Belated-Ethernet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

101

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-31 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

88% 97% +$16

Politics

7% 80% -$22

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 15:52
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 07:30
Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-04 00:46
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	04-16 02:43
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:54
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 18:09
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 04:02
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:13
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 22:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-15 08:57
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 19:12
north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-31 22:33
ethereum above 2200 on june 17 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-15 09:03
highest temperature in singapore on march 15 2026 29c	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-15 03:30
highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 80 81f	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-16 15:54
highest temperature in toronto on march 13 2026 0c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-13 18:45
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 13corhigher	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-12 05:37
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-24 23:36
ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	07-02 15:57
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 14 be between 2000000 and 2200000	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-16 12:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	-$23	05-25 05:48
highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 42 43f	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-14 22:53
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 10:48
will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be less than 35m	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-05 13:54
will a quiet place part ii be the 2 us netflix movie this week	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-20 11:46
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-28 08:03
highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 74 75f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-03 12:55
highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 8c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-05 10:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 34 35f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-06 01:08
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 32c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-03 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:54:01	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xabded8…
08-31 02:39:24	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x227490…
07-14 14:05:04	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa7fb9a…
07-02 15:57:04	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfa99ea…
06-25 13:12:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa65b74…
06-24 23:36:58	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd535b1…
06-22 23:21:55	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1910c…
06-15 09:03:16	ethereum above 2200 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x93b225…
06-15 08:57:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf9336e…
06-15 07:09:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x64af18…
06-09 00:01:37	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a79f2…
06-07 22:45:18	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb2f042…
06-06 12:59:01	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x075fbe…
06-01 19:12:09	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0c1017…
06-01 07:39:04	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9c3352…
05-31 18:09:19	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x72aab4…
05-30 00:39:26	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6cbf91…
05-28 08:03:56	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xafff24…
05-27 02:42:27	Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa3fa52…
05-25 05:48:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xe5acab…
05-21 01:13:08	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4b993b…
05-19 23:36:19	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x5bd080…
05-18 00:02:57	Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf5306e…
05-15 07:30:27	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x942d22…
05-15 01:40:45	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xcab66c…
05-11 00:54:18	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x8935c3…
05-09 00:54:32	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf9ebff…
05-05 15:52:40	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9505f9…
05-05 13:31:26	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x5210ae…
05-04 00:46:28	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7f8f92…
05-03 21:21:36	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x2aaf31…
04-20 11:46:30	will the truth tragedy of moriah wilson be the 2 us netflix movie this week 367	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6d5495…
04-20 11:46:30	will a quiet place part ii be the 2 us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x57b834…
04-20 11:46:30	will anaconda be the 2 us netflix movie this week 143	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51ffd9…
04-20 11:46:28	will beast be the 2 us netflix movie this week 575	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe5d990…
04-16 02:43:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xff32b8…
04-14 18:54:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9267d7…
04-13 00:04:11	will temptation island season 10 be the 2 global netflix show this week	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x148b51…
04-09 04:02:31	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x48671e…
04-08 13:07:51	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe7721a…
04-05 13:54:13	will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be less than 35m	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa41861…
03-31 22:33:01	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3f9f3e…
03-30 07:38:28	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xde1a01…
03-16 15:54:09	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 80 81f	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf7b7ae…
03-16 14:27:05	highest temperature in toronto on march 16 2026 15corhigher	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf317eb…
03-16 12:13:43	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 14 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xad13ab…
03-16 00:59:31	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x24d4b7…
03-15 14:03:53	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x5f3da7…
03-15 12:59:35	highest temperature in toronto on march 16 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcd0128…
03-15 03:30:53	highest temperature in singapore on march 15 2026 29c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x52de8c…
03-14 22:53:59	highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 42 43f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc1cf7a…
03-14 14:26:11	highest temperature in singapore on march 15 2026 29c	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x87afa5…
03-14 11:15:19	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1f47b1…
03-13 20:45:47	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 14 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xd0bddb…
03-13 18:45:53	highest temperature in toronto on march 13 2026 0c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x60246c…
03-13 12:52:27	highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xb7d40f…
03-13 10:48:39	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc5b6a8…
03-13 05:56:29	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x4427a6…
03-12 19:19:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1363eb…
03-12 16:45:49	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 862	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc0c814…
03-12 15:31:13	highest temperature in dallas on march 13 2026 69forbelow	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7a21a6…
03-12 12:51:53	highest temperature in toronto on march 13 2026 0c	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe304e0…
03-12 08:57:03	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xec8d01…
03-12 05:37:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 13corhigher	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdeada0…
03-11 23:50:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 10c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2a9a98…
03-11 15:40:47	highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 13corhigher	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xde1311…
03-11 13:13:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7f5756…
03-10 13:40:23	highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0c4f93…
03-10 08:52:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf1393f…
03-09 14:32:17	highest temperature in munich on march 9 2026 17c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf5be2b…
03-08 22:08:51	highest temperature in munich on march 9 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4798bf…
03-07 22:10:03	highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 43forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ddcd9…
03-07 12:53:29	highest temperature in munich on march 7 2026 14c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc6fec8…
03-07 11:18:53	highest temperature in munich on march 7 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd5a2b2…
03-06 17:27:59	highest temperature in lucknow on march 7 2026 38c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa784d…
03-06 16:34:43	highest temperature in dallas on march 6 2026 75forbelow	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x836c3a…
03-06 02:38:55	highest temperature in dallas on march 6 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x08e170…
03-06 01:08:49	highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 34 35f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xba7c25…
03-05 18:21:17	highest temperature in lucknow on march 6 2026 36c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6ef3cf…
03-05 16:30:35	highest temperature in lucknow on march 6 2026 36c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x63f742…
03-05 12:13:15	highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x523953…
03-05 10:26:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 8c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d3897…
03-05 05:54:23	highest temperature in nyc on march 5 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfb8c26…
03-05 05:32:33	highest temperature in nyc on march 5 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc98af…
03-04 20:49:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 7c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9797d4…
03-04 20:49:49	highest temperature in toronto on march 5 2026 neg 1c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57b2c3…
03-04 16:55:15	highest temperature in toronto on march 5 2026 0c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x233d5c…
03-04 15:21:53	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 40 41f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4861ce…
03-04 12:05:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 8c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1cfeb1…
03-04 09:51:19	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 7c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x545cdc…
03-04 06:38:37	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 7c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4b13b8…
03-03 22:05:29	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc162aa…
03-03 18:17:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 44 45f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdddcf6…
03-03 17:02:51	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 32c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa2f570…
03-03 12:55:33	highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe24578…
03-03 07:28:19	highest temperature in paris on march 3 2026 15c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x00e335…
03-02 18:02:41	highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 6c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x847dc3…
03-02 14:43:37	highest temperature in atlanta on march 3 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcf25f6…
03-02 12:00:31	highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x541fe9…
03-02 12:00:31	highest temperature in ankara on march 3 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49b172…