 100% +$2

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Crypto

6% 50% -$4

Sports

2% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No		-3	-$2	98¢	$-3	-$1	05-20 15:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	06-25 17:33
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	1	$50	82	0	+82	Over	+$32	06-25 17:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	07-03 10:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-21 09:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-17 18:24
Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-21 09:34
ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	06-06 02:57
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	05-17 18:25
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$8	27	0	+27	Knicks	-$8	04-27 18:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-27 18:36
ethereum above 1600 on june 6 2026	1	$4	12	0	+12	No	-$4	06-06 02:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-30 19:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-30 19:11
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 30	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-30 16:26
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-07 20:02
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	No	$0	05-20 15:34
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-30 16:32
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-07 20:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	01-30 16:23
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	05-20 15:34
ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	1	$1	56	0	+56	No	-$1	06-06 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 10:40:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x137642…
06-25 17:34:49	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8ad504…
06-25 17:33:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$52	0x0a573b…
06-18 07:12:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xc324b4…
06-06 02:57:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9af8c8…
06-06 02:57:04	ethereum above 1600 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x69b47a…
06-06 02:56:48	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x3b6b57…
05-21 09:34:45	Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4e1fdf…
05-21 09:34:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xae2a62…
05-20 15:36:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x351502…
05-20 15:34:11	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xfea8c3…
05-20 15:34:04	Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe86bf1…
05-17 18:25:05	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5d8f80…
05-17 18:24:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x0b1146…
05-15 18:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1d8829…
05-15 18:23:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xd89df0…
05-13 19:02:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7b6d9c…
04-27 18:36:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf4d532…
04-27 18:36:14	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x93a2c6…
03-30 19:11:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x48fadd…
03-30 19:11:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbf781c…
02-07 20:02:21	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7a44c7…
02-07 20:01:17	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x07f8f3…
01-30 16:32:00	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc3e247…
01-30 16:26:28	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 30	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5f2cd2…
01-30 16:23:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb8e648…